During the afternoon and evening hours of July 11th, severe storms brought widespread severe winds to Missouri, along with a couple hail reports, and one brief, weak tornado.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
During the afternoon and evening hours of July 11th, severe storms brought widespread severe winds to Missouri, along with a couple hail reports, and one brief, weak tornado.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 11, 12:59 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 159 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Severe Storm Threat Today/Tonight - Timing: Mid-afternoon into evening - Main Threat: Strong, Damaging Winds - Secondary Threats: Large hail, heavy rainfall, possible tornado * Uncomfortable heat/humidity eases after today && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 157 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 With previous evening/night storms having remained almost exclusively northward and westward of the area, that has allowed environment over much of Missouri to prime itself for potential strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening. Surface analysis early this afternoon places the some what broad and weak surface low over NW Missouri with associated warm front into southern Iowa and trailing cold front just having entered far NW Missouri and NE Kansas. Primarily non-severe elevated convection has been ongoing northward into Iowa and eastern Nebraska helping further suggest the placement of the surface warm front. Within the warm sector, much of Missouri, low level moisture has increased in response to breezy (gusting up to around 30 mph) with many AWOS/ASOS depicting dew points in the low to mid 70s. This includes some moisture pooling, dew points around or greater than 75, over southern Iowa/northern Missouri in the vicinity of the warm front. So, what can/might we expect the remainder of the day? Great question. Glad you asked. In a general sense we will certainly see storms out ahead of and along the respective warm and cold fronts as they translate across the state. The first area to discuss will be north-central to northeast Missouri. This area will very likely be behind the warm front, leaving more in the open warm sector. This tends to reduce the tornadic threat, but does not completely eliminate. Point sounds in that area do suggest some okay clockwise curvature, but the magnitude/strength of the low level, let alone deep layer, shear is not substantial. In fact, it is largely marginal with values around 20-25kts and 30-35 kts in the 0-3km and 0-6km depths. And those values could be generous. LCLs tend to be marginal as well. Enough CAM runs have shown hints of UH tracks near the Iowa-Missouri border though to completely ignore the threat. Which too is why after coordination with SPC, northern tier of Missouri counties are in a Tornado Watch. Hail too would become a threat with any organization of storms, allowing increased growth/residence time. Otherwise, high melting levels, >14kft, and unlikely prolonged residence times likely limit severe/damaging hail. Wind should be the primary threat with marginal venting/upper storm winds (more prone to collapse on oneself) and ample low and mid level dry air for at least initial storms to tap into/enhance down drafts. Any organized storms further enhance the wind risk. As time progresses, storms should grow upscale to multi-cell/MCS and transition threat to almost exclusively wind. Next area to discus will be areas along the front, to the SW of the north-central/northeast Missouri area. This has been a little harder to pinpoint initiation time and evolution. As of early afternoon, there has been a couple storms initiating, but struggling to rapidly grow. Rapid intensification/growth "may" yet hold off until 3pm or later. Regardless, environment along and ahead of the front will be quite unstable with current RAP analysis showing >3000 J/kg MLCAPE and may approach 3500-4000 J/kg MLCAPE along the front with any moisture pooling. Very unstable and thick CAPE profiles with some of the present mid-level cooling as the mid-level shortwave approaches. Wind profiles are less impressive away from the north/northeast, tending to be more directonally uniform and less overall effective shear to tap into, broadly < 30kts. Tornadic and hail threat is generally very low here with what should be unorganized storms, plus potentially rapid upscale growth along the front. Can't rule out brief marginally severe hail with the strongest/deepest of updrafts. QLCS tor threat appears fairly unlikely as well with frontal orientation tending to line up more parallel to low/mid level winds, but a bowed segment could pose a risk as that would alter orientation for portions of the line/bow. Otherwise strong/damaging winds remain the primary risk with the ample low-mid level dry air and collapsing updrafts. May very well yield multiple >70 mph wind gusts with these storms, especially deep updrafts that begin to collapse