Florida, 2025Wildfire in Florida, March 29, 2025
March 29, 2025 · NWS JAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Several brush fires developed late March including some in St. Johns and Flagler counties.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Several brush fires developed late March including some in St. Johns and Flagler counties.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 29, 1:38 PM EST, 5 hours 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 1:38 PM EST, 5 hours 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
238 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025...CORRECTED FOR HEADLINE
...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON FOR NORTHTEAST
FLORIDA BEACHES SOUTH OF JACKSONVILLE...
...STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...STRONG TO ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL LATE MONDAY...
.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
High pressure will influence the weather pattern through the rest
of the afternoon resting over Bermuda with a surface ridge axis
extending westward into GA/SC generating clockwise flow across
the region. This flow pattern is bringing SE winds 10-15 mph
away from the coast and near 15 mph along the coast with higher
gusts to 20-25 mph. Mixed cloud cover due to more abundant low
level cumulus clouds will continue this afternoon with some
isolated light showers near highway 301 to the coast at times.
Highs have been nearly reached at this point into the mid/upper
70s along the coast to I-95, but may warm another few degrees
farther inland and into north central FL as higher clouds exit
to the northeast and fields of cumulus remain a bit more sparse.
Tonight, a warm front is progged to lift south to north late
tonight after midnight bringing increasing clouds and moisture
with dewpoints rising from near 60 towards the low 60s in SE GA
and mid 60s in NE FL by sunrise. Scattered showers will lift
northward from central FL late overnight with some isolated
thunderstorms entering north central FL just before sunrise. Lows
will be in the low/mid 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025
Surface high pressure center will continue to move away to the
east northeast Sunday. The position of the high will result in a
prevailing surface flow from the south southeast. This flow will
bring warmer and more moist air into region through the day.
Shower coverage will increase during the day with surface
dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s, deeper moisture (PWATs
1.5-1.7")and the passing perturbation aloft are forecast to
produce the high PoPs for our area (60-90%). The east coast sea
breeze is expected to push inland Sunday, and may intersect with
Gulf sea breeze between I75 and I95 during the afternoon. An upper
wave is expected to move east across forecast area during the day
Sunday as well. Convection is expected to initiate along sea
breeze boundaries in the warm and moist airmass, then move further
toward the I75 corridor later in the day as east coast sea breeze
is aided by overall southeast flow. The convection may be slow
moving, given flow is not that strong, so locally heavy rainfall
will possible. The upper wave will act to help destabilize the
atmosphere further, allowing storms which develop to sustain and
possibly strengthen. Some strong storms can be expected Sunday,
and an isolated severe storm can not be ruled out, especially
during the afternoon and evening with elevated CAPES between 750
and 1250. Temperatures Sunday will trend above normal with highs
in the lower 80s inland, mid to upper 70s closer to the coast.
Precipitation chances will decrease as Sunday evening progresses,
as the upper wave moves east, and diurnal heating diminishes.
Overnight Sunday night is expected to be dry. Lows in the lower to
mid 60s will be common.
A cold front will approach the area from the northwest on Monday.
A prefrontal trough is expected to press into the region ahead of
the front. The genesis of convection will initiate on this
prefrontal trough Monday afternoon. Models do indicate some
debilitation of t-storms as the front itself moves into the region
Monday evening, but still enough support for convection to
continue. Temperatures on Monday are expected to rise into the mid
to upper 80s ahead of the prefrontal boundary. Surface
instability due to the diurnal heating, coupled with ample
moisture and convergence along boundaries will be sufficient for
strong to possibly severe storms Monday afternoon into Monday
night with. Temperatures Monday night will remain above normal,
with lows in the upper 50s across SE GA, and lower to mid 60s NE
FL.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025
The cold front will linger around Tuesday morning, before moving off
to the east. The presence of the boundary will keep precipitation
potential in the forecast Tuesday afternoon. The east coast sea
breeze is expected to push inland Tuesday afternoon to around the
I95 corridor. The combination of diurnal heating, and sea breeze
interactions is expected to keep precipitation chances going into
the afternoon hours. With loss of diurnal heating convection will
dissipate in the evening, with a dry overnight forecast. Highs on
Tuesday will range from the lower 80s SE GA, to the mid to upper 80s
NE FL, with lower highs along the coast due to the sea breeze. Lows
Tuesday night will remain above normal.
High pressure will build to the northeast Wednesday, as a warm front
lifts northeast across forecast area, and reside north of the
Altamaha by midday. It will be an unseasonably warm day with
inland locations possibly reaching 90. Convection will be possible
due to the warm front lifting through, along with sea breeze
interactions. A dry and unseasonably warm night for Wednesday
night forecast.
