Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, April 1 to 30, 2025

April 1 to 30, 2025 · NWS EWX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Total precipitation for the month was 25%-50% of normal. However, there was enough during the last week of the month to get Bastrop and Fayette Counties out of Severe (D2) Drought category and into Moderate (D1) Drought.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.

Total precipitation for the month was 25%-50% of normal. However, there was enough during the last week of the month to get Bastrop and Fayette Counties out of Severe (D2) Drought category and into Moderate (D1) Drought.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 11:24 PM CST, 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 11:24 PM CST, 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1224 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 413 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

An isolated storm has formed over Shavano Park and is drifting into
the SAT airport. Most of the hi-res models show one ore two storms
and then dissipation closer to sunset.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

Key Messages:

- Hot out west, cooler and comfortable east behind a backdoor cold
  front.

- Moisture and humidity return Tuesday with southerly winds ramping
  back up.

A beautiful day is shaping up for areas generally east of US-281
with temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s. For the most part, if you
are west of this line, expect temperatures in the upper 80s to upper
90s. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible along the Rio
Grande this afternoon as RH values dip into the 15-25% range along
with breezy northwesterly winds of 10-15 mph. A stray shower may pop
up along the frontal boundary as it becomes more diffuse over the
southern CWA later this afternoon, but chances look fairly low.

On Tuesday, low clouds and perhaps some patchy drizzle will start
our day, followed by late morning/early afternoon breaks in the
clouds and a shot at a strong to severe storm in the late
afternoon/early evening over the southern Edwards Plateau, western
Hill Country, and Rio Grande Plains. Hi-res guidance is not too keen
on storms forming, but the instability will be there, along with the
moisture. It's the cap that will need breaking to get much of
anything going. For now, we've maintained a dry forecast, but with a
Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe storms in the areas
mentioned above for Tuesday, any storms that managed to get going in
this environment have the potential to be severe. A dryline will be
the primary feature on which storms may develop Tuesday, with
damaging winds greater than 60 mph being the primary hazard in
addition to the threat for large hail. The warm and muggy conditions
we experienced this weekend will return Tuesday night as
temperatures struggle to dip below the 70 degree mark.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 146 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

Key Messages:

- Low chances for isolated showers and storms north of I-10 Wednesday
  and Thursday.

- Better chances for showers and storms north of Highway 90 Friday through
  Saturday.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures continue this week, with a shift to cooler
  temperatures somewhat likely Sunday.

A slow-moving longwave trough over the western US will aid in
keeping a warm and moist Gulf airmass over our area through this
week, though shortwaves riding along the longwave's periphery will
periodically nudge the dry line eastward beyond its usual diurnal
oscillations. Wednesday morning and afternoon looks to be another
one of these instances, with models in decent agreement that some
combination of dryline and Pacific front will progress to around the
Highway 281 corridor by Wednesday afternoon before retreating west
in the evening. An impressive 50 to 60 kt low level jet preceding
this advance will help set up a narrow but strong instability axis
just ahead of the dryline. For now, the broadness of the moisture
gradient, weaker forcing, and a substantial cap look to limit
convective coverage (with PoPs around 10 to 20 percent), but there is
a conditional risk for an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm
across our northern counties during the daytime if enough ascent can
be generated ahead of the dryline. Underscoring this potential, the
SPC has highlighted a level 1 of 5 (Marginal) risk of severe weather
for most areas north of I-10 in our region Wednesday.

Thursday looks similar to Wednesday with another dry line jaunt
eastward during the day, just with weaker low-level flow and
slightly lower temperatures. Thus, another conditional risk for a
strong storm is in play Thursday with the favored areas again north
of I-10, though rain chances overall remain low, around 20 percent.
Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday look anomalously warm with highs
in the 90s for most with highs above 100F likely in the Rio Grande
Plains.

A gradual shift occurs Friday as guidance shows the longwave trough
beginning to dig a bit more southward. This will have the effect of
introducing more widespread divergence aloft over our region,
increasing rain chances Friday and Saturday mainly for areas north
of Highway 90. The current setup favors a stationary front
developing Friday and lingering over Central Texas before the trough
begins to pivot. This front will serve as a likely focus for shower
and storm activity, though broad isentropic lifting will support
shower development throughout the Gulf airmass ahead of it. Showers
remain possible so long as the front remains in our area. While it's
still uncertain at this range where that front will set up, rain
chances Friday and Saturday continue to be around 50 to 70 percent,
with chances tapering off south of Highway 90.

