An area of low pressure tracked across the Ohio Valley on June 8. A stationary front attached to the low was located across central to southeast Virginia.
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The episode as NWS AKQ wrote it up.
An area of low pressure tracked across the Ohio Valley on June 8. A stationary front attached to the low was located across central to southeast Virginia. Meanwhile, a secondary surface low formed along the stationary front during the evening of June 8. Scattered storms developed during the morning along a remnant MCV and during the afternoon and evening of June 8. These storms produced damaging winds and hail as they moved across portions of central and eastern Virginia. Occasional rotating was also noted as storms interacted with the stationary front.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 8, 1:45 AM EST, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 245 AM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 .SYNOPSIS... A warm front lifts north across the region today. Thunderstorms are possible this morning, with more numerous storms expected during the afternoon and evening. Severe weather is possible, especially near the front. Drier weather returns on Monday, with increasing storm chances again on Tuesday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 245 AM EDT Sunday... Key Messages: - Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected again today as a frontal boundary lingers across the region. - Severe storms are possible with damaging wind gusts being the main threat. A brief tornado or two is possible near the warm front. Early morning wx analysis shows zonal flow aloft over the eastern CONUS with a fast moving, but potent shortwave approaching the central Appalachians. At the surface, low pressure is over KY/IN/OH with a warm front extending SE into central/southern VA. Isolated to scattered tstms have developed near the front. Also, radar mosaic clearly shows a remnant MCV over north-central NC that is approaching the area (some of the CAMs are showing convection increasing with this feature as it moves ENE-NE in the next few hrs). Another MCV was noted near SW VA (which is what the HRRR has been keying in on for a potential late morning-midday severe storm or two near the warm front). Still looks like a complicated forecast with more uncertainty than normal given that 1) multiple remnant MCVs that will cross the area in advance of the actual shortwave (which is progged to track over VA/MD this evening...and 2)uncertainty regarding the eventual position of the warm front. Regardless, the front continues to move north today before stalling as secondary low pressure develops and tracks from W-E along it. The first round of isolated to scattered convection (which will begin shortly) is expected to continue through much of the morning. Most of this will remain sub-severe, although a severe storm or two is possible if cells can track along the front (which will likely be located INVOF the I-64 Corridor). Despite the unfavorable time in the diurnal cycle, there will be 750- 1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and ~40 kt of effective shear along/south of the front this morning (with some enhanced LLVL SRH due to backing of the winds along the front). However, a limiting factor for tornadoes this morning is the fact that 925-850 winds will be weak (10-20 kt). A minority of CAMs, including the HRRR, show the possibility of mid AM-midday severe wx. Then, the front will try to move a bit farther north this aftn. And ultimately, the position of the front this afternoon/evening will dictate where the highest severe threat is. Am still expecting a second round of convection (with a higher amount of coverage...especially near the front) between 2-10 PM. Expect a decent amount of surface heating south of the front this afternoon with temps well into the 80s expected S of I-64. Mid-upper 70s are forecast across northern portions of the FA. This, combined with lower 70s dew points, will allow for MLCAPE to increase to ~2000 J/kg by the afternoon. There will also be fairly strong deep layer shear (which should be sufficient for at least transient supercell structures) and a modest increase in 925-850 mb winds ahead of the surface low. The above factors will allow for an increased severe wx threat. Damaging wind gusts will be the main threat, although large hail is also possible with some cellular convection and mid-level lapse rates up to 6.5C/km. Continue to be concerned about a tornado threat near the warm front where winds will be locally backed, resulting in 100-200 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH in a narrow corridor near the front (which will likely be near or just N of the I-64 Corridor by the aftn). SPC has maintained the Slight (Level 2/5) Risk for the entire FA, with a 5% tornado risk/15% hail risk for areas near the front. Will also have to watch for a flooding threat with both the morning and afternoon/evening rounds of convection as storms could potentially train along the warm front. With PWs surging to near 2.0", any storm will be capable of producing a quick 2-3" of rain. However, there is still some uncertainty with respect to the exact position of the warm front and flash flood guidance values are relatively high outside of urban areas. The HREF does have a 10% chc of 3" of rain in 3 hours with the morning and aftn/evening convection. Will hold off on any Flood Watch as FFGs outside of urban areas are high and there is still some uncertainity with respect to the exact position of the front. There is still a possibility of a short-fused Flood Watch if confidence increases. WPC has maintained the Slight (2/4) Risk for excessive rainfall with a Marginal (1/4) Risk elsewhere. Expect a decrease in storms after 9- 10 PM with precip chances ending by 12-2 AM. Lows tonight fall into the mid-upper 60s. