Thunderstorms formed along an outflow boundary in a moist airmass over Central Texas and moved into the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. Some of these storms produced locally heavy rain that led to flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Thunderstorms formed along an outflow boundary in a moist airmass over Central Texas and moved into the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. Some of these storms produced locally heavy rain that led to flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 5:19 AM CST, 55 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 619 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - A dangerous risk with potential of high impact flash flooding is forecast for later tonight into Sunday - Level 3 of 4 risk of excessive rainfall for the rest of tonight into Sunday morning for parts of the southern Edwards Plateau and Hill Country; a Level 2 of 4 risk along the I-35 corridor and/or near the Rio Grande - Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated 9 to 12 inches possible across the Flood Watch area through Sunday evening - Rapid river rises are anticipated with this dangerous flash flooding event && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 A dangerous risk with the potential of high impact flash flooding event is unfolding late tonight into Sunday. Various meteorological features are forecast to come together to create heavy rain rates (2 to 4 inches/hr) leading to flash flooding and rapid river rises. The complex of storms is likely to slowly push to the southeast from the San Angelo area as abundant Gulf moisture feeds into the convergence zone (line of storms). This is a dangerous situation since we already had a significant heavy rain event last week with soils near to saturation or at saturation levels. Runoff will take over quickly making rivers to rise to dangerous levels in addition to flash flooding across poor drainage and low-lying areas and low water crossing. Hires models are in good agreement with tonight's heavy rainfall event and therefore, our confidence is medium to high as far as occurrence and locations. With that said, higher rainfall amounts are expected through the Flood Watch period with 2 to 4 inches and isolated 9 to 12 inches possible. There is a good chance that the Flood Watch gets extended and expanded on Sunday with new data suggesting for heavy rain to continue Sunday evening into Monday morning as a mesoscale convective vortex lingers around the Hill Country. For now, we are concentrating for the late tonight into Sunday morning period. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 For the extended forecast period, relatively dry and warm conditions are expected mid to late week with high temperatures at seasonal values for most of the work week and reaching the mid to upper 90s by next weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 606 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 MVFR cigs are forecast to prevail across the I-35 corridor terminals through late this morning. Then VFR cigs are expected for the rest of today and evening. However, storms are expected to move across the I-35 sites bringing down cigs and vsbys to MVFR levels this afternoon and evening. A south to southeast flow is forecast to prevail through the period. MVFR cigs return overnight across all area airports. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 92 74 93 75 / 60 20 20 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 92 74 92 75 / 50 20 20 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 93 73 94 74 / 40 20 20 10 Burnet Muni Airport 88 72 90 73 / 70 30 20 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 95 76 95 77 / 30 40 20 20 Georgetown Muni Airport 90 73 92 74 / 60 30 20 0 Hondo Muni Airport 93 73 93 75 / 30 30 20 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 93 73 93 74 / 50 20 20 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 90 75 92 75 / 50 20 30 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 93 75 93 76 / 30 20 20 10 Stinson Muni Airport 95 75 95 76 / 30 20 20 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through this evening for Bandera-Bexar-Blanco-Burnet- Comal-Edwards-Gillespie-Hays-Kendall-Kerr-Kinney-Llano-Medina-Real- Travis-Uvalde-Val Verde-Williamson. && Short-Term...17 Long-Term...17 Aviation...17
The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 77 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 12:15 UTC.
5 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain leading to flash flooding closing FM 963 northeast of Burnet.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain leading to flash flooding. The emergency manager passed a report from fire officials of a foot of water over the bridge on FM 963 over Rocky Creek.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain leading to flash flooding. Cypress Creek flooded low water crossings southwest of Hunt.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain leading to flash flooding. Town Creek overflowed on Town Creek Rd in Kerrville.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain leading to flash flooding. Water was a foot deep over Hwy 39 along the Guadalupe River between Hunt and Ingram.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1278758, 1278762, 1278770, 1278774, 1278783.