Continuing the pattern from May 24th and 25th, an incoming trough (with embedded disturbances) interacted with a dryline and produced isolated storms in the eastern Permian Basin of West Texas. One thunderstorm developed in Glasscock County and produced hail up to 2 inches in diameter south of Garden City before it moved east of the Midland/Odessa CWA.
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The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
Continuing the pattern from May 24th and 25th, an incoming trough (with embedded disturbances) interacted with a dryline and produced isolated storms in the eastern Permian Basin of West Texas. One thunderstorm developed in Glasscock County and produced hail up to 2 inches in diameter south of Garden City before it moved east of the Midland/Odessa CWA. An additional thunderstorm moved into northern Lea County later in the evening and produced a 58 mph wind gust.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 26, 3:47 PM MST, 2 hours 52 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 547 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 544 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 - A cold front has decreased temperatures to near normal across the region. There is a low (10-30%) chance of thunderstorms from the Big Bend, Stockton Plateau, and southeastern Permian Basin this afternoon and Tuesday. A couple thunderstorms could become severe with a threat of large hail and damaging winds. - Below normal temperatures are expected Wednesday through Friday. Daily afternoon thunderstorms will impact the region. The best chance of precipitation is nearest the Davis Mountains where a medium (40-60%) chance is expected most days. A lower (20-40%) chance of precipitation are anticipated elsewhere. - Temperatures begin to warm back above normal by this weekend with lessening thunderstorm chances. A low (10-30%) chance of precipitation will exist for much of the area, but the best chances are expected near the Davis Mountains. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday night) Issued at 156 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Water Vapor imagery depicts an upper-level trough located over the Four Corners region and is expected to translate eastward throughout the day. Simultaneously, surface analysis shows a stationary front draped along the New Mexico/Texas border and across the Permian Basin with a dryline extending south towards the Big Bend. This afternoon, the aforementioned front and dryline is forecast to move south and east respectively. Storms should fire along these boundaries near the triple point over the far eastern Permian Basin this afternoon around the time of maximum daytime heating and quickly move east before sunset. A few of these storms may be severe, with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. However, guidance shows that coverage should be rather low for our area and the greatest threat for severe weather will be to the east. As such, Pops are low (10-30%) across our far eastern counties. Expect afternoon highs to be 5-7 degrees cooler than yesterday's behind the cold front. Locations near/along the Rio Grande will still see temperatures in the triple digits. The cold front drags southward tonight and tonight's lows remain right around normal despite increased cloud cover and mixing overnight. Another trough moves into the area during the day Tuesday while easterly upslope flow helps trigger the potential for more showers/thunderstorms across the southern half of the CWA during the afternoon. A line of storms may develop over southeast New Mexico and move east into the Permian Basin Tuesday evening. Most storms that develop should remain below severe thresholds. However, we can not rule out the possibility of a few becoming strong, particularly across the Lower Trans Pecos where the greatest shear and instability will be. Tuesday's highs are forecast to be cooler areawide behind the cold front. Storms are expected to continue into the evening hours before most of the activity tapers off after midnight. Tuesday night lows stay about the same as previous night. Greening && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 156 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 Forecast guidance remains consistent on a general weather pattern of cooler temperatures and continued thunderstorm chances through the end of the week and likely into this weekend. A large upper-level low pressure and upstream reinforcing troughs will be maintained over the Great Lakes region. This feature continues to help suppress the mid-level ridge over our region. While this is occurring, a separate upper-level low pressure and broad trough will remain off the West Coast. This pattern maintains consistent lee troughing across our area with reinforcing cold fronts at times. Temperatures are to remain below normal Wednesday through Friday as a result. Much of the area remains in the 80s and low 90s through this time with overnight temperatures holding in the 60s. Daily afternoon and evening thunderstorms are expected, especially nearest the Davis Mountains. A medium (40-60%) chance of precipitation exists most days for Davis Mountains and the surrounding area. A slightly lower chance (20-40%) of precipitation is expected for much of the remaining area. Severe weather may remain a threat with at least modest instability and wind shear most days, but details and overall confidence remain low at this time. More details on this will become evident in future forecasts. Heading into this weekend, the West Cost upper-level low pressure retrogrades slightly, allowing modest mid-level ridging to overspread the region. This pushes temperatures back to slightly above normal into the 90s for many. Afternoon thunderstorm chances are expected to continue, but to a lesser extent. The overall chance of precipitation will be low (10-30%) throughout each day with the best odds nearest the Davis Mountains. Overall, a continuation of more seasonable weather is appreciated. -Chehak && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 544 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 An outflow boundary continues to move south across the Permian Basin with winds turning northeasterly behind it. Winds will eventually return to the southeast at all terminals during the day Tuesday. Low CIGs are forecast to develop at all terminals later tonight with mostly MVFR ceilings. There is also a low chance of storms moving in from E NM after sunset, but will not include in any TAFs at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 64 84 64 86 / 10 10 20 30 Carlsbad 62 90 64 87 / 0 0 20 60 Dryden 70 93 67 88 / 0 30 50 50 Fort Stockton 65 92 65 88 / 0 20 40 60 Guadalupe Pass 59 84 60 80 / 0 10 20 60 Hobbs 59 85 59 83 / 10 10 20 40 Marfa 55 88 57 85 / 0 20 30 70 Midland Intl Airport 65 86 64 87 / 10 10 30 40 Odessa 65 87 64 85 / 0 10 30 40 Wink 65 91 66 89 / 0 10 30 50 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...55 LONG TERM....91 AVIATION...29
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 251 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 TXZ063-070-262030- Reagan TX-Glasscock TX- 251 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN GLASSCOCK AND NORTHEASTERN REAGAN COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM CDT... At 251 PM CDT, trained weather spotters reported a strong thunderstorm producing a landspout 9 miles southwest of Garden City, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Landspouts. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Garden City and Saint Lawrence. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for western Texas. && LAT...LON 3164 10164 3184 10169 3193 10127 3156 10127 TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 262DEG 17KT 3176 10160 LANDSPOUT...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH 91
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
509 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0324 PM Hail 4 ENE Saint Lawrence 31.72N 101.47W
05/26/2025 E2.00 Inch Glasscock TX Public
Report of hen egg sized hail near RM 33,
south of Garden City.
0342 PM Hail 9 E Saint Lawrence 31.71N 101.39W
05/26/2025 E1.75 Inch Glasscock TX Public
Golf ball sized hail reported a few miles
southeast of Garden City. Occasionally
larger hail stones observed, but infrequent.
&&The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 150 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:38 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The West Texas Mesonet station 2 miles west/southwest of Tatum reported a thunderstorm wind gust of 58 mph.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, May 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1257562.