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 245 AM EDT Sunday... Key Messages: - Drier weather is expected on Monday, although isolated afternoon/evening storms can't be ruled out (especially SE). - Scattered to numerous storms are possible Tuesday with a few strong storms possible. By Monday, PWs fall to 1.1-1.4" with modest height rises expected during the day in the wake of the shortwave while the surface front washes out over the FA. Therefore, PoPs are mainly 20% or less, with the exception of 20-30% near the Albemarle Sound. Then, a dampening shortwave trough approaches from the west Monday night before crossing the FA on Tue. A surface cold front pushes across the region on Tue as well. Scattered showers/tstms are possible as early as Monday night, with better chances Tuesday afternoon and evening (especially east of I-95). Storms Monday night should be sub-severe though severe wx is possible Tue aftn/evening given ample instability and shear and the favorable location of the trough. The main threat will likely be damaging wind gusts. Temperatures will be near normal through the period. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 245 AM EDT Sunday... Key Message: - Drier weather arrives midweek with shower/storm chances returning Friday into the weekend. Surface high pressure builds in Wed into Thu...while a ridge aloft also builds from the Deep South to southern Mid-Atlantic. This will allow for mostly dry weather. The only exception to the dry wx on Wed/Thu is a slight chc of a tstm near the Albemarle Sound Wed aftn/evening. Isolated aftn/evening storm chances return on Friday and increase next weekend as the ridge becomes suppressed to our S/SE. Temps will be near normal Tue, trending above normal later in the week with highs in the lower 90s possible Thu-Sat. && .AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 130 AM EDT Sunday... It's still VFR at the terminals early this morning but CIGs will lower to MVFR-IFR at all terminals by 10-12z as a warm front starts to slowly move northward through the area. Another round of scattered showers/tstms is also possible at RIC/PHF/ORF between 10-16z (likely focused along the northward moving warm front). While there is uncertainty regarding this given that it is occurring at an unusual time of day for thunder, have enough confidence to introduce PROB30 groups for each of these terminals during the mid-late morning hours. Another round of scattered-numerous storms then looks to occur this afternoon/evening (with the highest probs at RIC/SBY/ORF). Some of the storms this aftn/evening could be strong to severe. CIGs gradually improve to MVFR at RIC/PHF/ORF by late morning, but will likely remain IFR through the period at SBY. Convection moves out of the area between 01-04z tonight, but IFR stratus is possible at all terminals by early Mon AM. Outlook: Degraded flying conditions linger into Mon morning with improving conditions expected Mon. Generally dry conditions are expected Mon with additional scattered showers and storms moving through on Tue with flight restrictions possible. && .MARINE... As of 225 AM EDT Sunday... Key Messages: - Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected to continue into next week. - Potential for scattered strong thunderstorms to impact the waters again today. Weak low pressure is noted near central NC into southern VA early this morning with slightly deeper low pressure to the WNW over the Ohio River Valley. Winds remain very light across the waters with most observations showing less than 5 kts. Waves are around 1 foot with seas 2-3 ft. Expect the period of largely benign marine conditions to continue today and well into next week. Several weak areas of low pressure are expected to form along a stalled frontal boundary through Tuesday before the front is finally able to drop south of the local waters. The front will bisect the area today with NE or ENE winds to the north of the boundary and S to SE winds to the south. Winds will generally stay in the 5-10 kt range but could briefly strengthen to 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt this afternoon into the evening as sea breeze circulations near shore augment the weak synoptic flow. The main concern for today will come from the potential for several rounds of strong/severe storms. 00z guidance shows 2 possible maxima in convective activity today, one could form inland early this morning and move offshore prior to midday with another round possible late this afternoon into this evening hours. Confidence in convective timing and coverage remains quite low but just about any period after sunrise has the potential to support some stronger convection and associated gusty wind hazards over the waters. Outside of convective impacts, conditions will remain sub-SCA through early next week. Guidance suggests a somewhat stronger area of low pressure may form along the front on Tuesday and allow the boundary to slip south of the local waters as the low moves offshore. Some enhanced SW flow (~15 kt) is possible ahead of the frontal passage but widespread SCA conditions are unlikely. Moderate rip currents remains in the forecast for the northern beaches today with a low rip risk expected area wide on Monday. && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. NC...None. VA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...ERI/RMM NEAR TERM...ERI SHORT TERM...ERI/RMM LONG TERM...ERI/RMM AVIATION...ERI MARINE...RHR
