S. resulted in higher moisture across eastern NM on June 21st.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
Southerly flow on the western side of high pressure centered over the south central U.S. resulted in higher moisture across eastern NM on June 21st. This higher moisture combined with daytime heating resulted in in the development of scattered thunderstorms across far eastern NM during the late afternoon hours eventually merging together into a line of storms near the Texas border during the evening hours. These storms brought a 58-mph wind gust to the Dora West Texas mesonet site and a 60 mph wind gust to Clovis Municipal Airport. Storms exited into West Texas around sunset.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 21, 4:59 PM MST, 38 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 559 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 542 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025 - Critical fire weather conditions will increase the risk of rapid fire spread in portions of western and central New Mexico through the late afternoon due to breezy southwest winds and very low humidity. There will still be an elevated risk for critical fire weather over parts of far northwest New Mexico and the upper Rio Grande Valley on Sunday. - A substantial increase in monsoon moisture will arrive late Sunday through the middle of next week with rainfall chances increasing significantly, first over southeast New Mexico before spreading into most remaining northern and central areas of the state into Tuesday and Wednesday. While many locations will receive beneficial soaking rainfall, several central areas will receive heavy rainfall that will lead to excessive runoff and a high risk of flash flooding. Burn scars will be especially vulnerable to flash flooding. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 208 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025 Storm coverage has trended down considerably today as much drier air has spread farther east into more of central and eastern NM. Storms that do form over southeast NM will be capable of strong downburst wind gusts >50 mph given high DCAPE values around 1000 J/kg. Very dry, hot, and breezy conditions will persist elsewhere across the region thru sunset as an upper level trough over the Great Basin moves east toward NM thru tonight. Meanwhile, a sprawling upper level high across the central U.S. will force 700-500mb flow to become southerly over eastern NM as the trough approaches from the west. South winds of 25-35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph are likely to develop over eastern NM tonight as a result. A few areas from near Tucumcari to Clayton may peak near 50 mph (40-60% chance on latest NBM). These winds will also draw deeper moisture northward into eastern NM from a large area of moisture pooling over Mexico. This moisture along with enhanced forcing from the approaching trough will lead to an uptick in storm coverage Sunday in eastern NM. The SPC convective outlook shows a 'Marginal Risk' for severe storms over eastern NM and 'Slight Risk' for northeast NM. There is plenty of surface-based instability with PWATs increasing above 1" however bulk shear values are marginal in the 20-30kt range. The suite of hi-res models are in very good agreement with storm initiation to the east of Ruidoso before moving east/northeast away from the Sacramento Mts. The HREF max ensemble QPF values are <0.30" in the Ruidoso area while the RRFS has values up to 0.75" north and southeast of Ruidoso. Given the overall uncertainty with QPF and the latest NBM precip chances trended a tad lower again, confidence is still not high enough to warrant a Flash Flood Watch for these burn scars. The storms over eastern NM may also produce very heavy rainfall with the same model ensemble max QPF values exceeding 2" over Chaves, Curry, and Roosevelt counties. Outflow boundaries across eastern NM will force moisture farther west Sunday night which may spawn additional showers and storms thru the evening along the central mt chain. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Friday) Issued at 208 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025 Monday will begin with deeper moisture farther west toward the central mt chain. Remnant cloud cover from storms Sunday over eastern NM may lead to a slow start across the plains while the central mt chain lights up by early to mid afternoon. Backing low level winds will improve surface convergence along the higher terrain while PWATs increase above normal. Forecast confidence is much higher that Flash Flood Watches will be issued for HPCC and the Ruidoso area. There is also higher potential for storm cells to form repeatedly along the higher terrain given low level convergence beneath an approaching 50kt south/southwest speed max aloft. Storm outflows will force low level moisture west thru the Rio Grande Valley to the Cont Divide Monday evening while mid level moisture also increases from the south. Showers and storms are likely to continue thru Monday night unlike