What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 3, 2:20 AM CST, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Scattered to numerous showers/storms through this evening. A handful of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible, along with areas of heavy rainfall and increased flooding concerns, mainly along and east-southeast of the KS Turnpike.
- Additional off-and-on shower/storm chances late Wednesday night through the weekend, although uncertainty remains high surrounding finer details.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 2:20 AM CST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
320 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered to numerous showers/storms through this evening. A
handful of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible, along
with areas of heavy rainfall and increased flooding concerns,
mainly along and east-southeast of the KS Turnpike.
- Additional off-and-on shower/storm chances late Wednesday
night through the weekend, although uncertainty remains high
surrounding finer details.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 320 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING:
Scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms will continue across the region today
through this evening, as a potent upper low approaches from the southwest, and a
strong cold front moves in from the northwest, amidst a moist and weakly/uncapped
airmass. Isolated instances of marginally severe storms are possible this morning,
but thinking greater chances will hold off until early afternoon and persist through
the evening, mainly along and east-southeast of the KS Turnpike, as instability
increases ahead of the approaching cold front. The combination of modest to strong
instability and weak to modest deep layer shear should support mostly a damaging
wind threat (60-70 mph winds) with the strongest activity, although could see
isolated instances of large hail (likely no larger than half-dollars) due to the
magnitude of buoyancy. Any hail threat would likely be earlier in the event before
numerous cell mergers encourages mostly upscale growth.
Additionally, the strong forcing in conjunction with anomalously high precipitable
waters and mid/upper flow nearly parallel to the frontal zone will also support areas
of heavy rainfall and localized flooding concerns, mainly this afternoon-evening
from roughly the KS Turnpike on east-southeast. 1-3 inch rainfall amounts are
expected, with locally higher amounts possible. Widespread extreme rainfall amounts
(e.g. greater than 3-4 inches) are unlikely though given the relatively fast-moving
nature of the cold front. Nevertheless, since soils are still fairly saturated from
recent heavy rainfall, rises in rivers/streams are likely, with the greatest
potential for river/stream levels reaching or exceeding flood stage over southeast
Kansas. The flood watch currently in place looks good, with no plans of expanding
at this time.
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND:
Deterministic and ensemble consensus continues to support a low-predictability
pattern setting up by mid to late week through the weekend, with off-and-on chances
for showers and thunderstorms across the region. The culprits will be various
low-amplitude shortwaves interacting with a wobbly frontal zone across the region,
amidst anomalously high precipitable waters. A seasonable combination of instability
and deep layer shear will support off-and-on severe weather chances, with the
anomalous PWs supporting locally heavy rainfall and potential flooding concerns.
Stay tuned as we continue to refine forecast details in the coming days.
TEMPERATURES:
A rather significant cool down is expected from northwest to southeast today in wake
of the strong cold front, with temperatures likely falling into the 50s and 60s
behind the front. Below average temperatures will continue Wednesday, with daytime
highs in the 70s likely. A slow warm up back closer to average is expected through
late week and into next weekend, with off-and-on chances for showers/storms likely
preventing widespread above average temperatures.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
Thunderstorms and residual showers will persist throughout the night and
into the morning hours Tuesday. A frontal boundary will move into the
area and shift winds to the north. MVFR/IFR ceilings are expected in the
wake of this boundary, with potential clearing back to VFR in central KS
toward the end of the period.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch from 7 AM CDT this morning through Wednesday
morning for KSZ053-069>072-092>096-098>100.
&&
DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...JWK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 3, 2:45 AM CST, 53 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
345 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-040845-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-
Chase-Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-
Harper-Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-
Labette-
345 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas, and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will persist across
the region today through this evening. A handful of strong to severe
thunderstorms are possible, capable of 65 mph winds and quarter size
hail, along with areas of heavy rainfall and localized flooding.
The greatest potential will be generally along and southeast of the
Kansas Turnpike between 1 PM and 11 PM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Off-and-on chances for showers and thunderstorms are possible from
late Wednesday night through the weekend. Stay tuned as we continue
to refine forecast details in the coming days.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Reports of severe weather, heavy rainfall, and flooding are always
greatly appreciated.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 3, 1:04 AM CST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wichita KS
204 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1201 AM Lightning 3 SE Mulvane 37.45N 97.21W
06/03/2025 Sumner KS Fire Dept/Rescue
Lightning strike likely the cause of a house
fire in Mulvane at North Greenwich and E
132nd Ct N. Likely occurred around midnight.
No injuries.
&&Special weather statement, Jun 3, 1:25 AM CST, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
225 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
KSZ049-030745-
Saline-
225 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Saline
County through 245 AM CDT
...
At 225 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
New Cambria, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Salina, Gypsum, and New Cambria.
This includes the following highways...
Interstate 135 between mile markers 87 and 95.
Interstate 70 between mile markers 249 and 266.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3896 9737 3863 9737 3875 9762 3896 9774
TIME...MOT...LOC 0725Z 240DEG 25KT 3884 9752
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TOPSpecial weather statement, Jun 3, 2:02 AM CST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
302 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
KSZ082-030830-
Kingman-
302 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Kingman
County through 330 AM CDT
...
At 302 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Isabel, moving northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Cunningham and Nashville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3739 9846 3772 9847 3774 9845 3773 9842
3768 9823 3755 9808 3738 9830
TIME...MOT...LOC 0802Z 217DEG 35KT 3744 9850
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
TOPSpecial weather statement, Jun 3, 2:29 AM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
329 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
KSZ067-082-030915-
Reno-Kingman-
329 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central Reno
and Kingman Counties through 415 AM CDT
...
At 329 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Kingman, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Kingman, Pretty Prairie, and Arlington.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3743 9814 3761 9839 3792 9817 3789 9796
3774 9775 3773 9781 3768 9781
TIME...MOT...LOC 0829Z 217DEG 27KT 3759 9823
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
TOPSpecial weather statement, Jun 3, 2:52 AM CST, 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
352 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
KSZ067-082-083-091-092-030930-
Reno-Harper-Sumner-Sedgwick-Kingman-
352 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Reno,
western Sedgwick, northeastern Harper, eastern Kingman and
northwestern Sumner Counties through 430 AM CDT
...
At 352 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 5 miles northeast of Kingman to 6 miles
northwest of Argonia. Movement was northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Goddard, Cheney, Haven, Garden Plain, Mount Hope, Andale, Norwich,
and Viola.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3771 9809 3802 9771 3800 9770 3791 9770
3791 9765 3756 9744 3730 9787
TIME...MOT...LOC 0852Z 220DEG 36KT 3768 9802 3734 9785
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
TOPSpecial weather statement, Jun 3, 3:26 AM CST, 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
Issued by National Weather Service Topeka KS
426 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
KSZ068-069-083-031000-
Butler-Harvey-Sedgwick-
426 AM CDT Tue Jun 3 2025
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Sedgwick,
south central Harvey and west central Butler Counties through 500 AM
CDT
...
At 425 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles north of Clearwater, moving northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Wichita, Andover, Haysville, Park City, Valley Center, Bel Aire,
Goddard, Maize, Clearwater, Sedgwick, Towanda, Colwich, Benton,
Garden Plain, Downtown Wichita, Kechi, Eastborough, West Wichita,
East Wichita, and Eisenhower National Airport.
This includes Interstate 135 near mile marker 25.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3763 9771 3799 9739 3781 9698 3747 9749
3748 9751
TIME...MOT...LOC 0925Z 220DEG 36KT 3757 9749
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
TOP