A slow moving system approached Kentucky from the west on the 17th. Abundant southerly flow increased moisture across our area.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
A slow moving system approached Kentucky from the west on the 17th. Abundant southerly flow increased moisture across our area. The slow moving nature of the trough and increased moisture advection led to the Storm Prediction Center issuing a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall across the area. These storms dropped substantial rainfall, and also resulted in gusty winds. Anticedent moisture conditions were already saturated due to rainfall the previous few days, which may have aided in the damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 17, 1:38 PM EST, 27 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 238 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Showers and thunderstorms are expected at times through Thursday, with the potential for high water or flash flooding. - Seasonably warm high temperatures are forecast through most of the week, with heat then building during the weekend. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 238 PM EDT TUE JUN 17 2025 An upper level shortwave will move slowly east toward eastern Kentucky for the remainder of today, crossing the forecast area late tonight or Wednesday morning as it becomes absorbed by a stronger wave and associated jet max approaching from the west the remainder of Wednesday into Thursday. Scattered convection has developed already across the western and southwestern parts of the forecast area early this afternoon, with activity further developing through the afternoon and evening as it overspreads the remainder of the region. Increased southwesterly flow is resulting in quicker than initially anticipated movement of these showers and storms, but is also helping to keep a continuous supply of moisture into the area supporting additional development of showers and storms. There is also enough shear (about 25 kts) and CAPE (MLCAPE values of 1500 J/kg) for there to be some severe threat until the atmosphere becomes sufficiently overturned this evening. Given all this, will keep the Flood Watch in effect until 10 PM this evening. The mid-level and low-level southwesterly flow will diminish late tonight into Wednesday morning, but the atmosphere will quickly destabilize Wednesday morning into the afternoon with even modest heating, and convection will likely increase in coverage through the afternoon and persist into the evening and overnight. With increasing shear over eastern Kentucky Wednesday into Wednesday night ahead of an approaching cold front, there will be some severe weather threat, particularly from any upstream MCS activity that can hold together as it moves into the forecast area. However, the limiting factor will likely be instability as the atmosphere is likely to remain convectively overturned from previous convection, particularly Wednesday evening into the overnight. Damaging winds will be the primary severe weather threat given the long, skinny CAPE profiles. .LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 427 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2025 The forecast period begins with the area under the regime of the warm sector ahead of an approaching cold front. The parent surface low is forecast to be moving across the Great Lakes with the trailing cold front extending southwest down to the high plains of western Texas. Through the day Thursday, the cold front will slowly approach the CWA before crossing through the CWA late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Along and head of the front, showers and thunderstorms will be likely. Some storms, with this front could push severe limits but widespread severe weather isn't expected as favorable shear isn't in place and storms won't be able to grow and strengthen. Once the front crosses the CWA, surface high pressure will build into the region for Friday. Surface high pressure will build into the region for Friday and will persist through much of the weekend. Accompanying surface high pressure, more summer-like temperatures are expected through the weekend and into early next week. Highs are forecast to start in the mid-80s for Friday before climbing into the 90s for Saturday and remaining in the low to mid-90s through the end of the forecast period. Some relief from the heat is expected beginning Sunday afternoon as the potential for afternoon showers and thunderstorms return each day. In summary, a stormy and rainy start to the forecast period will exist before surface high pressure ushers summertime to eastern Kentucky. Highs will start in the mid-80s for Friday before starting to climb into the low to mid-90s from Saturday through the rest of the period. Overnight lows will remain in the upper-60s to lower-70s. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon) ISSUED AT 137 PM EDT TUE JUN 17 2025 Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms will bring frequent sub-VFR reductions through the TAF period, but will generally be on a diminishing trend from 00z to 06z this evening. Any partial clearing is likely to result in fog and low stratus development this evening into Wednesday morning, especially in the river valleys. Showers and thunderstorms then increase in coverage again toward the end of the TAF period. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch until 10 PM EDT this evening for KYZ044-050>052- 058>060-068-069-079-080-104-106>120. && SHORT TERM...CMC LONG TERM...VORST AVIATION...CMC
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson KY 342 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-104-106>120-181200- Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd- Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- 342 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening, some of which could bring locally heavy rainfall. Instances of flooding could be possible for areas that experience multiple rounds of showers and storms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Thunderstorms expected at times from Wednesday through Thursday evening. There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms in some locations Sunday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. KYZ083>088-181200- Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- 342 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening, some of which could bring locally heavy rainfall. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Thunderstorms expected at times from Wednesday through Thursday evening. There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms in some locations Sunday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. VORST
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1224 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0906 PM Funnel Cloud 2 NE Betsey 36.92N 84.72W
06/14/2025 Wayne KY Public
Delayed report. A video of a rotating wall
cloud with occasional funnel clouds was
posted on social media. The rotation moved
NE out of Wayne County and into far SW
Pulaski County. The individual who filmed
the video was looking east towards KY-90 in
Mill Springs, and the rotation moved
parallel to KY-90 towards Burnside on Radar.