the typical decrease that occurs after sunset. By Tuesday, a deep plume of moisture over Mexico will be squeezed directly northward into central NM as the upper high builds over TX and a second vort lobe deepens the trough across the Great Basin. PWATs may increase to near 1" at KABQ Tuesday morning with values near 1.5" around Roswell. Showers and/or patchy areas of rain are likely to be spreading north over much of central and eastern NM before sunrise Tuesday. There is still uncertainty with regard to the amount of instability, especially surface-based CAPE, that will be available over the region for showers to develop into storms by the afternoon. The latest hi-res ensemble RRFS shows widespread storms with heavy rainfall erupting over the region by mid to late afternoon. Localized QPF footprints in excess of 2" are noted from many of these storms. Global models then develop a large area of moderate to locally heavy rainfall Tuesday night thru Wednesday morning as a warm-core low moves north/northeast across central and eastern NM. The forecast PWAT at KABQ is near 1.35" Wednesday morning, which could break the daily record and place in the top 10 highest PWATs for June. The latest WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlooks shows a rare 'Moderate Risk' area across central NM for Tuesday/Tuesday night. Similar uncertainty with instability occurs Wednesday as widespread cloud cover and lingering precip in the morning possibly delays or prevents storm development in the afternoon. Nonetheless, precipitation chances remain very high and the flash flood threat will remain elevated, especially for burn scar areas. The latest NBM 72-hour QPF ending Wednesday night did trend a tad lower but amounts are still very impressive. The 50th percentile continues to focus 3-day values of 1-2" within central and eastern NM with reasonable high-end values in the 2-4" range for the same area (90th percentile). It is worth noting that the reasonable low-end amounts average <0.25" for the 3-days (10th percentile) which is a vast departure from the 50th percentile. Beyond Wednesday, the upper level trough is expected to wash out over the southern Rockies. The upper level ridge will remain in place to our east while another high center develops over the Baja region. Drier air may enter western NM with this pattern however abundant low to mid level moisture will remain in place over central and eastern NM. Lighter flow aloft and daytime heating may still lead to additional rounds of storms over the higher terrain thru Friday. The flash flood risk will remain elevated, especially considering antecedent soil conditions may already be saturated. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 542 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025 Isolated showers and thunderstorms are forecast to linger over southeast and far east central areas until mid evening. Otherwise, southeast, south, and southwest winds are forecast to remain gusty tonight in many locations east of the central mountain chain. Sunday will feature gusty winds areawide, varying in direction from southeast to southwest again. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop along and east of the central mountain chain on Sunday afternoon with isolated and gusty virga showers farther west to the central valley south of Albuquerque. Some storms may turn severe east of the central mountain chain Sunday afternoon and evening with a risk of large hail and damaging winds. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 208 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025 Critical fire weather conditions will persist thru early this evening with hot, dry, and breezy southwest winds across parts of northern and western NM. Dry southwest winds will remain a tad breezy Sunday and Monday over far northwest NM where elevated fire weather conditions are still possible for a few hours. The weather pattern will transition toward increasing coverage of showers and storms over southern and eastern areas Sunday. Storm coverage will spread closer to central NM Monday then to much of NM Tuesday and Wednesday. Extended periods of rain are also possible during this period, including the overnight hours. The potential for burn scar flash flooding will increase significantly with each round of heavy rainfall. Additional storms with heavy rainfall are also possible Thursday and perhaps Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 57 90 52 90 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 47 83 41 86 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 53 86 50 85 / 0 0 0 5 Gallup.......................... 47 84 43 86 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 50 82 48 84 / 0 0 0 5 Grants.......................... 49 88 46 88 / 0 0 0 10 Quemado......................... 52 85 49 86 / 0 0 0 5 Magdalena....................... 62 88 57 86 / 0 5 0 30 Datil........................... 54 84 51 85 / 0 0 0 20 Reserve......................... 49 89 46 90 / 0 0 0 5 Glenwood........................ 54 92 51 93 / 0 0 0 5 Chama........................... 