New Mexico, 2025

Drought in New Mexico, September 1 to 30, 2025

September 1 to 30, 2025 · NWS ABQ · 19 events in 19 counties and zones

September 2025 saw near to slightly below normal temperatures across northern and eastern New Mexico and slightly above normal temperatures across western and central New Mexico. Above normal precipitation was observed across western and central New Mexico with near to slightly below normal precipitation across far eastern New Mexico.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 19 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
19

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.

September 2025 saw near to slightly below normal temperatures across northern and eastern New Mexico and slightly above normal temperatures across western and central New Mexico. Above normal precipitation was observed across western and central New Mexico with near to slightly below normal precipitation across far eastern New Mexico. The above normal precipitation across central New Mexico resulted in the removal of severe drought conditions across the Tusas Mountains, Jemez Mountains, and Rio Grande Valley. However, extreme drought persisted across far western New Mexico.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 11:55 PM MST, 5 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Updated at 1206 AM MDT Mon Sep 1 2025
  • Scattered showers and storms will are expected each of the next several afternoons and evenings around central and northern New Mexico. Gusty winds, small hail, and localized flash flooding may occur with any storm.
  • Moderate risk of burn scar flash flooding this afternoon and evening, trending slightly lower mid-week.
  • Storm chances may begin to trend up again late week into the weekend, increasing the risk of flash flooding and strong to severe storms (Moderate confidence).
Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 11:55 PM MST, 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1255 AM MDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1206 AM MDT Mon Sep 1 2025

- Scattered showers and storms will are expected each of the next
  several afternoons and evenings around central and northern New
  Mexico. Gusty winds, small hail, and localized flash flooding
  may occur with any storm.

- Moderate risk of burn scar flash flooding this afternoon and
  evening, trending slightly lower mid-week.

- Storm chances may begin to trend up again late week into the
  weekend, increasing the risk of flash flooding and strong to
  severe storms (Moderate confidence).

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1206 AM MDT Mon Sep 1 2025

The Monsoon high is moving slowly northwest into AZ and is
forecast to continue over UT on Tuesday, with 500mb heights
increasing slightly to 594dam. This trend will allow low level
moisture to transport northwest across the state under the upper
high circulation and fuel rounds of scattered storms both this
afternoon/evening and again on Tuesday, with western and central
NM getting more into the mix vs the past few days. Chances will
favor the mountains and storms may not survive long after moving
off to the south or southwest given a lack of low level inflow to
sustain updrafts. That said, this flow regime is favorable for the
Albuquerque and Santa Fe Metros to see some rain. There is a
moderate risk for burn scar flash flooding today, mainly on the
HPCC scar where storms will be moving south (down-scar) and may
train. However, forecast confidence in too low to issue a Flash
Flood Watch at this time. A few storms down near Glenwood will be
more capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and potential
flash flooding given above normal PWATs and slower storm motion
there. As the upper high moves away from the area, daytime
temperatures will generally be near to below normal through
Tuesday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 1206 AM MDT Mon Sep 1 2025

The upper high is forecast to weaken and move southeast back over
NM Wed/Thu, eventually breaking-down by Friday with 500mb heights
decreasing to 588dam. Given no additional moisture input Wed/Thu,
rounds of daytime heating triggered convection will be at a
minimum for the forecast period. However, PWATs will trend back up
Friday due to a backdoor front and moisture moving northeast into
the Desert SW from a tropical cyclone near the Baja Peninsula. The
latest ECMWF has come into better agreement with the GFS on the
trajectory of this potential tropical storm and associated
moisture. For now, we have increasing forecast confidence in a wet
period from Friday through the weekend, with potential for
locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding. Daytime temperatures
will be below normal from Friday through the weekend thanks to the
added moisture resulting in cloud cover and rain-cooling.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 AM MDT Mon Sep 1 2025

An areas of showers and storms near KROW will diminish by around
08Z, but MVFR conditions in rain are possible until then. Otherwise,
VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist across the area
through the TAF period. Low probabilities of MVFR conditions in low
stratus exist across eastern NM early Monday morning, with potential
impacts at KLVS, KTCC and KROW. However, probabilities are too low
to include in TAFs and the development of low stratus is dependent
on existing cloud cover diminishing. A round of scattered storms is
forecast Monday afternoon/evening and will favor central NM. Short-
lived MVFR conditions are possible with storms on Monday, with
potential impacts to the KSAF/KABQ/KAEG airspace between 21-01Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1206 AM MDT Mon Sep 1 2025

Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast through at least
the next seven days. Chances for wetting storms will favor central
NM through Wednesday, but trend down each day as the Monsoon high
expands back over the area from over UT/AZ and brings drier air with
it. The Monsoon high is forecast to break-down toward the end of the
week, allowing moisture to stream in from the south and setting up a
wet weekend with increased humidity and good chances for wetting
storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  87  62  88  62 /   5   5   0   0
Dulce...........................  84  45  85  46 /  20  10  30  10
Cuba............................  80  52  82  53 /  30  10  30  20
Gallup..........................  84  53  84  53 /  10   5  20  10
El Morro........................  79  53  80  53 /  30  10  30  20
Grants..........................  83  53  84  53 /  30  10  20  10
Quemado.........................  81  53  81  53 /  30  20  30  20
Magdalena.......................  80  57  81  58 /  40  20  20   5
Datil...........................  78  52  78  52 /  50  20  20  10
Reserve.........................  86  53  86  52 /  50  30  30  10
Glenwood........................  89  57  88  56 /  60  30  30  10
Chama...........................  76  45  78  46 /  40  20  50  20
Los Alamos......................  77  56  78  56 /  50  10  50  20
Pecos...........................  76  51  78  52 /  60  10  40  20
Cerro/Questa....................  78  49  78  49 /  40   5  50  20
Red River.......................  68  41  69  41 /  50   5  60  20
Angel Fire......................  71  34  72  36 /  50  10  50  20
Taos............................  81  47  81  48 /  40   5  30  20
Mora............................  73  46  75  47 /  60  10  60  20
Espanola........................  85  54  86  55 /  40   5  30  20
Santa Fe........................  79  56  80  57 /  50  10  30  20
Santa Fe Airport................  81  54  83  55 /  40  10  20  20
Albuquerque Foothills...........  85  64  86  65 /  30  10  20  10
Albuquerque Heights.............  86  62  88  62 /  30  10  10  10
Albuquerque Valley..............  89  61  90  62 /  20  10   5   5
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  87  62  88  63 /  30  10   5  10
Belen...........................  88  59  90  59 /  30  10   5   5
Bernalillo......................  88  60  90  62 /  30  10  10  10
Bosque Farms....................  88  58  89  58 /  20  10   5   5
Corrales........................  89  61  90  62 /  30  10  10  10
Los Lunas.......................  88  59  89  60 /  20  10   5   5
Placitas........................  84  59  85  60 /  40  10  10  10
Rio Rancho......................  87  61  89  62 /  30  10  10  10
Socorro.........................  89  62  90  62 /  30  20  10   5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  79  54  81  56 /  40  10  20  10
Tijeras.........................  80  56  82  57 /  40  10  20  10
Edgewood........................  81  52  82  53 /  40  10  10  10
Moriarty/Estancia...............  81  49  84  51 /  40  10  10   5
Clines Corners..................  75  53  77  54 /  40  20  10  10
Mountainair.....................  80  52  82  54 /  40  20  10   5
Gran Quivira....................  79  54  81  54 /  40  20  10   5
Carrizozo.......................  82  59  83  59 /  40  20  10   5
Ruidoso.........................  74  53  75  53 /  40  20  20   0
Capulin.........................  76  48  77  50 /  10   5  10  10
Raton...........................  79  48  80  49 /  30   5  20  10
Springer........................  81  49  82  50 /  30   5  20  10
Las Vegas.......................  76  49  77  51 /  50  10  30  20
Clayton.........................  84  54  83  57 /   5   5   0   5
Roy.............................  80  52  80  53 /  20  10  10  20
Conchas.........................  86  57  86  59 /  20  10   0  10
Santa Rosa......................  82  56  84  56 /  30  20   5  10
Tucumcari.......................  84  55  84  57 /  10  10   0  10
Clovis..........................  87  61  88  60 /  10  10   0   5
Portales........................  87  61  89  60 /  10  10   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  86  60  87  59 /  20  20   0   5
Roswell.........................  89  63  91  62 /  10  10   0   0
Picacho.........................  83  57  85  57 /  20  10   5   0
Elk.............................  79  54  82  53 /  30  10  10   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...11

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

19 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northwest Plateau

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.045, -108.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought persisted across the northeast and east central portion of the zone.

Drought, Chuska Mountains

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Chuska Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.045, -108.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought expanded north to the far southwest portion of the zone.

Drought, Far Northwest Highlands

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Far Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.236, -107.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought was reduced to the far northwest portion of the zone.

Drought, Northwest Highlands

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Northwest Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.072, -107.535 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought was reduced to the northwest portion of the zone.

Drought, West Central Plateau

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
West Central Plateau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.803, -108.222 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought persisted across much of the zone.

Drought, West Central Mountains

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
West Central Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.821, -107.693 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought persisted across the western third of the zone.

Drought, Southwest Mountains

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.961, -107.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought persisted over a majority of the western half of the zone with the removal of a small area of exceptional drought over the far southern portion of the zone.

Drought, Tusas Mountains Including Chama

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Tusas Mountains Including Chama forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Jemez Mountains

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Jemez Mountains forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.023, -106.622 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Upper Rio Grande Valley

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Upper Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.544, -106.162 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Espanola Valley

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Espanola Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.198, -106.100 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Santa Fe Metro Area

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Santa Fe Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.416, -106.504 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.002, -106.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Lower Rio Grande Valley

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Lower Rio Grande Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
34.007, -106.930 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.121, -106.434 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions were removed from the Sandia Mountains.

Drought, Estancia Valley

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Estancia Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.066, -106.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Central Highlands

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Central Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions were removed from the zone.

Drought, Southwest Chaves County

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Southwest Chaves County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.363, -104.467 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions persisted across the southern portions of the zone.

Drought, San Francisco River Valley

When
September 1, 12:00 AM MST to September 30, 11:59 PM MST
Where
San Francisco River Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.915, -108.405 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme drought conditions persisted across a majority of the zone with exceptional drought persisting over the southern portion of the zone.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New Mexico in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, September 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1289015, 1289016, 1289017, 1289018, 1289019, 1289020, 1289022, 1289023, 1289024, 1289025, 1289026, 1289027, 1289028, 1289029, 1289030, 1289031, 1289032, 1289033, 1289034.