A southeastward moving cold front encountered marginal instability in southwest Virginia, producing an isolated report of severe straight line wind damage in Wise.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MRX wrote it up.
A southeastward moving cold front encountered marginal instability in southwest Virginia, producing an isolated report of severe straight line wind damage in Wise.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 14, 9:06 PM EST, 3 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 1006 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 1001 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Currently this evening, the cold front remains well to the northwest of our area with the region experiencing warmer and drier conditions than previously expected. The more robust convection has been ongoing in eastern Kentucky into southern West Virginia with another line developing to our northwest. There is overall less development in this region than expected with anything still far from our area. As such, this has presented a later timing of PoPs, in addition to an increase in temperatures and a decrease in dew points. This also decreases the overall severe chances as the latest guidance struggles to show even 100 J/kg of MLCAPE by the time convection arrives. It is still not out of the question, but the threat looks slightly lower. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 315 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Key Messages: 1. Breezy conditions the rest of the day today. 2. Line of storms will move in overnight, could bring strong thunderstorms to northeast TN and southwest VA. .SHORT TERM... Currently a rapid warmup is ongoing today with many locations already in the 70's and looking to cross the 80 degree threshold before the day is over. We have an incoming front across western Kentucky making it's way to the Appalachians and in response winds have ramped up across the region out of the southwest. These breezy winds in the 10-20mph range with gusts closer to 25 mph are bringing very warm air. These breezy conditions will continue the rest of today and even into the overnight hours as the pressure gradient remains tightened just ahead of the front. The incoming front is expected to bring showers and thunderstorms overnight starting in the Cumberland Plateau around midnight, and working it's way south overnight as it weakens with all the precipitation expected to be over around sunrise on Tuesday. Right as the front is moving into southwest Virginia and northeast Tennesee there may be some lingering instability in the atmosphere, but it will be quickly eroding with the overnight temperatures dropping. If the front moves in a bit faster then there will be more unstable air for storms to tap into, but if it holds off even just a couple of hours after midnight before moving into southwest VA the chances for severe weather will rapidly diminish. The primary threats with any strong storms that maintain strength out of Kentucky will be winds up to 60mph and hail up to 1" in size. Behind the front cooler air will move in behind it and temperatures will drop about 15 degrees cooler on Tuesday compared to Monday. Winds will remain breezy as air fills in behind the front with another day of winds likely gusting above 20 mph, but this time out of the northwest. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Monday) Issued at 315 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Key Messages: 1. Mostly dry through long term period. The next chance of rain looks like to be this weekend. 2. Below normal temperatures Wednesday, then warming to above normal temperatures Friday through Monday as high pressure builds aloft. 3. Saturday through Monday upper ridge aloft will slowly shift south and east. A front to the north will move in bringing a chance of showers and storms on the weekend into Monday but timing is still uncertain. Discussion: Shortwave energy shifts east of the area by late Tuesday ending rain chances. However the large scale upper trough remains over the eastern states through Wednesday night. Then a building ridge of high pressure to the west begins to move in. The first two nights of the extended will be cooler beneath the persistent northwesterly upper flow. Winds will stay up Tuesday night from the west and northwest so don't expect much frost. Lows will be mostly upper 30s to lower 40s. Some patchy frost is possible in wind sheltered areas. Wednesday higher pressure will be in control and winds will stay northwesterly through the day. The winds die down Wednesday night and more frost will be possible across the northeast third Thursday morning. On Thursday morning the upper heights build as the ridge pushes east and northward through Friday. It now looks like Thursday and Friday will be dry under the building ridge. Saturday the pattern begins to change as ridge flattens out and a front to the north sags southward through the Ohio Valley. A trough over eastern Canada will have a surface low and front extending southwest into the Ohio Valley back toward Texas. The large Surface high off the southeast coast will shift south and east. The front will move into the eastern Tennessee Valley and trigger showers and some storms Saturday and Sunday. However the strength of the ridge to the south may affect its southward movement. So the last three days of the forecast are more uncertain. The ridge may even build northward again Sunday. Sunday another surface low over Oklahoma may push the front back north and then another front develops to its south and crosses the lower Mississippi Valley Monday increasing rain chances again across the forecast area later Monday. Since we will stay mostly in the warm sector the last three days temperatures will stay much above normal in the upper 70s to lower 80s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 653 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Quiet aviation conditions with a breezy southwesterly wind will continue for the next several hours with the main focus being the approaching storms to our north. It is expected that these storms will weaken substantially by the time they reach the terminals, especially at CHA and TYS. At these two sites, it is likely there will be almost no lightning left. Still, brief reductions to MVFR are possible at all of the sites with the greatest confidence being at TRI. These conditions are expected to improve by sunrise with a breezy northwesterly wind through the day on Tuesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 54 67 42 69 / 20 10 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 52 64 40 66 / 50 10 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 52 64 40 66 / 50 10 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 49 60 39 61 / 80 20 0 0 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && SHORT TERM... LONG TERM....TD AVIATION...BW
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Morristown TN 1001 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002- 005-006-008-160215- Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins- Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen- Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene- Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter- Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount- Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains- Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe- Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee- Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA- 1001 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025 /901 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia. .DAY ONE...Tonight A cold front is expected to impact the area tonight from the north and may bring a chance of a few strong to severe storms, primarily for southwest Virginia into northeast Tennessee. Winds up to 60 mph and hail up to 1 inch in diameter possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not needed at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1113 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025
VAZ002-150330-
Wise VA-
1113 PM EDT Mon Apr 14 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL WISE COUNTY
THROUGH 1130 PM EDT...
At 1113 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Fishpond Lake, or 8 miles east of Whitesburg, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Pound.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3713 8255 3707 8250 3703 8248 3702 8248
3705 8272 3707 8273 3708 8272 3712 8272
3715 8264 3720 8255
TIME...MOT...LOC 0313Z 275DEG 40KT 3715 8267
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPHThe Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 96 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 05:27 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Several trees were blown down by powerful thunderstorm wind gusts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, April 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1250737.