44 77 42 80 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 60 84 56 83 / 0 10 0 20 Pecos........................... 57 82 53 81 / 5 20 10 40 Cerro/Questa.................... 53 82 50 82 / 0 5 0 10 Red River....................... 46 72 42 71 / 0 5 0 20 Angel Fire...................... 43 76 37 75 / 0 10 5 30 Taos............................ 52 84 47 84 / 0 5 0 10 Mora............................ 51 81 47 78 / 0 10 10 40 Espanola........................ 58 92 54 90 / 0 5 0 10 Santa Fe........................ 60 85 56 85 / 0 10 5 20 Santa Fe Airport................ 59 89 55 88 / 0 10 5 20 Albuquerque Foothills........... 68 93 64 91 / 5 10 0 20 Albuquerque Heights............. 67 95 61 93 / 5 5 0 10 Albuquerque Valley.............. 65 97 61 95 / 5 5 0 10 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 67 95 61 93 / 5 5 0 10 Belen........................... 63 97 59 93 / 5 5 0 10 Bernalillo...................... 65 96 61 94 / 0 5 0 10 Bosque Farms.................... 62 96 58 94 / 5 5 0 10 Corrales........................ 66 97 61 95 / 5 5 0 10 Los Lunas....................... 64 96 59 93 / 5 5 0 10 Placitas........................ 66 91 61 90 / 0 5 0 10 Rio Rancho...................... 66 95 61 93 / 5 5 0 10 Socorro......................... 67 97 64 95 / 0 5 0 20 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 60 87 55 84 / 0 10 0 20 Tijeras......................... 62 89 57 88 / 0 10 0 20 Edgewood........................ 57 88 53 85 / 0 10 5 30 Moriarty/Estancia............... 55 88 51 85 / 0 10 5 30 Clines Corners.................. 58 82 54 78 / 5 20 10 40 Mountainair..................... 59 87 54 84 / 0 10 5 30 Gran Quivira.................... 60 87 55 83 / 5 20 10 50 Carrizozo....................... 67 89 62 85 / 5 30 20 60 Ruidoso......................... 61 82 58 75 / 20 50 30 80 Capulin......................... 57 83 54 75 / 0 20 10 40 Raton........................... 54 87 53 80 / 0 10 5 30 Springer........................ 58 88 55 82 / 0 20 10 40 Las Vegas....................... 57 83 53 79 / 0 20 10 40 Clayton......................... 65 91 62 83 / 5 30 20 40 Roy............................. 62 87 59 80 / 5 30 20 40 Conchas......................... 67 94 66 86 / 10 30 30 40 Santa Rosa...................... 65 89 62 82 / 10 40 20 50 Tucumcari....................... 68 91 66 83 / 10 30 30 50 Clovis.......................... 67 91 66 83 / 30 30 40 50 Portales........................ 65 92 66 83 / 30 40 30 50 Fort Sumner..................... 66 93 65 84 / 10 40 30 60 Roswell......................... 72 96 70 86 / 10 40 40 60 Picacho......................... 64 91 61 82 / 10 50 30 80 Elk............................. 62 89 59 81 / 10 60 40 80 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for NMZ101-105-109- 121. && SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....42 AVIATION...44
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 247 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025 NMZ238-212115- Chaves County Plains NM- 247 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM MDT... At 247 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 19 miles northwest of Roswell, moving northeast at 15 mph. HAZARD...Landspouts, wind gusts up to 50 mph, and pea size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Locations impacted include... Mainly rural areas of North Central Chaves County. This includes Highway 285 between Mile Markers 121 and 140. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening weather conditions. && LAT...LON 3352 10466 3370 10480 3385 10455 3359 10437 TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 238DEG 14KT 3362 10465 LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH Shoemake
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
320 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
NMZ238-212145-
Chaves County Plains NM-
320 PM MDT Sat Jun 21 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY
UNTIL 345 PM MDT...
At 320 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northwest of Bitter Lake Wildlife Refuge, or 17 miles north of
Roswell, moving northeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Landspouts, wind gusts up to 50 mph, and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Mainly rural areas of North Central Chaves County.
This includes Highway 285 between Mile Markers 116 and 137.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
&&
LAT...LON 3346 10461 3374 10467 3383 10448 3369 10440
3349 10438
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 241DEG 10KT 3362 10454
LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
ShoemakeThe Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 83 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:37 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The West Texas mesonet station near Dora observed a 58 mph wind gust on the leading edge of incoming thunderstorms.
The AWOS at Clovis Municipal Airport observed a 66 mph wind gust from thunderstorms.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1254911, 1254912.