Texas, 2025Drought in Texas, April 1 to 30, 2025
April 1 to 30, 2025 · NWS FWD · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
Severe drought conditions continued across Bell, Lampasas, and Mills counties throughout the month of April.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Severe drought conditions continued across Bell, Lampasas, and Mills counties throughout the month of April.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 11:58 PM CST, 2 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Isolated storms (15-25% chance) are possible across portions of the Big Country and western North Texas Tuesday evening. Greater storm coverage is expected Tuesday night into Wednesday morning (40-60% chance) over North Texas. A few severe storms are possible.
- There will be multiple, potentially numerous rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms Wednesday evening through Saturday.
- Flooding will be of increasing concern heading into this upcoming weekend.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 11:58 PM CST, 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1258 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025
...New Short Term, Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated storms (15-25% chance) are possible across portions of
the Big Country and western North Texas Tuesday evening. Greater
storm coverage is expected Tuesday night into Wednesday morning
(40-60% chance) over North Texas. A few severe storms are
possible.
- There will be multiple, potentially numerous rounds of strong to
severe thunderstorms Wednesday evening through Saturday.
- Flooding will be of increasing concern heading into this
upcoming weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Wednesday Afternoon/
Low-level flow will shift back out of the south-southeast before
sunrise this morning as lee cyclogenesis occurs over SE Colorado
tightening the pressure gradient over the Southern Plains. This
southerly flow will quickly draw moisture and subsequent low
stratus over much of North and Central Texas by late Tuesday
morning. Expect south winds at 15-25 mph with occasional gusts up
to 35-40 mph. Isolated areas may approach Wind Advisory criteria
Tuesday afternoon and evening, especially along and west of
I-35/I-35W, but will hold off on an issuance for now.
A rather stout capping inversion will keep convective initiation
at bay through much of Tuesday afternoon, but we cannot rule out a
few spotty showers beneath the cap through the early evening hours
as warm/moist advection increases over North and Central Texas.
The arrival of mid 60s dewpoints will likely be delayed until
further in the evening Tuesday with a widespread area of 2000-3000
J/kg MUCAPE setting up over most of the region ahead of a dryline
laid out across parts of western Central Texas and the Big
Country. Large scale ascent ahead of an approaching shortwave
trough and forcing along the dryline may be enough to overcome the
cap with isolated thunderstorms possible generally after 6-7PM
Tuesday evening west of Hwy 281. We will keep the potential for
this isolated evening activity below 25% unless we start to see
some better agreement on convective initiation in the high-
resolution guidance. If storms do develop Tuesday evening,
atmospheric conditions will support supercell thunderstorms
capable of producing all severe weather hazards, however very
large hail and localized damaging wind gusts will be the primary
threats. It is uncertain on how far east this initial threat will
extend (if storms develop at all) due to lingering CINH, but if a
supercell thunderstorm is able to persist after dark, a
strengthening low-level jet could increase the tornado threat.
Greater thunderstorm coverage will likely hold off until after
midnight Tuesday night into Wednesday morning when the Plains
surface cyclone shifts off to the east and drags a frontal
boundary into North Texas. The orientation of the mean flow to the
surface boundary will likely promote upscale growth into more of
a linear structure with damaging wind gusts the primary threat.
However, initial activity along the front could still pose a large
hail and perhaps a low-end tornado threat if thunderstorms are
able to remain surface-based. Again, it is a bit uncertain how
this activity will interact with lingering capping. There may be a
brief period of intensification late Wednesday morning into early
Wednesday afternoon east of I-35 as higher quality boundary-layer
moisture shifts northward into the frontal boundary before this
activity exits into East Texas. The severe weather threat will
likely maximize east and northeast of our forecast area late
Wednesday afternoon and evening. Additional thunderstorms are
forecast later Wednesday evening into Wednesday night, with the
best rain chances along and north of the I-20 corridor (see long-
term discussion below).
