Texas, 2025Flood in Texas, September 19, 2025
September 19, 2025 · NWS BRO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A small but potent slow-moving thunderstorm dropped rainfall rates of 2 inches per hour for about 2 hours in a small area between Olmito and Rancho Viejo, about 11 miles north-northwest of downtown Brownsville. Minor flooding of 1 to 2 feet, mainly on poor drainage roads, was observed in the area.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A small but potent slow-moving thunderstorm dropped rainfall rates of 2 inches per hour for about 2 hours in a small area between Olmito and Rancho Viejo, about 11 miles north-northwest of downtown Brownsville. Minor flooding of 1 to 2 feet, mainly on poor drainage roads, was observed in the area.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 19, 11:29 AM CST, 3 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 11:29 AM CST, 3 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1229 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Ample tropical moisture, along with diurnal heating and sea breeze
activity will continue to support shower and thunderstorm activity
for Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley throughout this
weekend and next week. Chances will be between 40-50% for areas
east of US 281/I-69C between now and Sunday, and around 20-30% for
areas west of US 281/I- 69C during the same timeframe. Early
afternoons are the most favorable time of day for shower and
thunderstorm development as daytime heating increases and the sea
breeze advances westward, creating enhanced lift for convective
initiation. On Monday and Tuesday, rain chances decrease to
20-30%, mainly only for areas east of I-69C, with the potential
for increasing chances again on Wednesday and beyond.
High temperatures are expected to be in the low to mid 90s through
the weekend, gradually warming into the mid to upper 90s
throughout next week. Some areas in the Western Ranchlands could
see temperatures in the triple digits by mid-week next week.
Minor (level 1 of 4) Heat Risk is expected throughout Deep South
Texas over the weekend, but this is expected to gradually
increase to predominantly Moderate (level 2 of 4) and Major (level
3 of 4) by mid-week, with the highest Heat Risk expected on
Wednesday. Low temperatures should generally be in the mid to
upper 70s, with a few of the Western counties seeing low
temperatures in the lower 70s. Partly cloudy and light to moderate
east-southeasterly winds are expected throughout the forecast
period.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
VFR conditions are overall expected at all airports, however a
TEMPO was added for the next 4 hours at BRO and HRL for the
potential of some afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Winds are
expected to be light to moderate and easterly this afternoon and
tonight before veering to a more southeasterly direction
tomorrow.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Light to moderate east-southeasterly winds are expected for the
forecast period and should remain below SCEC conditions. In
addition, wave heights are expected to be between 2-3 feet.
Therefore, overall favorable marine conditions are expected for
the next seven days. Conditions could briefly deteriorate in the
immediate vicinity of any thunderstorms that happen to form
offshore.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE 76 91 77 92 / 30 60 30 50
HARLINGEN 73 93 73 94 / 10 50 10 50
MCALLEN 76 95 77 96 / 10 40 10 30
RIO GRANDE CITY 73 96 74 97 / 10 30 0 10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 87 81 88 / 40 50 50 60
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 76 89 77 91 / 20 50 30 50
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...55-MM
LONG TERM....55-MM
AVIATION...55-MM
Flood, Cameron
- When
- September 19, 2:30 PM CST to 4:30 PM CST
- Where
- Cameron County, 0.16 mi W of Olmito to 1.49 mi NE of Rancho Viejo
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 26.020, -97.532
A small but potent slow-moving thunderstorm dropped rainfall rates of 2 inches per hour for about 2 hours in a small area between Olmito and Rancho Viejo, about 11 miles north-northwest of downtown Brownsville. Minor flooding of 1 to 2 feet, mainly on poor drainage roads, was observed in the area by a retired NWS employee.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood in Arizona, September 19, 2025$20,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, September 19, 2025$15,000 · 61 kt wind · 2 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Kansas, September 19, 20252.25 in hail · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kansas, September 19, 20251 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Alabama, September 19, 2025$3,000 · 52 kt wind · 3 events
- Hail in Wisconsin, September 19, 20251 in hail · 2 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in New Mexico, September 19, 202552 kt wind · 2 events
- Hail in Arkansas, September 19, 20251 in hail · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Mississippi, September 19, 2025$10,000 · 50 kt wind · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Tennessee, September 19, 2025$1,000 · 1 event
- Hail in Arizona, September 19, 20251 in hail · 1 event
- Hail in Wisconsin, September 19, 20251 in hail · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1295813.