Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, April 1 to 30, 2025

April 1 to 30, 2025 · NWS SJT · 16 events in 16 counties and zones

There was moderate to extreme drought conditions mainly along and south of I-20 during the month of April. The extreme drought conditions were mainly across the portions of the Northern Edwards Plateau, Northwest Hill Country and the Heartland.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 16 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
16

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.

There was moderate to extreme drought conditions mainly along and south of I-20 during the month of April. The extreme drought conditions were mainly across the portions of the Northern Edwards Plateau, Northwest Hill Country and the Heartland. Drought conditions did improve toward the end of the month due to rainfall across much of the area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 11:44 PM CST, 16 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • There is a Marginal to Slight risk of severe weather across most of West Central Texas Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night.
  • A Red Flag Warning for fire weather is in effect Tuesday afternoon and evening for Crockett county and western portions of the Big Country and Concho Valley.
  • There are medium to high chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday night into Friday night.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 11:44 PM CST, 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1244 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a Marginal to Slight risk of severe weather across most
  of West Central Texas Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night.

- A Red Flag Warning for fire weather is in effect Tuesday
  afternoon and evening for Crockett county and western portions
  of the Big Country and Concho Valley.

- There are medium to high chance of showers and thunderstorms
  Thursday night into Friday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

South winds return to the area tonight, with a rapid increase in low
level moisture by tomorrow morning, as a lee trough strengthens
ahead of a shortwave moving across the Rockies. Low clouds will
develop across the area towards daybreak and persist through the
morning and early afternoon hours. A dry line will mix east into far
western portions of the forecast area by tomorrow afternoon. Very
dry air behind the dryline, coupled with gusty southwest winds,
above normal temperatures in the upper 80s and low relative humidity
values will result in critical fire weather conditions across this
area during the afternoon hours. A Red Flag Warning remains in affect
for western portions of the Big Country, Concho Valley and Crockett
county for tomorrow afternoon and evening.

The next concern will be convective potential east of the dryline
mainly tomorrow evening/overnight. A strong capping inversion should
prevent storms from forming ahead of the dryline but with the
arrival of stronger lift and increasing wind fields aloft, some
severe storms are possible. The most favored area for severe storms
will be from the Concho Valley and Heartland north into the Big
Country. The latest CAM's are showing little if any development,
while the GFS shows some development late tomorrow evening.
Although confidence is rather low, any storms that do manage to
develop will have the potential to become severe, with large hail
the main threat, although damaging winds and an isolated tornado
will also be possible. For now, will maintain low POPs tomorrow
evening/overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 220 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

Chances are increasing for active weather during the middle to
later parts of this week. A broad upper-level trough looks to
settle in across the western US on Wednesday, with the axis of
the trough becoming negatively tilted over the Desert Southwest
and enhancing uplift across most of west Texas. Meanwhile, a
surface cold front will have pushed into the region from an
existing surface low pressure center over the upper Midwest. This
front appears that it will halt it's progress and retreat slightly
northwestward by Wednesday evening. This will allow 50-60 degree
dewpoints to advect into the region from the southeast and for
instability to increase to over 2000 J/kg, thereby introducing
chances for showers and thunderstorms again Wednesday night.

The model consensus for Thursday through Saturday is that the broad
upper trough should dig further south and entrench itself across the
western US, which would place most of Texas in southwesterly flow
aloft.  A mid-level shortwave trough will round the base of the main
trough and become negatively-tilted over New Mexico, thereby
providing substantial upward motion over west Texas.  There is also
good agreement on the surface cold front stalling over the southern
Plains, specifically over central Texas.  The strong upper-level
support, combined with a steady feed of gulf moisture and lift from
the stalled boundary, could result in multiple rounds of showers and
thunderstorms for the region Friday through Sunday. As of this
point, there is a medium to high chance of at least 1 inch of
rainfall occurring Thursday through Saturday night. In particular,
the heaviest rainfall appears to be most likely on Friday night when
the best convergence and uplift should occur.  As always, model
solutions can change significantly over the next few days,
especially with rainfall amounts, so this will continue to be
monitored closely throughout the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1239 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

VFR conditions will continue into the early morning hours across
West Central Texas terminals, but MVFR cigs are already showing up
on satellite south of the area. These MVFR cigs will overspread
area terminals around sunrise, with some areas dropping to IFR.
THis will persist for much of the morning before cigs climb back
to VFR for the remainder of the day. Otherwise, windy conditions
expected to develop with most areas seeing some gusts above 25kts
at times. There continues to be some chance for isolated
thunderstorms across the area during the later afternoon into the
overnight hours. Give the uncertainty in timing and location and
the with the best chances coming just after the timing of this
forecast, will hold off mentioning anything in the terminals for
now.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 335 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

...Red flag warning Tuesday afternoon and evening

A dryline will mix east into far western portions of the forecast
area tomorrow afternoon. Gusty south to southwest winds will develop
tomorrow, with wind gusts up to 35 mph expected. The strong winds
combined with above normal temperatures and minimum RH values between
15 and 20 percent will result in critical fire weather conditions
over western portions of the Big Country, Concho Valley and Crockett
county tomorrow afternoon and evening. A Red Flag Warning remains in
effect for this area from 1 PM until 10 PM tomorrow evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     63  83  57  80 /  20   0  50  10
San Angelo  62  86  57  83 /  20   0  30   0
Junction    64  91  62  88 /  10   0  20   0
Brownwood   62  86  59  82 /  30  10  40  10
Sweetwater  60  81  55  80 /  20   0  40   0
Ozona       61  87  58  83 /  10   0  20   0
Brady       67  87  62  83 /  20   0  20   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM CDT this
evening for Coke-Crockett-Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Nolan-
Sterling.

&&

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...07

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

16 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Fisher

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Fisher forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.743, -100.402 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Fisher County during the month of April.

Drought, Sterling

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Sterling forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.828, -101.050 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Sterling County during the month of April.

Drought, Runnels

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Runnels forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.831, -99.976 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Runnels County during the month of April.

Drought, Coleman

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Coleman forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.773, -99.454 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Coleman County during the month of April.

Drought, Brown

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Brown forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.774, -99.000 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Brown County during the month of April.

Drought, Irion

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Irion forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.304, -100.982 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Irion County during the month of April.

Drought, Tom Green

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Tom Green forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.404, -100.462 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated moderate/severe drought conditions across Tom Green County during the month of April.

Drought, Concho

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Concho forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.327, -99.864 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Concho County during the month of April.

Drought, McCulloch

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McCulloch forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.199, -99.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across McCulloch County during the month of April.

Drought, San Saba

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
San Saba forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.155, -98.818 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across San Saba County during the month of April.

Drought, Crockett

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Crockett forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.723, -101.412 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Crockett County during the month of April.

Drought, Schleicher

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Schleicher forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.897, -100.539 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Schleicher County during the month of April.

Drought, Sutton

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Sutton forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.498, -100.538 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Sutton County during the month of April.

Drought, Menard

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Menard forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.890, -99.821 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Menard County during the month of April.

Drought, Mason

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Mason forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.718, -99.226 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Mason County during the month of April.

Drought, Kimble

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Kimble forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.487, -99.749 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The US Drought Monitor indicated severe/extreme drought conditions across Kimble County during the month of April.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, April 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1253700, 1253701, 1253702, 1253703, 1253704, 1253705, 1253706, 1253707, 1253708, 1253709, 1253710, 1253711, 1253712, 1253713, 1253714, 1253715.