High pressure will become centered to the east Thursday through
Friday, with ridge extending across the area. An upper high is also
expected to be overhead during this time, helping to suppress
convective potential. Given heat and moisture, can not completely
rule out convection, but should be limited by subsidence under
ridges. Potential for inland highs to reach 90 both Thursday and
Friday afternoons.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 157 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025
18Z TAF period will begin with predominantly VFR conditions as
low level cumulus clouds continue to form around 3.5-4.5 kft
under thin high level clouds. Clockwise flow around high pressure
to the east north east nearing Bermuda has winds around 10-15
knots at most sites with higher gusts to 15-20 knots. A few
stray light showers exist but should be short lived and have
not placed VCSH in TAFs as there remains a lot of dry air between
5.0kft and 15.0 kft via this morning's sounding. Winds will
decrease this evening eventually to under 5 knots inland
and 5-8 knots coast while clouds increase after 09Z from the
south and west as a warm front lifts into Northeast FL. Expect
light rain to intrude to GNV, where low end MVFR ceilings will
accompany light rain, and SGJ by 10-11Z and lift to the
JAX/CRG/VQQ terminals after 13Z.
With strong daytime heating and a disturbance aloft, have
included prevailing showers with MVFR ceilings/vis and VCTS after
16-17Z Sunday as seabreeze circulations help to initiate isolated
T'storms by early afternoon. Additional T'storms, potentially
strong to severe, may develop after the end of the period with
gusty wind impacts and further MVFR/IFR restrictions.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025
High pressure will remain near Bermuda with a surface ridge axis
stretching westward just north of the waters through this evening.
Southeasterly winds expected across the local Florida waters
becoming more elevated offshore with small craft exercise caution
conditions over the Florida offshore waters through midnight.
Showers increase in coverage late tonight as a warm front lifts
northward over the Florida peninsula. Showers and isolated
thunderstorms expected Sunday. The next cold front approaches from
the west late Monday and begins to stall across the Florida
peninsula Tuesday before lifting north of the waters late
Wednesday. Drier conditions are expected by the end of the week as
high pressure settles near Bermuda.
Rip Currents: High risk of rip currents in effect through this
evening from Ponte Vedra Beach southward to the St Augustine and
Flagler area beaches with a high end moderate risk northward from
the Jax beaches to SE GA beaches. A high end moderate risk is
expected Sunday with potential for a high risk at all area beaches.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025
High pressure will be centered to the east northeast through
Sunday. Thunderstorm chances are in the forecast for Sunday as an
upper disturbance moves through. Elevated dispersion is expected
rest of this afternoon and Sunday across portions of the area as
boundary layer winds increase. Thunderstorms are in the forecast
again Monday into Monday night as a cold front crosses the region.
The potential for strong storms will exist Sunday afternoon, and
again Monday into Monday night. A few severe storms will also be
possible especially Monday. A few storms will be possible Tuesday
and Wednesday as well. Mid to late week will be unseasonably warm,
with inland highs possibly reaching 90. A largely dry period is
forecast for Thursday into Friday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 61 77 62 82 / 20 60 50 60
SSI 64 75 62 80 / 20 40 20 30
JAX 63 80 62 86 / 20 60 20 20
SGJ 64 78 63 84 / 30 80 20 20
GNV 62 82 62 86 / 30 90 60 20
OCF 64 83 63 86 / 40 90 30 10
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ138-233-333.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 29, 5:17 PM EST, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
617 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM Wildfire 3 WSW Saint Augustine 29.88N 81.36W
03/29/2025 St. Johns FL Broadcast Media
Fire rescue crews are working on a wildfire
near the area of County Road 214 and Carter
Road in St Johns County. As of around 5 pm,
the 20-acre fire was about 75-80 percent
contained. No injuries or structure damage
have been reported as of 5 pm.
&&Wildfire, Inland Flagler
- When
- March 29, 7:30 PM EST
- Where
- Inland Flagler forecast zone
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 29.471, -81.293 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A wildfire was reported with size estimated at | approximately 35-40 acres and near 90 | percent containment.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, March 29 to 30, 20251 death · 1 injured · $72,000 · EF0 · 8 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Louisiana, March 29 to 31, 2025$295,000 · EF2 · 10 events
- Flash Flooding and Strong Wind in Louisiana, March 29, 2025$275,000 · 13 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, March 29 to 30, 2025$34,000 · 2 in hail · 24 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, March 29, 2025$10,000 · 3 in hail · 35 events
- Ice Storm in Wisconsin, March 29 to 30, 2025$40,000 · 2 events
- Winter Weather in Minnesota, March 29 to 30, 202530 events
- Ice Storm and Winter Storm in Wisconsin, March 29 to 30, 202519 events
- Ice Storm and Winter Weather in New York, March 29 to 30, 20257 events
- Ice Storm and Winter Storm in Wisconsin, March 29 to 30, 20257 events
- Winter Weather in South Dakota, March 29 to 30, 20255 events
- Ice Storm and Winter Storm in South Dakota, March 29 to 30, 20254 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1242467.