A cold front sagged down through the Ohio Valley region, stalling out as a stationary front. Showers and thunderstorms developed along this boundary in a very moist environment, producing heavy rainfall and flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ILN wrote it up.
A cold front sagged down through the Ohio Valley region, stalling out as a stationary front. Showers and thunderstorms developed along this boundary in a very moist environment, producing heavy rainfall and flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 18, 1:19 AM EST, 3 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 219 AM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Active weather pattern continues with daily flash flood chances at times through the weekend. A system on Saturday will also bring the potential for severe weather to the region. While cooler temperatures are expected for Monday, the heat and humidity will return by mid week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... Light rain showers are working across portions of the region this morning. A more pronounced area of showers and thunderstorms will develop by morning near the Interstate 70 corridor. Increased precipitation chances and added heavy rain mention in. Decided not to go with a flood watch due to narrow corridor leading to more localized flooding concerns and also some uncertainty with where that corridor will line up. Have also highlighted this corridor in the HWO. This corridor is where there will be potential for several rounds and slower moving storms. Temperatures could be a little too warm in this corridor where precipitation develops, however due to uncertainty in exact location decided not to change temperatures from the NBM. Across southern portions of the region there will be additional thunderstorm activity, however expect this to be more scattered and progressive in nature and therefore not as much of a flood risk. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... There will be a decrease in precipitation changes this evening through the first part of the night before picking up again late in the overnight starting in the southwest. Additional thunderstorms will move in during the day, especially later in the afternoon and into the evening hours when a more organized area of thunderstorms move in. This will have the potential for severe weather. Damaging winds will be the primary threat with this along with heavy rain and the potential for flash flooding concerns. Will hold off on a flood watch for Saturday at this time due to the progressive nature of the storms. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Cold front will sag south into northern Ohio Saturday night and then, per latest guidance, proceed south through most of the CWA on Sunday. This will likely focus highest PWATs and localized heavy rain potential into southwest through south-central Ohio and northern/northeast Kentucky before drier air moves in behind the front Sunday night. Will maintain Sunday heavy rain mention in HWO for now... but if the more progressive solution holds, will need to limit threat to the southern areas. Compared to the recent tropical airmass, Monday's is leaning more on the dry side as surface high pressure slides east across the Great Lakes region. This will be short-lived, as return flow around the high along with H5 ridging will bring hot and humid conditions on Tuesday and Wednesday. Will need to take a closer look at mid to upper 70 dewpoints currently in forecast for Wednesday afternoon (despite recent warm bias in NBM, evapotranspiration is peaking heading into late July). Either way, there does appear to be a signal for heat indices approaching 95-100 degrees in some areas Wednesday afternoon. May need to mention this in future HWOs, but will hold off for now so that focus can remain on the shorter term localized flooding potential. && .AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... While conditions are VFR across a large portion of the area this morning, there are pockets of MVFR and IFR conditions. Expect some lower cigs to work into the area overnight with additional MVFR and IFR cigs expected. In addition, showers will move into the region with some thunderstorms also possible during the daytime hours. Conditions will improve later in the day. The next wave of showers and thunderstorms will move into KCVG at the end of the longer KCVG TAF period. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are likely through Tuesday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington OH 306 AM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025 INZ075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ073-078>082-088-190715- Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Ross-Clermont-Brown-Highland- Adams-Pike-Scioto- 306 AM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Indiana, northeast Kentucky, northern Kentucky, south central Ohio and southwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Isolated severe weather will be possible on Saturday with damaging winds the primary threat. Several rounds of showers and storms are expected this weekend. These repeated episodes of heavy rain may lead to flash flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. INZ050-058-059-OHZ053>056-060>065-074-190715- Wayne-Fayette-Union-Clark-Madison-Franklin-Licking-Preble-Montgomery- Greene-Pickaway-Fairfield-Hocking- 306 AM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana, central Ohio and west central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A corridor of heavy rain will lead to the potential for localized flash flood issues today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Severe weather is possible on Saturday with damaging winds the primary threat. Several rounds of showers and storms are expected this weekend. These repeated episodes of heavy rain may lead to flash flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. INZ066-073-074-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051-052-070>072-077-190715- Franklin-Ripley-Dearborn-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan- Union-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Hamilton- 306 AM EDT Fri Jul 18 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Indiana, central Ohio, southwest Ohio and west central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Severe weather is possible on Saturday with damaging winds the primary threat. Several rounds of showers and storms are expected this weekend. These repeated episodes of heavy rain may lead to flash flooding. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 125 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:28 UTC.
10 flash flood, 4 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
High standing water was reported over portions of Sellers Drive, inundating the road and home driveways.
Water was flowing across properties along McIntire Road.
Water was flowing through Thomas Ireland Smith Farm with much of the property inundated, causing minor damage to barns, stables, and outhouses.
Rushing water was reported over Zoar Road between Nunner Road and Plumstead Lane. The road was closed by the fire department.
Water was rushing over Morrow-Woodville Road west of Gheils Carroll Road.
Rushing water was reported over Stephens Road at Village Green Parkway.
Water was reported to be rushing out of a pond on the west side of Morrow Rossburg Road.
The parking lot of Valley Vineyards was under eight to ten inches of water.
Water was reported to be flowing across U.S. Route 22 at the intersection with Stubbs Mills Road.
Stubbs Mills Road was covered by high water.
Water was rushing over Mounts Road along Salt Run.
Water was reported to be rushing over the intersection of Mulberry Street and Broadway Street.
Rushing water was reported over Morrow-Cozaddale Road, in between Ludum Road and U.S. Route 22.
High water was reported over the roundabout on Morrow-Cozaddale Road in between the two school buildings.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1267760, 1267747, 1267748, 1267749, 1267750, 1267751, 1267752, 1267759, 1267753, 1267758, 1267754, 1267755, 1267757, 1267762.