Prolonged periods of dry weather across much of Southeast Florida since the winter months led to drought conditions entering July with limited rainfall allowing the drought to persist.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
Prolonged periods of dry weather across much of Southeast Florida since the winter months led to drought conditions entering July with limited rainfall allowing the drought to persist.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 5:36 PM EST, 6 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 636 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 1258 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 NEAR TERM: The strong southeasterly flow has kept Atlantic coast clear of showers this morning. With the Gulf breeze and diurnal heating, this afternoon is expected to become active, especially in the interior and SW FL, with sea breezes and outflow boundaries. The 18Z sounding has not composed yet, but the forecast soundings continue to support atmospheric conditions for an afternoon and early evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Any passing storms will bring the potential for hazards such as gusty winds, small hail, lightning, and heavy rainfall. EXTENDED OUTLOOK: Uncertainty remains high as we move into the extended forecast...the latest National Hurricane Center update kept the potential for a tropical disturbance at 20% chance in the next 7 days. Regardless of tropical format or not, the incoming moisture and activity will bring a holiday weekend with plentiful rainfall and potential for hydro hazards in the Florida Peninsula. Conditions will continued to be monitored. For the latest updates: weather.gov/mfl or nhc.noaa.gov && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 128 AM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Conditions across South Florida will remain unsettled this week, with scattered showers and strong thunderstorms possible each afternoon. Surface high over the western Atlantic ocean will continue to promote light southeasterly flow across the region today, and convective development will be (mostly) driven by local mesoscale processes, with daytime heating and sea breeze and other boundary collisions playing a pivotal role. The presence of a lingering tropical upper tropospheric trough (TUTT) over the Bahamas will act to enhance activity, with forecast soundings showing CAPE > 3000 J/kg, 500 mb temperatures staying below -8C and lapse rates 6-7 C/km in the early afternoon hours. Strong thunderstorms could be possible as a result, capable of heavy downpours, damaging wind gusts and perhaps some small hail, mainly after 5PM and into the early night hours. Convection will be mainly focused over the interior, southwest FL and the Lake Okeechobee area. On Tuesday, mid-level troughing will begin to develop across the Midwest, eventually absorbing the TUTT as it continues to drift northward. Meanwhile, an associated surface low and frontal boundary will move across the Eastern Seaboard, pushing the western Atlantic surface high further south. As a result, surface winds across South Florida will start to veer from the south/southeast, leading to convective activity each afternoon becoming more concentrated across northern portions of the CWA instead of interior and southwest Florida. At the same time, the last of the lingering Saharan Dust will clear out and deep moisture will return with the southerly flow, with PWATs climbing into 1.9-2.1 inch range, potentially leading to heavy rainfall and localized flooding with any strong convection on Tuesday. High temperatures will remain typical for this time of year as they will rise into the upper 80s and lower 90s across most areas. Heat indices across the interior and southwest Florida could peak in the low 100s. Balmy conditions overnight, with lows in the upper 70s and upper 80s along the coasts, and low 70s across the interior. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 128 AM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Uncertainty increases in the extended period as the aforementioned frontal boundary stalls out across the southeast U.S. later this week, pushing the surface high further south and away from the Florida peninsula. Deep moisture will return to the area as southerly flow prevails, with PWATs climbing above 2 inches each day, and model guidance agrees in keeping elevated chances for showers and thunderstorms across northern portions of the CWA each afternoon through the long term period. Model QPF also hints at heavy downpours with some of these showers and thunderstorms each evening, with values in the 1-2 inch range each day in the Lake Okeechobee area. Uncertainty in the long term forecast stems from the possibility of a disturbance developing sometime later this week. Some of the deterministic guidance hints at an area of low pressure potentially forming somewhere along the stalled frontal boundary (could be over the Gulf waters, or over the Panhandle, or even over the Gulf Stream waters). However, the lack of model consensus or a consistent trend continues to complicate the forecast. If a system does develop, it could potentially help enhance the aforementioned chances for showers and thunderstorms across the region, and elevate the potential for severe and flooding impacts. This scenario will need to be monitored closely in the coming days. Seasonably warm temperatures will continue each day. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 627 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Mostly VFR conditions for the 00Z TAF period. Southeasterly winds are declining and expected to become light and variable overnight. Evening convection should stay away from all east coast terminals as it wanes. Showers expected to continue into the early evening at APF, bringing potential for poor cigs and vis, but conditions expected to improve and clear as the evening progresses. Rinse and repeat tomorrow, with SE winds around 10kts again, except for SW winds at KAPF. Gusty, erratic winds possible with passing storms. && .MARINE... Issued at 128 AM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Gentle southeasterly winds prevail through midweek as surface high remains in place over the western Atlantic. This feature could shift southward later this week, resulting in more southerly flow across all local waters. Seas across the Atlantic and Gulf waters will remain at 2 feet or less through the weekend and into early next week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the local waters each day. Any thunderstorm can produce brief periods of rough seas along with gusty and erratic winds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 78 89 79 89 / 30 60 30 40 West Kendall 74 89 75 90 / 30 60 30 40 Opa-Locka 78 91 79 92 / 30 60 30 40 Homestead 78 89 78 90 / 40 60 30 30 Fort Lauderdale 78 88 78 88 / 30 70 40 50 N Ft Lauderdale 78 88 78 89 / 30 70 40 50 Pembroke Pines 80 93 81 93 / 30 70 30 40 West Palm Beach 76 89 76 89 / 40 70 40 60 Boca Raton 77 91 77 90 / 30 70 40 60 Naples 73 89 75 89 / 50 70 20 50 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. GM...None. && SHORT TERM...ATV LONG TERM....ATV AVIATION...JS
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Miami FL
712 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM Marine Tstm Wind 11 SE Brighton Seminole 26.96N 80.94W
06/30/2025 M47 MPH AMZ610 FL Mesonet
Mesonet Lake Okeechobee West recorded a wind
gust of 47 mph at 6:30pm as a strong
thunderstorm moved over Lake Okeechobee.
&&
HadiThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Most of inland Palm Beach County began the month of July in a severe (D2) to extreme (D3) drought which lingered until rainfall activity early in the month allowed slight improvement to moderate (D1) to severe (D2) drought.
Most of metro Palm Beach County began the month of July in a severe (D2) to extreme (D3) drought which lingered until rainfall activity early in the month allowed slight improvement to moderate (D1) to severe (D2) drought.
Most of coastal Palm Beach County began the month of July in a severe (D2) drought which lingered until rainfall activity early in the month allowed slight improvement to moderate (D1) to severe (D2) drought.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1288404, 1288405, 1288406.