Pulse-type showers and thunderstorms continued during the afternoon hours with torrential rainfall rates. Due to a lack of shear, slow moving/nearly stationary storm motion heightened flash flooding threats, particularly over urban areas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Pulse-type showers and thunderstorms continued during the afternoon hours with torrential rainfall rates. Due to a lack of shear, slow moving/nearly stationary storm motion heightened flash flooding threats, particularly over urban areas. A storm developed over Tupelo, MS and dumped buckets of rain over the area resulting in widespread flash flooding. The airport recorded 3.43 inches and set a daily rainfall record.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 1:30 PM CST, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 230 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 229 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 - Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through the end of next week. Severe weather chances will remain limited during the daytime hours each day with strong winds and localized heavy rainfall as the threats. - Hot and humid conditions will develop late next week, with heat indices of 100 to 105 expected by next Saturday. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Friday) Issued at 229 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 GOES Water Vapor satellite trends place an upper-level low over southern Indiana this afternoon. Regional WSR-88D radar trends show isolated/scattered showers and thunderstorms associated with this low mainly over western Kentucky, southeast Missouri, and into portions of northern Alabama and north Mississippi. Meanwhile, another MCS is located over eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Mostly cloudy to cloudy skies have prevailed across the Mid-South today with 2 PM temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s. Additional isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through the remainder of the afternoon. Latest mesoanalysis yields between 1000-2500 J/kg of surface-based CAPE with very weak shear. (20 kts or less) As a result, pulse-type showers and thunderstorms will be the dominant convective mode. Severe thunderstorm potential will remain low at best with convective activity gradually weakening around or after sunset. Short-term model trends indicate another weak open wave trough will form across portions of the Middle and Lower Mississippi Valleys over the next 24-36 hours and remain across the region through Tuesday. This will result in continued convective chances across the Mid-South during this period, especially each afternoon/early evening. This pulse-type environment will continue through early next week with gusty winds the primary threat for any strong thunderstorms. A localized heavy rainfall threat will also exist as precipitable water values approach the 99th percentile around 2 inches. Long-term deterministic and ensemble model solutions indicate an upper-level ridge over the Southern Plains will gradually build east into portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley by late next week with temperatures rising into the lower to middle 90s across some locations. These warmer temperatures combined with high dewpoints may result in heat index values approaching heat advisory criteria around 105 degrees over northwest Mississippi. Isolated to scattered diurnally driven convection is anticipated as the Mid-South will remain on the northeastern periphery of the upper-level ridge axis. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 An upper low has lead to a largely persistence forecast. Sporadic showers and occasional thunderstorms will continue affecting terminals through the entire TAF period. Intermittent drops to MVFR conditions will remain plausible with the movement of convection. Overnight, showers look to briefly wane as fog develops over the Mid-South, amids already saturated soils and calm winds and MVFR conditions prevail. Fog should lift shortly after sunrise as ceilings improve to VFR. Southwest winds will remain gusty through this afternoon before going light around sunset. AEH && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 229 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Light winds and high humidity will persist into next week. Shower and thunderstorm chances will persist each afternoon and evening. Hot and humid conditions will return late next week with temperatures rising into the lower to middle 90s. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && PUBLIC FORECAST...CJC AVIATION...AEH
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
548 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025
MSZ015>017-142315-
Itawamba MS-Pontotoc MS-Lee MS-
548 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN PONTOTOC...SOUTHWESTERN
ITAWAMBA AND SOUTHERN LEE COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM CDT...
At 548 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Furrs, or over Trace State Park, moving southeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Tupelo, Pontotoc, Verona, Trace State Park, Tombigbee State Park,
Shannon, Plantersville, Troy, Furrs, Evergreen, Nettleton, Algoma,
Endville, Chiwapa, Mooreville, Ballardsville, Flowerdale, Rough Edge,
Old Union, and Nixon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3409 8852 3409 8872 3408 8872 3408 8886
3419 8912 3433 8892 3425 8844
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 295DEG 30KT 3422 8889
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
CMAThe Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 55 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:17 UTC.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Multiple flooded roadways in Tupelo including: Lawndale Drive, Ida Street, West Main, N Madison Street, South Thomas Street, Pierce Street, and Varsity Drive.
Ruffwood Road and nearby roadways were impassable.
Coley Road, just west of the airport, was flooded.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1276154, 1276155, 1276156.