Weak and disorganized flow allowed for high based and slow moving thunderstorms and showers to develop across parts of the region.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PUB wrote it up.
Weak and disorganized flow allowed for high based and slow moving thunderstorms and showers to develop across parts of the region.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 27, 1:05 PM MST, 15 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 205 PM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Saturday will be hot and generally dry, then a cold front Sunday will bring increased chances for showers, thunderstorms, and cooler than normal temperatures into midweek. - Daily afternoon showers and storms continue, mainly over the eastern mountains, Palmer Divide, and Raton Mesa. - Monsoon moisture tap for the higher terrain setting up for next week. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... Issued at 202 PM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025 Currently...High pressure across the region has produced another hot and relatively dry day for southeast and south central CO, though isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed across the Pikes Peak region and along the Raton Mesa. Temps as of 1 PM have warmed into the 70s to around 80F for the high valleys, and mid 80s to mid 90s for the eastern plains. Tonight...Isolated convection across the eastern mts and along the I- 25 Corridor this afternoon will likely struggle once it moves out across the plains, with the main threats being gusty outflow winds as high as 45 mph and some cloud to ground lightning. Storms are expected to be most prevalent along the E mts, Palmer Divide and Raton Mesa, but if storms can make it to the eastern border then they could briefly become stronger since the highest CAPE is found there. Bulk shear is fairly weak, and SPC guidance just paints the area with General thunder so confidence is low for strong to severe storm potential. Expect clearing skies late, with overnight low temps in the 40s to around 50F for the high valleys, and 50s to around 60F for the plains. Tomorrow...Another hot and essentially ry day on tap for the area tomorrow as many locations across the eastern plains nearing 100F. Models indicate that though there will again be another round of isolated shower and thunderstorm activity through the afternoon, mainly tied to the eastern mts, Palmer Divide and Raton Mesa, it will likely be even more sparse than activity today. Main threats will again be gusty outflow winds and cloud to ground lightning. Prepare on max temps in the 80s for the high valleys, and 90s to near 100F for the plains. Moore && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 320 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025 Saturday Night through Monday... Any lingering showers and storms look to die off quickly after sunset on Saturday, leaving clear and dry conditions for the rest of the overnight hours. Overnight low temperatures will be just a couple of degrees warmer than normal, falling down into the upper 50s and low 60s. Mountain valleys look to cool into the 40s. Models continue to show a warmer than normal day for most of Sunday, before a cold front arrives sometime Sunday afternoon/evening. Highs look to climb into the 90s on the plains before the front arrives, though this could change if the front arrives earlier than currently expected. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely over the high country early in the afternoon, spreading east onto the plains throughout the afternoon and evening hours. Monday will likely be an interesting day. We'll have easterly to southeasterly winds on the plains and much cooler temperatures in our post frontal airmass. Despite the potential for moderate instability though (if the upslope doesn't sock us in with cloud cover), storms will likely have to overcome a cap due to ridging building in from our west and warmer temperatures aloft. Depending on how much clearing we see Monday, there could be a potential for strong to severe storms that day. High temperatures will also be very dependent on the amount of clearing we see, but are currently expected to run about 5 degrees or so cooler than normal for most locations. Tuesday Onwards.. The monsoon high looks to try to show itself from around Tuesday through Thursday at least, though models have backed off slightly on midweek moisture potential as far as QPF goes. Models show the high's interaction with a low coming onshore over southern California on Thursday resulting in its erosion a bit, but also resulting in an influx of remnant tropical moisture from a system off the Baja Peninsula for the Wednesday and Thursday timeframe. Even though the high looks more degraded and messy through mid-week, the moisture plume still looks to remain active. Ensemble guidance still depicts PWAT anomalies in the 150-200% of normal range straight through this event and right on through the entire first week of July. If trends hold, expect near normal temperatures and daily chances for scattered to potentially widespread showers and thunderstorms across the area, especially over the high country. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1128 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025 VFR conditions anticipated across much of the forecast area over the next 24 hours, including the three main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and KALS. Isolated convection will fire over the higher terrain this afternoon and gradually track to the E-NE across the adjacent plains, but main risks will be gusty outflow winds up to 45 mph and cloud to ground lightning. Terminal will the best chance of seeing some storm activity will be KCOS, so will include VCTS for KCOS today from 20z-02z. Moore && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...MOORE LONG TERM...EHR AVIATION...MOORE
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1108 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025 COZ058>089-093>099-281300- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 1108 AM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A few isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening, primarily over the southeast mountains, Palmer Divide, and Raton Mesa areas. Main impacts will be gusty outflow winds to 45 mph, lightning, and potentially some small hail. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Conditions remain similar for Saturday, with slightly warmer temperatures and slightly increase chances for showers and storms over and near the higher terrain. Showers and storms increase in coverage for Sunday into next week, with excessive rainfall possible from Monday onwards. Area burn scars and locations prone to flooding may need to be monitored next week with daily chances for soaking rains in the forecast. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be possible over portions of the region. GARBEROGLIO/EHR
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
154 PM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025
COZ084-272030-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
154 PM MDT Fri Jun 27 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY
THROUGH 230 PM MDT...
At 153 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Black Forest, or 19 miles northeast of Colorado Springs, moving
southeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Peyton and Black Forest.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3893 10451 3903 10479 3913 10471 3913 10436
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 300DEG 9KT 3908 10466
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
EPThe Pueblo radar (KPUX), 59 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:22 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Asos station kcos Colorado Springs Airport measured 58 mph thunderstorm outflow wind gust.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Colorado in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1273111.