Upslope flow, differential heating, and upper-level vorticity maxima in the weak flow aloft led to the development of scattered thunderstorms in West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. These storms generally began in the higher terrain and moved northeast.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
Upslope flow, differential heating, and upper-level vorticity maxima in the weak flow aloft led to the development of scattered thunderstorms in West Texas and Southeast New Mexico. These storms generally began in the higher terrain and moved northeast. The low levels were fairly dry, which allowed for a couple of storms to produce severe downburst winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 22, 12:12 PM CST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 112 PM CDT Tue Jul 22 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 107 PM CDT Tue Jul 22 2025 - Isolated to scattered storms this afternoon into this evening. Highest rain chances over the Davis Mountains. Storms unlikely to be severe, but flooding will be possible. - Rain chances begin to decrease for Wednesday, with the Davis Mountains continuing to have the best chance for rain. - Warmer and drier conditions are in store from Wednesday into next week. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 107 PM CDT Tue Jul 22 2025 An upper low will pull out of the area of the course of today and tomorrow. During that time, isolated to scattered storms will develop mainly across the higher terrain and slowly move to the east and northeast. While severe storms are not expected, any thunderstorms that do develop today will be capable of producing strong winds, small hail, heavy rain, and contain frequent lightning. Flash flooding will also be a concern, particularly over the Davis Mountains southward across Presidio and Brewster counties. Overall flow is fairly light and may lead to slow moving or training thunderstorms. Short term, hi-res guidance is in decent agreement on storms dissipating around or just after midnight tonight. As the upper low pulls away into the Great Plains tomorrow, rain chances drop for much of the region with the highest chances(30-50%) holding on over the Davis Mountains. Like today, any storms that develop will likely not be severe, but may still be strong with heavy rain, gusty winds, and lightning. Highs for tomorrow end up in the low to mid 90s for most with upper 80s to low 90s in the western half of the CWA. Lows will settle near to just above normal in the low to mid 70s. -Stickney && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 107 PM CDT Tue Jul 22 2025 Highs have trended a few degrees higher, PoPs lower, and winds more southerly for the end of the week into early this weekend compared to forecast runs from 24 hours prior, but otherwise the long term remains on track to have warmer and drier conditions developing late this week and continuing into next week. Highs Thursday rise into the upper 90s to triple digits over Upper Trans Pecos and northeast Permian Basin in addition to along the Rio Grande, with 80s higher elevations, and lower to mid 90s elsewhere. PoPs only increase to low to medium over the Davis Mountains during the afternoon from heating of elevated terrain and mesoscale terrain induced circulations, and wane quickly after sunset with loss of daytime heating destabilization. Despite broken to scattered cloud cover limiting diurnal solar heating in some regions, mid to upper ridging building west from the southeastern US will exert large scale sinking motion and warming, keeping temperatures near to a few degrees above average. Thursday night, lows only cool into the upper 60s to mid 70s, mid 70s to upper 70s along the Rio Grande. Friday warms up even more as the ridge strengthens. Triple digits are forecast along Pecos River, eastern and central Permian Basin (including Midland- Odessa), and along the Rio Grande (highs approaching 110 F in the Big Bend), with mid to upper 90s elsewhere apart from 80s over higher elevations. Friday night looks to be a repeat of Thursday night but a few degrees warmer, especially over the SE NM plains. This weekend, a slight "cooling" trend in highs takes place as southerly winds back more to the southeast. This will be associated with dew point temperatures increasing from upper 50s F to lower 60s F (upper 40s F to lower 50s F western higher terrain) Saturday back to the upper 50s F to mid 60s F (lower to mid 50s F western higher terrain) Sunday. Highs also will drop from values similar to Thursday to mid to upper 90s, 80s higher elevations, and triple digits Presidio Valley into the Big Bend Sunday. This will occur even as PoPs decrease to near zero even over Davis Mountains Sunday with even less cloud cover, due to humid, upslope southeast winds redeveloping across most of the area. Overnight, southeast winds becoming gusty in LLJs and a more humid boundary layer limiting radiational cooling keep lows warm despite the "cooler" high temperatures. Early next week, highs level off and PoPs stay low to near zero as mid to upper ridging becomes entrenched across the central US. Lows likewise remain similar to previous nights. As a consequence of low to medium PoPs Thursday into early weekend and near zero thereafter, NBM grids are displaying no rainfall in the long term and while ensembles are still depicting a few tenths of an inch of rainfall even in the lowest percentiles, no further flooding issues are expected as the region again settles into a dry pattern more typical of the "dog days" of summer. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue Jul 22 2025 VFR continues at all terminals. TEMPOs for TS included at CNM/HOB where confidence for timing of convection is highest. Amendments possible at FST/MAF during the afternoon/evening. Convection decreases late tonight. Winds remaining southerly/southeasterly for the TAF period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 74 95 75 99 / 20 20 0 0 Carlsbad 69 92 71 96 / 50 20 0 10 Dryden 74 97 75 100 / 30 20 0 0 Fort Stockton 72 94 72 99 / 40 30 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 64 83 67 89 / 40 20 0 10 Hobbs 68 91 69 96 / 50 10 0 10 Marfa 63 86 62 90 / 50 50 10 30 Midland Intl Airport 74 94 75 99 / 30 20 10 0 Odessa 72 93 75 98 / 30 20 10 0 Wink 71 94 72 98 / 30 20 10 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...93 LONG TERM....94 AVIATION...93
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 148 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:36 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The West Texas Mesonet station 3 NNW Belding measured a 59 mph wind gust.
The ASOS station at Dryden measured a wind gust of 62 mph, along with a couple of other severe wind gusts. The total time of occurrence is partially estimated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1276986, 1276988.