Hawaii, 2025

Drought in Hawaii, September 1 to 30, 2025

September 1 to 30, 2025 · NWS HFO · 6 events in 5 counties and zones

Below average rainfall allowed drought conditions to persist across mainly southern and western areas of Maui. The Department of Land and Natural Resources reported Maui stream levels were the lowest seen in over a century.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HFO wrote it up.

Below average rainfall allowed drought conditions to persist across mainly southern and western areas of Maui. The Department of Land and Natural Resources reported Maui stream levels were the lowest seen in over a century. In particular, the W. Wailuaiki Stream was the lowest in early October in 106-year history.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 3:01 PM HST, 8 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 3:01 PM HST, 8 hours 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
301 PM HST Sun Aug 31 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Beneath a persistent blanket of high clouds, moderate trades
deliver limited low clouds and showers to windward and mauka areas
for the remainder of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon water vapor imagery clearly shows a closed upper low
parked NW Kauai drawing north a plume of moisture from the deep
tropics. In response, deep layer SW flow extends down to around
700mb and PWATs have spiked to about 1.7" per this afternoon's
sounding out of Lihue. Saturation with respect to ice in the 20-
25kft layer is indicative of the partially transparent band of
high clouds that will be a fixture over the islands through most
of the coming week. A weakened trade wind inversion around 8kft is
observed which matches well with radar-indicated shower tops
penetrating to 10kft or so. Interior showers developed over the
islands this afternoon in response to daytime heating with the
resident envelope of low-level moisture, but they have largely
been disorganized. This is likely a consequence of high clouds
short-circuting the sea breeze which only briefly manifested over
Oahu where winds have already backed to the ENE at HNL. The lack
of organized surface convergence has therefore translated into a
lack of shower organization. Interior areas will clear this
evening giving way to clear skies in the lower levels and high
clouds aloft with light to moderate trades delivering pockets of
showers windward and mauka through the night.

The latest modeling suggests today will represent the minimum in
winds for the week, though not by much, as the trade wind belt
rebounds slightly northward and the upper low NW of Kauai gradually
lifts north away from the islands. Moderate, stable trades are
forecast to prevail through the end of the forecast period. Rainfall
remains limited as drier air returns early this week and dewpoints
fall to typical values in the upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...

Light to moderate trade winds will allow local sea breezes to
continue in sheltered leeward locations through this evening,
with clouds and showers over some leeward and interior areas.
Tropical moisture moving across the islands combined with some
weak instability aloft may bring some enhanced showers through
tonight, with periods of MVFR possible. Otherwise, VFR should
prevail.

No AIRMETs are currently in effect, but AIRMET Sierra may be
needed over portions of the islands if showers become more
widespread.

&&

.MARINE...

A ridge of high pressure north of the state will remain displaced
to the south in response to large low far to the north. This will
maintain moderate trades through most of the forecast period, with
some localized sea breezes, especially across leeward waters.

Surf along south facing shores will continue to decline through
Monday as the swell fades, returning to background levels for most
of the coming week. Surf along north facing shores will see a
boost on Monday due to a small, short- to medium-period swell.
This swell will quickly be overshadowed by longer period energy
out of the northwest starting Monday night and peaking on Tuesday.
Surf will increase again from the influence of this swell, but
remain below advisory levels. A reinforcing pulse out of the north
should arrive around the same time the northwest swell arrives. A
mix of north and northwest swells are expected to continue through
Thursday. Below average surf is expected to continue along east
facing shores persisting through early next week.

Peak monthly high tides, combined with water levels running higher
than predicted, may lead to minor flooding along the shoreline and
in low-lying coastal areas toward the end of next week. Coastal
flooding may be possible around the daily afternoon peak tide.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Moderate trades prevail for the remainder of week delivering
limited showers windward and mauka. Modest drying commences during
Monday as the resident area of low-level moisture exits to the
west and dewpoints return to typical values in the upper 60s.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...JVC
AVIATION...Ahue
MARINE...TS
FIRE WEATHER...JVC

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Maui Leeward West

When
September 1, 12:00 AM HST to September 30, 12:00 AM HST
Where
Maui Leeward West forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

West Maui reportedly had a stage two water shortage beginning September 4 and lasted through the month.

Drought, Maui Central Valley South

When
September 1, 12:00 AM HST to September 30, 12:00 AM HST
Where
Maui Central Valley South forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A stage 1 water shortage was in place for South and Central Maui since September 2024 due to lack of surface water flow.

Drought, Maui Central Valley North

When
September 1, 12:00 AM HST to September 30, 12:00 AM HST
Where
Maui Central Valley North forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A stage 1 water shortage was in place for South and Central Maui since September 2024 due to lack of surface water flow.

Drought, Maui Windward West

When
September 1, 12:00 AM HST to September 30, 12:00 AM HST
Where
Maui Windward West forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

West Maui reportedly had a stage two water shortage beginning September 4 and lasted through the month.

Drought, South Maui/Upcountry

When
September 1, 12:00 AM HST to September 30, 12:00 AM HST
Where
South Maui/Upcountry forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Upcountry Maui upgraded to a Stage 2 water shortage on September 11, 2025 (Stage 1|declared 4/2025).

Drought, Maui Leeward West

When
September 1, 12:00 AM HST to September 30, 12:00 AM HST
Where
Maui Leeward West forecast zone
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
21.027, -156.788 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The PGA cancelled the Sentry golf tournament in Kapalua, Maui, due to the drought causing the Kapalua Resort’s Plantation course condition to be significantly compromised.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Hawaii in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Hawaii, September 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1293584, 1293585, 1293586, 1293587, 1293588, 1293593.