within this environment. Peak wind gust potential may wane with a transition to linear/QLCS, largely due to steering wind profiles not as orthogonal as one would want to maintain a balanced cold pool/UDCZ. A hydrologic threat gets introduced here as well with mentions of the more parallel steering flow, in conjunction with climatologically highly elevated PWats, >2". CAMs (HREF/HRRR/etc) have persistently showed pockets of 3-4"+, which may yield flooding concerns, especially in any urban areas. Rural, agriculture areas may be able to absorb more as they remain near peak grown periods. Depictions have not been widespread though, suggesting more isolated flooding threat versus widespread. While no Severe Watch as of this writing, there will likely be one within the next couple of hours. Taking into account all of the above, the SPC Enhanced/Slight Risk and WPC ERO Slight Risk areas are well deserved and in appropriate locations. As front progresses SE through the evening, so too will the severe threat as storms work over local air mass and lose diurnal support. Quickly into the future, the generally slow/gradual frontal passage will get a boost from a northern stream shortwave trough as it builds in an associated surface high into the Central High Plains. This should push it through the CWA by Saturday evening, broadly limiting strong/severe potential Saturday. May see some lingering showers near/post frontal, and tends to align with SPC Day 2 Marginal that is largely in the LSX/SGF CWAs. Otherwise, expect a much cooler and more comfortable day than today and recent days. Highs generally in the low to mid 80s Saturday and Sunday. Discrepancy in pattern evolution into next week brings uncertainty in additional precipitation opportunities, but do not look strong/severe in nature either way as synoptic models grapple with a weak mid-upper low/shortwave that may/may not develop over the Southern Plains and drift NE late weekend into early work week. Predominant mid-upper level westerlies overhead remain through much of the week, allow for multiple possible shortwaves and precipitation opportunities. This results in prolonged lower end PoPs in the extended forecast, which surely will not play out as such, but limited confidence to make any meaningful changes. Can generally expect temperatures to inch back warmer through this time frame too, but largely seasonable in the upper 80s to lower 90s. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1232 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025 Initially breezy but VFR TAFs will give way to impactful conditions later this afternoon/evening. By around 21z, anticipation for thunderstorm activity to begin to initiate around the TAF sites, with greatest confidence around the trio of KC Metro sites KMCI/KMKC/KIXD. To account for initially scattered nature and a bit of uncertainty in progression/timing, do have TEMPOs for those sites from 21z to 00z. KSTJ may not see any substantial activity, but initial storms may go up in the vicinity, so have opted for PROB30 there. Otherwise, gusty southerly winds up through that time frame, to mid 20s kts. Winds begin to shift around/after 00z as a cold front passes, turning winds to the NW, but generally on the lighter side 10kts or less. At this point, stratus deck to eventually prevail post frontal, likely in the MVFR range, and may linger remainder of period for dissipation. && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...None. KS...None. && DISCUSSION...Curtis AVIATION...Curtis
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-121006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Hot and humid conditions today with highs in the mid 90s and heat
indices in the around 100.
* Severe storms possible this afternoon into this evening.
- Damaging winds and hail are the main hazards, though there
is low potential for a tornado. Locally heavy rain will also
be a concern.Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
233 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM Hail Galt 40.13N 93.39W
07/11/2025 M0.70 Inch Grundy MO Emergency Mngr
&&
BTThe Des Moines radar (KDMX), 153 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:05 UTC.
49 thunderstorm wind, 2 hail, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
Downed tree limbs at a residence. Time and location estimated based on social media report and radar.
Private weather sensor in southwestern Adair County measured a severe wind gust.
Report of tree limbs down at Route 92 and Jesse James Farm Road.
Carport and vehicle damaged and multiple trees downed at a residence northeast of Kearney.
Downed wires near County Line Road north of Lawson.
Social media report of limbs down east of Kearney.
Downed wires near 228th Street near Elmira.
Multiple social media reports of downed trees and limbs east of Kearney and north of Excelsior Springs. Strong winds also reported in the Orrick and Wood Heights areas.
Quarter sized hail reported near Lawson.
Tree limbs down near Excelsior Estates.