Langfeld
&&
.LONG TERM... /Issued 147 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025/
/Wednesday through Monday/
Thunderstorms may still be ongoing across the eastern half of the
CWA early Wednesday morning with a continued severe weather
threat, but activity should diminish through midday as the initial
wave of ascent pulls off to the northeast. In its wake, drier air
will filter into the northwest counties, while a moist and
unstable airmass will generally remain in place east of I-35. This
pseudo-front/dryline feature will retreat back to the northwest
through the day Wednesday as another upstream shortwave spreads
through the Four Corners region. As it does, instability will also
spread back to the northwest setting the stage for another round
of severe thunderstorm potential late Wednesday evening and
overnight. Thunderstorms should generally be confined to areas
along and north of I-20 where the strongest low level warm
advection will be focused near the boundary. Low level wind fields
will be weaker late Wednesday night so the tornado threat should
be lower, but steep mid level lapse rates and modest deep layer
shear will continue to support a large hail threat.
Any ongoing convection from late Wednesday night should continue
at least through part of Thursday morning before winding down.
Similar to Wednesday, atmospheric recovery will likely take place
through much of the afternoon with the boundary again oscillating
between I-20 and the Red River. Another wave of ascent is expected
to overspread North Texas late Thursday night with widespread
showers and thunderstorms developing during the overnight hours
into Friday. It's a little more uncertain during this time with
respect to the severe threat given the timing and unknown degree
of recovery we can expect, but we'll maintain at least a modest
threat for severe potential through Friday. In addition, with the
frontal boundary looking like it will generally be positioned
between I-20 and the Red River for an extended period of time,
there will be some potential for very heavy rainfall through
Saturday with flooding probability increasing by the weekend.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06Z TAFs/
Southeast flow will return by 09Z this morning as pressure falls
occur in the lee of the Rockies. Expect increasing southerly flow
during the day Tuesday with sustained winds at 15-22 kts gusting
to 30-35 kts at times.
VFR will prevail through the remainder of the overnight with
moist, low-level southerly flow ushering in MVFR stratus after
daybreak Tuesday morning. Currently have MVFR reaching KACT after
12Z (could see FEW to SCT MVFR a couple hours earlier) and MVFR in
D10 after 15Z. Cigs will lift to VFR by midday Tuesday likely
returning to MVFR status Tuesday night toward the end of this TAF
period and beyond. There is a ~20% chance that MVFR lingers into
Tuesday afternoon, primarily for eastern D10. A capping inversion
will keep any thunderstorm activity over the terminals at bay
through this TAF period. We will need to monitor increasing
thunderstorm potential over D10 after this TAF period.
Langfeld
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not likely through Tuesday afternoon.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 67 85 66 82 63 / 40 40 70 50 70
Waco 67 85 69 84 68 / 20 30 30 30 50
Paris 66 79 64 77 62 / 30 70 80 80 70
Denton 64 83 59 79 58 / 50 30 80 40 70
McKinney 66 82 64 79 61 / 40 40 80 60 70
Dallas 67 85 67 80 63 / 40 40 70 50 70
Terrell 67 83 67 82 65 / 30 50 70 60 70
Corsicana 69 85 70 85 69 / 10 50 40 50 60
Temple 67 88 69 87 67 / 10 20 20 20 50
Mineral Wells 64 85 59 82 58 / 50 10 70 20 70
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Drought, Mills
- When
- April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Mills forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.495, -98.595 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions impacted portions of the county through the end of the month.
Drought, Bell
- When
- April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Bell forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.038, -97.478 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions impacted portions of the county through the end of the month.
Drought, Lampasas
- When
- April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Lampasas forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.196, -98.241 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions impacted portions of the county through the end of the month.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Storm and Heavy Snow in South Dakota, April 1 to 3, 20252 deaths · 1 injured · 11 events
- Tornado and Hail in Missouri, April 1 to 2, 2025$100,000 · EF2 · 12 events
- Winter Weather in Pennsylvania, April 1, 2025$100,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Hail in Kansas, April 1 to 2, 2025$30,000 · 1.5 in hail · 19 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, April 1 to 2, 20252.5 in hail · 40 events
- Drought in Texas, April 1 to 30, 202530 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Minnesota, April 1 to 3, 202530 events
- Drought in New Mexico, April 1 to 30, 202528 events
- Strong Wind in Puerto Rico, April 1 to 2, 2025$32,000 · 3 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, April 1, 202527 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Kansas, April 1 to 2, 20251.5 in hail · 24 events
- Dust Storm and High Wind in New Mexico, April 1, 202567 kt wind · 23 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1254302, 1254304, 1254305.