Increasing moisture and lift ahead of a relatively strong low pressure system resulted in flash flooding across portions of southeast Ohio. Flash Flooding occurred as the cold front approached and crossed with an axis of heavy rain just ahead of the front.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PBZ wrote it up.
Increasing moisture and lift ahead of a relatively strong low pressure system resulted in flash flooding across portions of southeast Ohio. Flash Flooding occurred as the cold front approached and crossed with an axis of heavy rain just ahead of the front. This was preceded by earlier rain with the associated warm front which primed the area for flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pittsburgh, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 16, 6:47 AM EST, 13 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
647 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Rain will change to snow today as a strong surface low pulls a
cold front across the region. The ridges will see windy
conditions with snow. Snow will continue at times through Monday
before dry weather returns Tuesday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Rain changing to snow from W-E today behind a cold front
- Wind Advisory for the PA ridges
- Winter Weather Advisory the Laurel Highlands and WV ridges
- Blizzard warning for eastern Tucker and Preston counties
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Impressive surface low will move from southwest PA,
northeastward into upstate New York this morning. As the low
streaks northeastward it will drive a surface cold front through
the region, which should clear to the east by early afternoon.
Widespread rain will continue through much of the morning,
although rates will taper off as the low pulls further away.
Probabilities for > 0.25 inches this morning generally drop
below 50% south of I-80.
As colder air overspreads the region behind the front, rain will
change to snow beginning late this morning over the western
edge of the forecast area, with all of the region expected to
change over as the afternoon progresses. Most of the
accumulations post change over are expected over the higher
elevations where probabilities for > 3 inches range from
40-70%. Outside of the ridges, accumulations are expected to
remain generally less than one-half inch this afternoon.
In addition to the change over to snow, a tight surface
pressure gradient, combining with cold air advection which will
work to bring stronger winds aloft down to the surface, will
produce gusty winds Sunday afternoon. The strongest gusts will
be over the higher elevations where probs for gusts > 40mph
range from 50 to 100%. The focus of the strongest gusts will be
over eastern Tucker county where probs for gusts > 50 mph are
close to 70%.
The cold air advection will also allow for falling temperatures
across the area after FROPA.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Snow showers continue into Monday
- Winds will weaken Monday afternoon
- Much colder Monday
- Dry and cold Tuesday
------------------------------------------------------------------
Snow is expected to continue as the shortwave trough axis
tracks across the region tonight into Monday. Advisory criteria
snowfall of 4-6 inches remains likely across the Laurel
Highlands, and 5-9 inches across eastern Tucker and Preston
counties. With moisture in the dendritic layer, steep lapse
rates, and orographic lift. With warning criteria snow and wind
gusts of 60 mph or greater, Blizzard Warning remains for
eastern Tucker and Preston counties in WV, and a Winter Weather
Advisory for the PA Laurels. Elsewhere generally 1 to 3 inches
of snow is expected from the changeover on Sunday through
Monday with the higher amounts over the I-80 corridor due to
lake enhancement in NW flow.
The snow should gradually taper of on Monday as surface high
pressure begins to build in, and the wind backs to the W and SW.
The high should maintain the dry weather through Tuesday.
Much colder temperatures will move across the region Monday and
Tuesday. 850 mb temperatures are progged from -17 to -21 deg C.
This should result in overnight lows in the single digits to
the teens Monday night, with daytime high in the upper teens to
the 20s.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Cold weather continues through Saturday
- Snow chances increase Wednesday and Thursday
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Model ensembles indicate an upper low will persist across the
northern Plains through mid week, before tracking eastward
Wednesday and Thursday. Snow chances will increase Wednesday and
Thursday as this low approaches, and as a southern stream
surface low tracks across the southern CONUS. Uncertainty exists
in the northern extent of any snow from this low, though better
chances for snow are expected Thursday as the upper low crosses.
Generally dry weather returns Friday and Saturday as the low
begins to shift east, and surface high pressure builds in.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As low level moisture continues to remain saturated, the IFR and
below conditions will remain through the coming day. A cold
front will continue to approach from the west. Expect the light
to moderate rainfall to continue through the morning with
intermittent periods of moderate rainfall.
LLWS concerns are expected to continue for sites east and south
of PIT as a low- level jet noses into the eastern portions of
the region. LLWS begins to degrade between 13-15z as the cold
front transits the region and kicks off SFC gusts. Winds are
expected to be elevated with most terminals sporting westerly
winds with gusts between 25-30 knots.
As the cold front clears, CIGs are expected to lift by 18z
this afternoon. The cold front will also bring the return of
snow to area terminals, which is expected to linger through the
remainder of the 24hr TAF period. This is expected to keep
restrictions at all sites through tonight and the rest of the
TAF period. Most terminals will see MVFR conditions return by
00Z. However, there are several more locations that may dip down
to IFR.
Outlook...
Dry air begins to filter in Monday afternoon tapering snow and
beginning to scatter clouds. Some scattered lake-effect snow
showers may create intermittent MVFR conditions at FKL and DUJ
during the first half of the week.
&&
.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flood Watch through this evening for PAZ020-021-029-031-
073>076.
Wind Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST this
evening for PAZ074-076-078.
Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 3 PM EST
Monday for PAZ074-076.
OH...Flood Watch through this evening for OHZ039>041-048>050-
057>059-068-069.
WV...Flood Watch through this evening for WVZ001>004-012-021-
509>514.
Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 3 PM EST
Monday for WVZ510-511-513.
Blizzard Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 3 PM EST Monday
for WVZ512-514.
&&
SYNOPSIS...WM/22
NEAR TERM...22
SHORT TERM...WM/22
LONG TERM...WM
AVIATION...Hefferan/ShallenbergerHazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 336 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 WVZ512-514-170845- Eastern Preston-Eastern Tucker- 336 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 PM EST MONDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Blizzard Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Blizzard Warning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. WVZ510-511-513-170845- Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston- Western Tucker- 336 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 PM EST MONDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ020-021-029-031-073-075- WVZ001>004-012-021-509-170845- Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH- Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Beaver-Allegheny-Washington- Greene-Westmoreland-Fayette-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel- Marion-Monongalia- 336 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, southwest Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania, and northern West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ007>009-013>016-022-077-170845- Mercer-Venango-Forest-Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Jefferson PA-Armstrong- Indiana- 336 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ074-076-170845- Higher Elevations of Westmoreland-Higher Elevations of Fayette- 336 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 PM EST MONDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Wind Advisory. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. PAZ078-170845- Higher Elevations of Indiana- 336 AM EST Sun Feb 16 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 135 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:58 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Road closures were reported near Duck Creek, with nearby streams over thier banks.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, February 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1241640.