Severe (D2) drought impacted portions of the Missouri Ozarks briefly through the middle of September across Hickory, Camden and Miller Counties after a record dry August and continued limited rainfall during the month of September. Severe (D2) Drought developed first across southern Missouri and expanded somewhat into portions of central Missouri by months end.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
Severe (D2) drought impacted portions of the Missouri Ozarks briefly through the middle of September across Hickory, Camden and Miller Counties after a record dry August and continued limited rainfall during the month of September. Severe (D2) Drought developed first across southern Missouri and expanded somewhat into portions of central Missouri by months end. By the 23rd of the month some rainfall allowed conditions to improve to Moderate (D1) Drought. The primary impacts of the drought occurred in the agricultural communities. Dry stock ponds and impacts to crop yields and end of the year forage production. Low flows on some streams and rivers were noted but not widespread. Monetary losses will likely not be readily assessable until crop figures are determined but any that occur will be noted at the end of the year or if impacts are reported after the brief period of severe drought conditions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 15, 11:23 PM CST, 37 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 1223 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop mainly along and east of Highway 65 through early this evening. Gusty winds up to around 50 mph will be possible with a few of the strongest storms this afternoon. - Scattered storms will occur again on Tuesday, mainly along and west of Highway. Downburst wind gusts up to 40-50 mph could occur with a few of the stronger storms. - Hot weather continues through Wednesday then a cold front will bring temperatures closer to normal Thursday into the weekend. - A cold front will move through the region on Thursday with better rain chances (40-70%). Lingering low rain chances continue into the weekend. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 238 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025 The area remains between low pressure over the plains and one over the southeast U.S. A warm air mass remains in place over the area as highs in the lower 90s will occur today and again on Tuesday across the area. Scattered storms have develop across the eastern Ozarks this afternoon. The activity will continue to develop and occur this afternoon into early evening mainly along and east of Highway 65 today. The activity will start to dissipate and decrease in coverage near sunset. Some uncapped MUCAPE will remain in place across the area this evening but lift will be much more limited this evening into tonight. Therefore most locations should remain dry, but there will be a low chance (<15%) for some isolated showers and storms tonight. An unstable air mass in in place across the area, but wind shear is weak so the storms are pulse in nature. The storm motion will be slow and with precipitable water values around 1.5 to 1.75" across the area will allow for some brief heavy down pours with the storms. There could also be a few strong to marginally severe storms today with wind gusts the main risk with a few of the strongest storms. The peak will be now through around 5pm then the intensity and coverage should gradually weaken/decrease with loss of surface heating. The warm conditions will remain over the area again on Tuesday with highs once again warming into the lower 90s. Scattered storms are expected to develop again on Tuesday, mainly along and west of highway 65 during the afternoon hours as instability increases and the cap weakens. Brief down pours and localized gusts winds up to 50 mph will be possible with a few of the strongest storms Tuesday afternoon. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 239 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025 An upper level trough will move east across the plains mid week and the region late week. Warmer conditions will occur again on Wednesday ahead of the trough. Some scattered showers and storms will be possible again on Wednesday, but coverage may be less than today and tomorrow. A front will move through Thursday into Thursday night, shower and storm chances (40-70%) will occur with the front as it slowly moves through the region. Cooler weather will occur behind the front with highs in the upper 70s to the lower 80s will occur Thursday into the weekend. The upper level trough will slowly move across the region allowing some lingering showers to occur at times Friday into the weekend. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1217 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 VFR conditions expected to prevail through the TAF period. Scattered to broken mid- to high-level clouds and light winds. Evening thunderstorm activity is expected again today between 18Z and 00Z. All TAF sites have a 30 percent chance of experiencing a thunderstorm that may result in brief periods with lower ceilings and gusty winds. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 152 PM CDT Thu Sep 11 2025 Values listed below are for sites where the forecast is within 5 degrees of a record. Record High Temperatures: September 16: KSGF: 95/2019 KVIH: 96/1954 September 17: KSGF: 96/1953 Record High Minimum Temperatures: September 15: KSGF: 74/1936 && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None. && SHORT TERM...Wise LONG TERM...Wise AVIATION...Nelson CLIMATE...Nelson
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 116 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-161830- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 116 PM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk. Limited lightning risk. DISCUSSION... Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop this afternoon into early this evening, with the best coverage generally along and east of Highway 65. Brief heavy downpours and lightning will occur with the storms. There will be the potential for some strong to marginally severe storms with this activity this afternoon. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary risk with a few of the strongest storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms will be possible again Tuesday before more widespread rain arrives Wednesday through late week. Total rainfall amounts are expected to remain low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf Wise
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe (D2) Drought developed first across southeastern portions of the county on the 16th and expanded somewhat into portions of central Missouri by through the 23rd of the month when some rainfall allowed conditions to improve to Moderate (D1) Drought.
Severe (D2) Drought developed first across much of of the county on the 16th and expanded somewhat into portions of central Missouri by through the 23rd of the month when some rainfall allowed conditions to improve to Moderate (D1) Drought.
Severe (D2) Drought developed first across the southeastern two thirds of the county on the 16th and expanded somewhat into portions of central Missouri by through the 23rd of the month when some rainfall allowed conditions to improve to Moderate (D1) Drought.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, September 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1289366, 1289367, 1289368.