Damaging Wind in Kansas, September 16, 2025

Name: Damaging Wind in Kansas, September 16, 2025
Start: 2025-09-16T22:21
End: 2025-09-16T22:21
Location: Kansas

September 16, 2025 · NWS DDC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Warm air advection into the region induced showers/thunderstorms. One of the stronger storms in Scott county rapidly dissipated as a severe wind report.

Where it happened

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Wind
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Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
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The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS DDC wrote it up.

Warm air advection into the region induced showers/thunderstorms. One of the stronger storms in Scott county rapidly dissipated as a severe wind report. As a result the winds were likely due to a downburst or something similar.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 16, 5:59 PM CST, 4 hours 22 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Showers and storms this afternoon and evening
More showers and storms through the overnight
Continue storm chances tomorrow

Area forecast discussion, Sep 16, 5:59 PM CST, 4 hours 22 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
659 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and storms this afternoon and evening

- More showers and storms through the overnight

- Continue storm chances tomorrow

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

We will see a rather wet pattern through tomorrow. Showers and thunderstorms
are expected to develop with the best chances this afternoon and
evening along the Colorado border. Showers and storms may redevelop
through the overnight period farther in western Kansas. This is in
association with WAA induced activity. Additional showers and thunderstorms
will be possible Wednesday afternoon and evening. NBM pops are rather
broadbrushed, as confidence in specific location of storms is still
uncertain. There is no particular clear trend in any of the CAMs
for now. This is typical with such weak steering flow aloft. A strong
thunderstorm cannot be ruled out today or tomorrow, with the main
threats being gusty winds and brief heavy rainfall. Highs tomorrow
will be a mix of 70s north to 80s south. Lows are expected to be
in the 50s northwest to 60s southeast.

For Thursday, pops will likely be shifted across the eastern zones
as a main synoptic wave continues to traverse east. Have 20% to 40%
across the eastern zones and less pops to the west to account for
this potential storm placement evolution. Highs Thursday will be
very pleasant with values peaking only in the 70s. Lows will be a
little cooler for a portion of the FA, with widespread 50s expected
for much of the region.

For Friday, southwest Kansas will be in between weather systems. This
supports the notion of a drier and warmer forecast. Highs will still
be pleasant though, with values in the mix of 70s and 70s. Lows in
the 50s. For the weekend, we are still looking at fairly dry and
warm conditions. Isolated storms cannot be ruled out, however, less
storm activity is indicated by both the deterministic models as well
as their ensemble counterparts. Highs should rebound to back in the
80s with lows in the mix of 50s and 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 654 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

An upper level disturbance will approach the high plains
tonight. Showers and t-storms will develop or move in from the
west between 03 and 06z and pass across the TAF sites through
12z. This will likely not be a solid line, so t-storm chances
are 40-50% at the terminals. South winds at 10-15 kts will
become variable at 10-20 kts in vicinity of t-storms. Expect
generally light and variable winds at less than 10 kts after the
passage of the t-storms.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Finch

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 16, 2:24 AM CST, 19 hours 57 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
324 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-170830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
324 AM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 /224 AM MDT Tue Sep 16 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will
be possible after 3pm west of a Ulysses to Garden City to Wakeeney
line. Main hazards will be 60mph wind gusts and isolated hail.

After sunset the risk for severe weather will decrease but the
chance of locally heavy rainfall will be possible from scattered
thunderstorms as they cross southwest Kansas overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday and Wednesday night. A
few of these storms will be capable of producing wind gusts to 50
mph or higher, hail and locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 5:21 PM CST, 5 hours before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
621 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

KSZ076-086-087-162345-
Seward KS-Meade KS-Haskell KS-
621 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN SEWARD...WESTERN
MEADE AND SOUTHEASTERN HASKELL COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM CDT...

At 621 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northwest of Kismet, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern
Seward, western Meade and southeastern Haskell Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3719 10084 3729 10095 3753 10075 3736 10053
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 224DEG 26KT 3729 10085

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

SPRINGER

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 5:28 PM CST, 4 hours 53 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
628 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

KSZ062-075-170000-
Kearny KS-Grant KS-
628 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN KEARNY AND
NORTHWESTERN GRANT COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CDT...

At 628 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ulysses, moving north at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Ulysses around 635 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3760 10153 3787 10148 3776 10113 3747 10135
      3752 10153
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 201DEG 22KT 3756 10142

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

SPRINGER

Special weather statement, Sep 16, 6:24 PM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
724 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

KSZ061-074-170100-
Stanton KS-Hamilton KS-
724 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN HAMILTON AND STANTON
COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT/700 PM MDT/...

At 723 PM CDT/623 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Manter, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Johnson City, Manter, Big Bow, and The Saunders Elevator.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3746 10204 3788 10204 3790 10158 3754 10154
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 253DEG 24KT 3759 10184

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

TATRO

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 105 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 04:22 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Scott

When: September 16, 10:21 PM CST
Where: Scott County, 2.27 mi ESE of Shallow Water
Measured: 54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by: Mesonet
Coordinates: 38.370, -100.880

A mesonet site reported a 62 mph wind gust.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind: Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Kansas in 2025 Every state in 2025 This day in weather history Warnings in Kansas, September 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1293996.