Florida, 2025

Drought in Florida, February 11 to 28, 2025

February 11 to 28, 2025 · NWS MFL · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Prolonged periods of dry weather across much of South Florida during the winter months led to the development of severe drought conditions by the end of February.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.

Prolonged periods of dry weather across much of South Florida during the winter months led to the development of severe drought conditions by the end of February.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 10, 6:25 PM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 6:25 PM EST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
625 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1206 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025

Mostly dry and warm conditions persist across South FL today and
Tuesday as the surface high pressure remains in control with
mid/upper-level high pressure over the southwestern Caribbean and a
frontal boundary stalling over northern Florida. With this tranquil
weather pattern continuing, the only hazard is morning fog
potential, but chances are much lower Tuesday morning than
previous mornings. With that said, areas of patchy fog could
develop in the far interior around Lake Okeechobee and portions of
Southwest FL.

Temperatures will remain above normal with highs today and Tuesday
in the low to mid 80s across the east coast metro and mid to upper
80s across southwest Florida. Tonight’s low temperatures will be in
the low 60s around Lake Okeechobee with mid to upper 60s elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 220 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025

Second Half Of This Week...
High pressure will remain over the Florida Peninsula through the
second half of the week which in turn will block any cold front to
the north from coming into the Sunshine States. This will keep
the weather dry over South Florida for rest of this week along
with a light to moderate easterly flow. This in turn will allow
for highs to increase each day with the warmest highs on Thursday
and Friday over South Florida.

Highs will be mainly in the upper 80s to around 90 over most of
South Florida except for the metro areas where the highs will be
in the mid 80s. The only exception is for the east coastal areas
where it will be in the lower to mid 80s. However, the heat
indices will be getting into the 90s over most areas late this
week due to the increase lower level moisture. Therefore, if will
feel more like late spring or early summer over South Florida for
late this week.

Lows this week will also be warmer than normal for this time of
year over South Florida. Most areas will see mid to upper 60s
except around 70 east coast metro areas.

This Weekend...
The high over South Florida is forecast by the long range models
to break down allowing for a cold front to move southward into the
Florida Peninsula. This will allow for the wind flow to become
more south/southwest over South Florida this weekend along with a
slight change of showers over the region especially on Sunday
ahead of the front.

Highs will still be in the 80s over South Florida with heat
indices getting up to around 90 over most areas. Lows will still
be in the 60s to near 70 degrees this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the period. L/v flow overnight will
become easterly by late morning. Patchy fog is possible at APF
around sunrise although not quite enough confidence to include in
TAF at this time.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1206 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025

Benign conditions continue through the early week period with
light east to southeasterly winds prevailing and seas at 2 feet or
less. By mid-week, an increase to a moderate to fresh breeze will
increase wave heights in the Atlantic seas to 3-5 feet.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            69  80  70  81 /   0  20   0   0
West Kendall     66  82  67  82 /   0  20   0   0
Opa-Locka        67  82  68  82 /   0  20   0   0
Homestead        69  81  70  81 /   0  20   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  69  79  70  80 /   0  20   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  69  80  69  80 /   0  20   0   0
Pembroke Pines   69  83  70  81 /   0  20   0   0
West Palm Beach  67  80  68  81 /  10  20   0   0
Boca Raton       68  80  69  81 /   0  20   0   0
Naples           66  82  67  80 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Redman
LONG TERM....BNB
AVIATION...Rizzuto
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 3:04 PM EST, 8 hours 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Miami FL
304 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
111200-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach County-Metro Palm Beach County-
Coastal Collier County-Inland Collier County-Inland Broward County-
Metro Broward County-Inland Miami-Dade County-
Metropolitan Miami Dade-Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach County-
Coastal Broward County-Coastal Miami Dade County-Far South Miami-
Dade County-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
304 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025

...Threat Of Rip Currents Increasing Along East Coast Beaches This Week...
...Heat Index Readings Getting Into 90s Second Half Of This Week...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
southeast Florida, southern Florida, southwest Florida and Gulf of
Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Low level moisture will be increasing across South Florida later
this week allowing for the heat index readings to get into the 90s
over most of the area.

There will be an enhance risk of Rip Currents for the Second Half
of work week along the east coast beaches of South Florida due to the
easterly wind flow.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Baxter

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Hendry

When
February 11, 12:00 AM EST to February 28, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Hendry forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
26.554, -81.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Prolonged winter rainfall deficits, with a total 50 to 70 percent of normal, across Hendry County led to the development of severe drought (D2) conditions. Keetch-Byram Drought Index was over 500 across the area, and a burn ban was implemented for Hendry County.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, February 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1231386.