SW steering flow pushed a more dominant west coast sea breeze inland over a moist and unstable airmass. Sea breeze and boundary mergers focused toward the I-95 corridor eastward where isolated strong storms produced gusty winds and small hail as they moved offshore.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
SW steering flow pushed a more dominant west coast sea breeze inland over a moist and unstable airmass. Sea breeze and boundary mergers focused toward the I-95 corridor eastward where isolated strong storms produced gusty winds and small hail as they moved offshore.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 7, 12:41 PM EST, 5 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL Issued by National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 141 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .NEAR TERM... Issued at 111 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025 For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf Around noon, a strong thunderstorm moved through the Brunswick area, producing a 40 mph wind gust at St. Simons Island. Isolated thunderstorms, some of which may become strong are expected through the afternoon and into the late evening today, mainly near the I-95 corridor eastward. The Storm Prediction Center is not highlighting the Atlantic coast for isolated severe thunderstorms due to the moderate instability and sufficient deep- layer shear. Hail, gusty winds, and torrential downpours are the primary concerns today and through the end of the week as well. Low temperatures will be mild tonight, in the mid to upper 60s inland and near 70 along the coast and St. Johns river basin. With calm winds and recent rainfall, patchy fog is possible inland before sunrise. && .SHORT TERM... (Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 140 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025 Wavy stationary front will remain in place through the end of the week with pieces of energy/moisture pushing along this feature, mainly along the I-10 corridor northward through SE GA. This will lead to numerous showers and storms, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours, which will interact with the East Coast sea breeze front to produce scattered strong to isolated severe storms with damaging winds and possible large hail at times, mainly along the I-95 corridor and Atlantic Coastal counties, but could be possible any portion of the NE FL/SE GA area, depending on any outflow or differential heating boundaries. This convection will also contain heavy rainfall and may produce some localized flooding in some urban type areas, but overall most of the rainfall is needed due to the recent dry spell over the past month. Temperatures will average near to slightly above normal this period. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 140 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025 Low pressure development still expected along the wavy frontal boundary over the North Gulf on Saturday which will track across South GA on Sunday/Monday and into the Carolinas for Tuesday and into the Northeast US by Wednesday. More widespread showers with heavy rainfall will develop this weekend and continue into Monday until the low pressure system pulls north of the region. The heaviest rainfall is expected from the I-10 corridor northward across SE GA closer to the track of the low pressure system where 4-6 inches of rainfall with higher amounts are expected, while further southward across the rest of NE FL, widespread rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches are expected, but most of NE FL will remain in the warm sector, which will enhance severe weather potential each day with the slightly warmer diurnal heating and interaction with local sea breezes, which will also lead to locally higher rainfall amounts as well. Overall much of the region will benefit from the this wetter rainfall pattern, but some localized flooding will be possible, but still too early to determine if any Flood Watches will need to be posted, also will see some rises on the main stem river basins with the best chance for any river flooding will be along basins across SE GA, where the heaviest rainfall is expected. There is some indications that a drier slot of airmass aloft will push into the local area on Tuesday and Wednesday as the low pressure lifts north of the region, but a trailing frontal boundary will likely leave the risk of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in place. Temps will generally be below to near normal over the weekend and into early next week due to the above normal cloud cover and high rainfall chances, then return to near to slightly above normal temps by the middle of next week as more insolation is expected. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 111 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025 Showers and isolated thunderstorms will likely impact all of the TAF sites this afternoon and evening, TEMPOs are in place for best timing of storm impacts. Activity will begin to dwindle a bit past 00Z, with winds becoming light during the overnight hours, leading to the potential for fog development again likely for the inland TAF sites. For the Duval sites, it looks like there is potential for two rounds, therefore have two TEMPO groups, one for the afternoon and one again after 00Z. && .MARINE... Issued at 116 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025 Daily showers and thunderstorms are expected each day through early next week, with the most activity in the afternoon and evening hours as a stalled front lays across the area. Winds and seas will remain below Small Craft Advisory conditions through the weekend. Rip Currents: A low to moderate risk of rip currents will continue through the end of the week with a weak flow pattern and daily sea breeze pattern as weak frontal boundary meanders across the waters. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 65 85 65 82 / 30 90 60 80 SSI 70 84 69 82 / 30 80 70 80 JAX 68 90 67 87 / 30 80 50 80 SGJ 69 88 68 86 / 40 80 50 80 GNV 67 91 66 87 / 20 70 30 80 OCF 69 91 67 88 / 20 70 30 80 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. &&
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
Issued by National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
232 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025
FLZ136-140-237-240-071900-
Eastern Alachua FL-Central Marion FL-Western Putnam FL-
Eastern Marion FL-
232 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ALACHUA...
NORTHEASTERN MARION AND WEST CENTRAL PUTNAM COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM
EDT...
At 232 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Cross Creek, or near Citra, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Hog Valley, Melrose Landing, McIntosh, Cross Creek, Johnson,
Lochloosa, Orange Springs, Hawthorne, Interlachen, and Grove Park.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2941 8221 2957 8228 2971 8190 2938 8184
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 266DEG 17KT 2950 8214
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
HESSSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
Issued by National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
333 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025
FLZ124-125-072000-
Coastal Duval FL-Coastal Nassau FL-
333 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL NASSAU AND
NORTHEASTERN DUVAL COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM EDT...
At 332 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Little Talbot Island, or 10 miles south of Fernandina Beach, moving
northeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and excessive cloud-to-ground
lightning.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Excessive cloud-to-ground lightning is
occurring.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Nassau
and northeastern Duval Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3046 8154 3052 8158 3063 8145 3058 8139
3047 8137
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 236DEG 7KT 3051 8148
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
CHANEYSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
Issued by National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
407 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025
FLZ125-233-072045-
Northeast Coastal St. Johns FL-Coastal Duval FL-
407 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN ST. JOHNS AND EAST
CENTRAL DUVAL COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM EDT...
At 406 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from Little Talbot Island to
Fort Caroline. Movement was southeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Neptune Beach, Craig Field, San Pablo, Unf, Little Talbot Island,
Fort Caroline, Ponte Vedra Beach, and Palm Valley.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3017 8146 3035 8160 3055 8139 3054 8138
3025 8133
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 330DEG 7KT 3046 8142 3038 8150
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
CHANEYSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
Issued by National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
604 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025
FLZ140-072230-
Eastern Marion FL-
604 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY
THROUGH 630 PM EDT...
At 604 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Juniper Springs, moving east at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and excessive cloud-to-ground
lightning.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Excessive cloud-to-ground lightning is
occurring.
Locations impacted include...
Juniper Springs.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2908 8185 2920 8187 2927 8164 2907 8164
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 265DEG 10KT 2916 8176
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
KBThe Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 127 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:59 UTC.
1 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Nickel size hail potentially a quarter was reported. Photo of hail was relayed via emergency manager.
A trained spotter relayed a report of a small oak tree snapped at the base on their property near Cracker Swamp Rd and Barrel Factory Rd. The cost of damage was estimated for inclusion in Storm Data.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1250731, 1250730.