Neither Wayne County nor Pulaski County EM
reported any damage after investigating the
area of interest, and the radar signature
was rather weak (maximum VROT signature
around 10 knots.).
&&
JMMPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
105 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0902 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 E Liberty 36.77N 84.17W
06/16/2025 Whitley KY Public
Delayed report. Picture on social media of
downed trees and power lines blocking Croley
Bend Road in Williamsburg. Time estimated
via radar.
&&
JMMSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
222 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
KYZ114-116-117-171845-
Clay KY-Owsley KY-Leslie KY-
222 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL LESLIE...
SOUTHEASTERN OWSLEY AND NORTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM
EDT...
At 221 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Tanksley, or near Manchester, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Hensley, Seth, Jacks Creek, Bernice, Enline, Mistletoe, Sizerock,
Teges, Oneida, Wild Cat, Brutus, Newfound, Laurel Creek, Barcreek,
Fall Rock, Whoopflarea, Ammie, Tanksley, Panco, and Spurlock.
THIS INCLUDES Hal Rogers Parkway between mile markers 30 and 33.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3715 8374 3722 8380 3734 8360 3728 8354
3727 8352 3726 8353 3725 8351 3724 8350
3724 8349 3720 8345
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 246DEG 21KT 3720 8370
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
GINNICKSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
247 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
KYZ109-112-171915-
Breathitt KY-Magoffin KY-
247 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL BREATHITT AND WEST
CENTRAL MAGOFFIN COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT...
At 247 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Bays, or 9 miles northeast of Jackson, moving northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Bays, Puncheon, Epson, Stella, Bethanna, Mountain Valley, Fritz,
Cornelia, Cutuno, Kernie, Gullett, Foraker, Dale, Seiltz, Skaggs,
Eugene, Sublett, Ova, Hendricks, and Hager.
THIS INCLUDES Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 65
and 73.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3768 8303 3759 8325 3764 8332 3768 8329
3768 8326 3770 8325 3771 8326 3780 8319
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 231DEG 19KT 3765 8325
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
GINNICKSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
301 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
KYZ068-079-080-171930-
Rockcastle KY-Laurel KY-Pulaski KY-
301 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL LAUREL...
NORTHEASTERN PULASKI AND SOUTHWESTERN ROCKCASTLE COUNTIES THROUGH 330
PM EDT...
At 301 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Valley Oak, or 11 miles northeast of Somerset, moving northeast at 25
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Sand Springs, Bobtown, Wood Creek Lake, Billows, Pongo, Quail,
Maretburg, Woodstock, Spiro, Shopville, Wabp, Bloss, Hansford, Valley
Oak, Willailla, Bromo, Luner, and Level Green.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
Interstate 75 in east central Kentucky between mile markers 49 and
51.
Kentucky Highway 80 in Pulaski County between mile markers 28 and
38.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3711 8447 3722 8457 3738 8440 3719 8417
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 244DEG 23KT 3719 8444
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
GINNICKThe Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 106 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:05 UTC.
5 thunderstorm wind, 1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.
The 911 call center reported a downed tree at mile marker 34 on KY-80, east of Shopville.
A tree was reported down at intersection of Mill and 5th streets in downtown London.
A tree was reported on a truck along with powerlines in the vicinity of 712 Ephram Creek Rd, west of Manchester.
A person on social media reported a large tree down near the mouth of Johnson Fork in the Hazel Green area of Wolfe County.
A tree was reported down on Route 229 around 4 miles south of the intersection between KY-1189 and KY-229 and in the vicinity of Camp Ground School.
Runoff along a sloped hillside caused a tree to fall onto a vehicle and utility lines at the property below along Brindle Ridge Road, near the Conway community.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1292627, 1292628, 1292629, 1292630, 1292631, 1292632.