Estimated 60 mph wind gusts near Excelsior Estates.
Downed wires near Schack Creek Road.
Social media report of a downed tree at a residence near Highland Avenue.
Three inch tree branches down near Interstate 70 and Little Blue Parkway.
Downed tree near Route 291 and U.S. Highway 24.
Several social media reports of trees and limbs down in Independence.
Downed tree limbs and wires near Lentz Road.
Several large trees and limbs downed in the Lake Tapawingo area.
Report of tree limbs down near Ashford Court.
Social media report of minor damage and downed limbs at a property in Buckner.
Social media report of trees down at a residence in Blue Springs along Highway 7.
Downed tree limbs and damage to the roof of a building in Blue Springs.
Downed tree limbs on the road in Richmond. Power was reported to be out in town.
Multiple reports of tree limbs and wires down in the Henrietta area.
Downed wires near Route T near Richmond.
Three inch branches down in Blue Springs near Colonial Gardens.
Private weather sensor measured a 72 mph wind gust in Lake Tapawingo.
Public report of 3 inch tree limbs down near Highway 7 and Mooreland School Road in Blue Springs.
Downed tree limbs and wires near Route BB north of Grain Valley.
Downed tree limbs and wires near Pryor Road near Henrietta.
Downed tree limbs three inches in diameter on Route H north of Oak Grove.
Downed wires near Webb Road south of Napoleon.
Downed wires near Hardsaw Road southeast of Grain Valley.
Downed tree limbs and wires on Perdue Road east of Lake Lotawana.
Quarter size hail reported south of Oak Grove.
Downed tree limbs and wires near Lone Jack Lees Summit Road.
Downed wires and several power outages in the Bates City area.
Downed wires near Route WW east of Odessa.
A brief/weak tornado developed just west of Strasburg at 821 pm CDT on July 11 with minor tree damage observed near State Route 58. The tornado moved into the village of Strasburg, damaging several trees from the southwest to northeast side of town, where at least a dozen trees were noticeably snapped just south of a corn field just east of town. The last sign of damage was observed on Struzick Road just northeast of Strasburg, where several small tree limbs were downed on a north-south stretch of the road south of 191st Street. Minor damage was also observed near Route 58 on the southeast side of town, but the sporadic nature of the damage and the consistent east direction of minor property, tree, and street sign damage suggest this may have been straight line winds immediately to the south of the tornado. The tornado appears to have lasted approximately two minutes, with a path length less than a mile and a maximum width around 200 yards (though mostly much narrower than this). Max winds were around 70 mph.
Downed tree limbs and wires near Missouri Avenue in Bosworth.
Several tree limbs, a road sign, and blown debris at a couple of residences were observed immediately south of a tornado track in Strasburg. This damage appears to be from straight line winds given the consistent east displacement of the damage.
Downed limbs and wires in the Brookfield area.
Downed wires near Route F in far eastern rural Jackson County.
Downed wires near Dillon Road south of Strasburg.
Downed wires near Maple Leaf Lake Conservation Area south of Higginsville.
Downed wires near 300th Road between Holden and Centerview.
Downed tree limbs and wires near Route E north of Strasburg and east of Pleasant Hill.
Downed wires near 1225th Road east of Garden City.
Downed wires and power outages near 100th Road northeast of Strasburg.
Down limbs and wires due to strong winds in the Leeton area.
Multiple reports of wires down and power outages in Sedalia. Sedalia Airport ASOS measured a peak gust of 50 mph.
Private weather sensor measured a 50 knot wind gust.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Missouri, 2025Warnings in Missouri, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1262476, 1262504, 1293377, 1262478, 1262479, 1262480, 1262481, 1262482, 1262474, 1262483, 1262506, 1262484, 1262485, 1262486, 1293378, 1262487, 1262488, 1262489, 1262490, 1262491, 1262492, 1262493, 1262494, 1262495, 1262496, 1262497, 1262512, 1262498, 1262499, 1262500, 1262501, 1262502, 1262503, 1262510, 1262475, 1262517, 1262507, 1262511, 1262541, 1293379, and more.