Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, November 1 to 30, 2025

November 1 to 30, 2025 · NWS SJT · 6 events in 6 counties and zones

The drought intensified across west central Texas during the month of November. There was moderate drought east of a Sweetwater to San Angelo to Sonora line by mid November.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.

The drought intensified across west central Texas during the month of November. There was moderate drought east of a Sweetwater to San Angelo to Sonora line by mid November. In addition, there was severe/extreme drought across northern portions of the Heartland.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 11:41 PM CST, 19 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Cold front on Saturday bringing low chance for rain showers to our eastern counties.
  • Warmer temperatures and dry weather next week.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 31, 11:41 PM CST, 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1241 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold front on Saturday bringing low chance for rain showers to
  our eastern counties.

- Warmer temperatures and dry weather next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025

Weak cold front will move across West Central late tonight into
Saturday, along with a quick moving shortwave dropping southeast
through the area. This shortwave has enough lift with it that its
going to try to squeeze out a few showers across the Heartland and
Hill Country. Moisture is pretty scarce however, with the latest
high res CAMs showing just some isolated activity. NBM seemed a
little aggressive with POPs across San Saba and Mason, and after
some discussion with FWD and EWX opted to trim those POPs back to
just isolated.

With south winds ahead of the approaching front, overnight lows
will not be quite as cold tonight and stay mainly in the 40s. Will
be a few degrees cooler on Saturday behind the front with highs
in the lower 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025

A steady warming trend is expected through next week, as upper
level ridging develops across Texas early next week. Temperatures
on Sunday will continue to be mild. Morning lows will be in the
upper 30s to lower 40s, with daytime highs in the mid 70s. Highs
Monday and Tuesday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s, with
highs Wednesday and Thursday into the mid 80s for most locations.
Dry conditions are forecast through most of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

There is a low chance for isolated to scattered SHRA to affect
KBBD and KJCT later today, but confidence in coverage is too low
to introduce any mention at this time. Otherwise, VFR conditions
will prevail through tomorrow night. Light and variable winds will
become south to southeasterly around 10 knots ahead of a cold
front that will move through shifting winds to the north at 10
knots with a few gusts near 20 knots from late morning through
late afternoon Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     69  42  75  51 /  10   0   0   0
San Angelo  70  40  74  47 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    73  39  75  44 /  10   0   0   0
Brownwood   68  39  73  43 /  10   0   0   0
Sweetwater  68  42  75  51 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       70  40  72  46 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       68  41  72  46 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...20

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Callahan

When
November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Callahan forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.298, -99.373 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The drought monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Callahan County during the month of November.

Drought, Runnels

When
November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Runnels forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.831, -99.976 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The drought monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Runnels County during the month of November.

Drought, Coleman

When
November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Coleman forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.773, -99.454 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The drought monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Coleman County during the month of November.

Drought, Brown

When
November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Brown forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.774, -99.000 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The drought monitor indicated moderate/severe/extreme drought conditions across Brown County during the month of November.

Drought, Concho

When
November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Concho forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.327, -99.864 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The drought monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Concho County during the month of November.

Drought, McCulloch

When
November 1, 12:00 AM CST to November 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McCulloch forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.199, -99.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The drought monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across McCulloch County during the month of November.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1301228, 1301229, 1301231, 1301233, 1301236, 1301237.