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wakefield VA 436 AM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 MDZ021>024-VAZ048-061-062-064-069-075>078-509>511-517-519-521-522- 090845- Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Fluvanna-Cumberland- Goochland-Caroline-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland- Lancaster-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover- Western King William-Western King and Queen-Western Essex- Eastern Essex- 436 AM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia and north central Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. Damaging winds and an isolated tornado are the main threats. Isolated large hail is also possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A few severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. MDZ025-VAZ099-090845- Maryland Beaches-Accomack- 436 AM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. Damaging winds and an isolated tornado are the main threats. Isolated large hail is also possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A few severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ060-065>068-079>090-092-093-095>098- 512>516-518-520-523>525-090845- Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck- Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Prince Edward-Mecklenburg- Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George- Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville- Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth- Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Eastern Hanover- Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Eastern King William-Eastern King and Queen-York-Newport News- Hampton/Poquoson- 436 AM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. Damaging winds and an isolated tornado are the main threats. Isolated large hail is also possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A few severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. VAZ100-090845- Northampton- 436 AM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through this evening. Damaging winds and an isolated tornado are the main threats. Isolated large hail is also possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A few severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
538 AM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025
VAZ079-087-088-081015-
Sussex VA-Brunswick VA-Greensville VA-
538 AM EDT Sun Jun 8 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL GREENSVILLE...
SOUTHWESTERN SUSSEX AND EAST CENTRAL BRUNSWICK COUNTIES THROUGH 615
AM EDT...
At 538 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Purdy, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small trees and blow around
unsecured objects. Wind impacting handling of high profile
vehicles.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Purdy around 545 AM EDT.
Jarratt around 550 AM EDT.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Owens, Callaville,
Grizzard, Bufford Crossroads, Pleasant Shade, Fields Crossroads,
Huske, Slagles Lake, and Cowie Corner.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3687 7770 3688 7765 3687 7764 3688 7763
3688 7762 3689 7760 3693 7739 3673 7739
3672 7740 3671 7744 3674 7770
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 268DEG 19KT 3680 7762
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
EIThe Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 54 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:52 UTC.
13 thunderstorm wind, 2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A trained spotter reported quarter sized hail (one inch in diameter) 1 mile north of Cowie Corner.
Hail estimated to be around the size of quarters (one inch in diameter) was observed from a VDOT camera at mile marker 17 on I-95 North.
VDOT reported a knocked down tree along Brickyard Road near Green Plains Road.
A tree was knocked down along Three Creeks Road at the intersection with Popes Station Road.
A tree was reported to be leaning on a power line along Linden Street in Courtland.
Large tree limbs were reported down on Governor Darden Road.
A tree was knocked down, blocking 75 percent of the road at Benefit Road and South Battlefield Boulevard.
VDOT reported a tree knocked down near the intersection of Harts Landing Road and Horners Mill Road.
VDOT reported a tree knocked down along Full Rack Drive.
A tree was reported down on Worsham Road.
VDOT reported a tree down across Little Patrick Road.
VDOT reported a tree down in the roadway.
Numerous large trees were reported down in Hanover County.
VDOT reported a tree blocking the roadway.
Multiple trees were snapped with power lines down near the intersection of Oak Grove Lane and Nelsons Bridge Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1269779, 1269780, 1269781, 1269782, 1269783, 1269784, 1269785, 1269786, 1269787, 1269788, 1269790, 1269791, 1269793, 1269794, 1269796.