While the broader trough will still be over the western US heading
into next week, models show a detaching shortwave siphoning off a
good chunk of its vorticity Saturday into Sunday as the southern
stream jet goes out of phase with the northern stream jet. This will
allow low-level northerly flow to kick in, pushing the front out of
our area and introducing a drier and cooler continental airmass
perhaps by Sunday. Most of the long range ensemble members show
below average temperatures to start next week as the slow moving
upper air pattern keeps this air around. Lows in the 40s to low 50s
and highs in the 60s to low 70s characterize the bulk of the
ensemble members for Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025

Southerly flow is beginning to overrun an east to northeast flow at
the surface bringing low end VFR/high end MVFR CIGs. This trend will
continue overnight into early Tuesday morning with mostly MVFR CIGs
developing over our area. CIGs will lift to VFR by midday as breezy
southerly winds take hold with a some gusts up to 30 KTs possible.
MVFR CIGs return Tuesday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              69  91  72  88 /  10  10  10  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  69  90  70  89 /  10  10  10  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     68  93  70  91 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            68  89  70  86 /  20  10  10  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           69  99  68  95 /  10   0  10   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        68  89  70  88 /  10  20  10  20
Hondo Muni Airport             67  95  67  92 /  10   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        68  91  70  90 /  10  10  10  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   70  87  72  89 /   0  10  10  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       69  92  71  90 /  10   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           71  93  71  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Short-Term...04
Long-Term...17
Aviation...04

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 31, 7:46 PM CST, 4 hours 14 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
846 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0552 PM     Hail             2 S Sea World           29.43N 98.70W
03/31/2025  M1.75 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

&&

BF
Local storm report, Mar 31, 7:48 PM CST, 4 hours 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
848 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     Hail             5 W Government Canyon S 29.53N 98.84W
03/31/2025  E1.75 Inch       Medina             TX   Public

            Report from mPING Golf Ball (1.75 in.).

0545 PM     Hail             Sea World               29.46N 98.70W
03/31/2025  M1.00 Inch       Bexar              TX   Trained Spotter

            Broken window and weather station measured
            75 mph.

0546 PM     Hail             3 N Sea World           29.50N 98.70W
03/31/2025  E0.75 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

            Corrects previous hail report from 3 N Sea
            World. Report from mPING Dime (0.75 in.).

0549 PM     Hail             Leon Valley             29.50N 98.62W
03/31/2025  E1.50 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

0550 PM     Hail             Sea World               29.45N 98.70W
03/31/2025  E1.75 Inch       Bexar              TX   Amateur Radio

            Amateur radio passed a report of golf ball
            size near Sea World. Time estimated from
            radar.

0552 PM     Hail             2 S Sea World           29.43N 98.70W
03/31/2025  M1.75 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

0552 PM     Hail             2 SW Leon Valley        29.47N 98.64W
03/31/2025  E1.50 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

            Report from mPING Ping Pong Ball (1.50 in.).

0555 PM     Hail             3 ESE Sea World         29.45N 98.66W
03/31/2025  E1.75 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

0558 PM     Hail             3 ESE Sea World         29.44N 98.66W
03/31/2025  E1.75 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

0558 PM     Hail             Sea World               29.45N 98.70W
03/31/2025  E2.00 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

0600 PM     Hail             2 SSW Sea World         29.44N 98.71W
03/31/2025  E1.75 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

0600 PM     Hail             1 SE Sea World          29.45N 98.68W
03/31/2025  E1.00 Inch       Bexar              TX   Trained Spotter

0602 PM     Hail             2 SW Leon Valley        29.47N 98.64W
03/31/2025  E1.50 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

            Report from mPING Ping Pong Ball (1.50 in.).

0610 PM     Hail             3 NW Lackland AFB       29.41N 98.65W
03/31/2025  E1.50 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

0613 PM     Hail             2 W Sea World           29.46N 98.73W
03/31/2025  E1.25 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

            Half dollar size hail near Brennan High
            School.

0621 PM     Hail             3 SW Government Canyon  29.51N 98.79W
03/31/2025  E1.00 Inch       Bexar              TX   Public

            Report from mPING Quarter (1.00 in.).

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Bastrop

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 29, 6:00 AM CST
Where
Bastrop forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
30.104, -97.312 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Total precipitation for the month was 25%-50% of normal. However, there was enough during the last week of the month to get Bastrop and Fayette Counties out of Severe (D2) Drought category and into Moderate (D1) Drought.

Drought, Fayette

When
April 1, 12:00 AM CST to April 30, 6:00 AM CST
Where
Fayette forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.877, -96.920 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Total precipitation for the month was 25%-50% of normal. However, there was enough during the last week of the month to get Bastrop and Fayette Counties out of Severe (D2) Drought category and into Moderate (D1) Drought.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, April 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1250886, 1250887.