A weak shortwave trough traversed southeast across Southern Arkansas and Northcentral Louisiana during the afternoon of September 16th, as temperatures climbed into the mid and upper 90s. As a result, moderate to strong instability developed given the existing low level moisture in place, with increased large scale ascent contributing to the development of scattered strong to severe…
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SHV wrote it up.
A weak shortwave trough traversed southeast across Southern Arkansas and Northcentral Louisiana during the afternoon of September 16th, as temperatures climbed into the mid and upper 90s. As a result, moderate to strong instability developed given the existing low level moisture in place, with increased large scale ascent contributing to the development of scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across portions of Southern Arkansas and Northcentral Louisiana during the late afternoon and early evening hours. These storms produced instances of damaging winds which downed several trees across Columbia County Arkansas before diminishing during the evening.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 16, 12:21 PM CST, 5 hours 34 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA Issued by National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 121 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 ...New DISCUSSION AND AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 120 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 - Above-normal temperatures with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast the next few days. - Higher rain chances with near seasonal temperatures return by the end of the week and continue through the weekend. Rain chances are highest for areas in and northwest of the ArkLaTex. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 120 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 While the synoptic pattern is relatively atypical for this time of the year, the sensible weather is very typical of the summer. Highs should peak in the mid 90s with heat index values in the upper 90s. Diurinally-driven showers and thunderstorms (less than 20% coverage) are forecast to develop this afternoon, with even less coverage in East Texas. A weak shortwave trough should move across the southeastern half of the area tonight and develop a few showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm or two. Similar weather is forecast tomorrow, but with greater coverage of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon due to slightly weaker mid- and upper-level subsidence. The pattern should become more active as we head into the end of the workweek and this weekend. The ridge responsible for the quiet weather recently will be replaced by more active northwest flow aloft, opening the door for transient shortwave troughs to move into the area. Rain chances will be highest for those within and northwest of the ArkLaTex (where the greatest forcing associated with each shortwave trough will be). While isolated showers and storms will be possible for the remainder of the forecast area each day, the lack of an organized source of ascent will keep the coverage on the low side. The combination of cloud cover and weaker subsidence will also allow for highs to return to near the seasonal normals, which will certainly be welcome. Most of the extended guidance indicates a relatively strong mid- and upper-level trough deepening over the Southeastern CONUS in the early-to-mid parts of next week. Cluster analysis of the ensemble members indicate a roughly 1 in 4 chance that the low starts as a cutoff low over West Texas. This pattern would favor higher rain chances (and lower temperatures) across the entire region early next week. The other 3/4ths of the guidance is drier and deepens the trough overhead and to our east. The 1/4 of ensemble members that favor a low developing to our west have much higher rain totals compared to the drier 3/4. These higher values are driving up the entire ensemble mean when it is compared to the 50th percentile (median) value. Due to the spread between the 50th percentile and mean value, advertising rain totals for next week's systems are far too unreliable. This is still 7-10 days out, so we have some time to start to hone in on a solution. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 120 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 Shallow cumulus has developed across much of the area already. Most of the cumulus today should be innocuous, but expect about 20% coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Since coverage is on the low-end, we did not include any tempo or on- station mention of precip in any of the TAFs. There is a 20-30% chance that a few showers linger through the evening across Louisiana and southeast Texas, but most of this should be away from our TAF sites. Northwest winds this afternoon will become light and generally variable (from 200-300) this evening and tonight. There should be greater coverage of showers and storms tomorrow, but mainly after 18Z. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 120 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 96 72 95 73 / 20 20 20 10 MLU 95 70 95 70 / 20 20 20 0 DEQ 93 67 92 66 / 20 20 20 10 TXK 95 70 95 70 / 20 20 20 0 ELD 94 67 93 67 / 20 20 20 0 TYR 92 70 92 70 / 20 20 20 10 GGG 94 69 94 70 / 20 20 20 10 LFK 94 70 94 70 / 20 20 20 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && DISCUSSION...Bonnette/FWD AVIATION...Bonnette/FWD
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
322 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
ARZ050-059-OKZ077-162045-
Little River AR-McCurtain OK-Sevier AR-
322 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN LITTLE RIVER...
WEST CENTRAL SEVIER AND EAST CENTRAL MCCURTAIN COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM
CDT...
At 322 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northwest of Horatio, moving southeast at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
De Queen, Horatio, West Otis, Cerrogordo, West Line and Shinewell.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
&&
LAT...LON 3384 9448 3395 9459 3408 9443 3396 9426
3381 9445
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 315DEG 9KT 3398 9447
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
24Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
511 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
LAZ006-014-162245-
Union LA-Ouachita LA-
511 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT OUACHITA AND SOUTHEASTERN UNION
PARISHES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...
At 511 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Swartz, moving southwest at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Monroe, Claiborne, West Monroe, Brownsville-Bawcom,
Brownsville-Bawcomville, Swartz, Richwood, Sterlington, Pine
Grove, Millhaven, Drew, Fairbanks, Loch Lomon, Guthrie, Deshard,
Perryville and Cheniere.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
&&
LAT...LON 3276 9207 3274 9205 3273 9207 3272 9206
3271 9206 3270 9204 3269 9205 3270 9203
3271 9204 3271 9200 3264 9192 3261 9193
3257 9193 3252 9190 3249 9193 3245 9194
3240 9199 3231 9202 3248 9233
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 28DEG 6KT 3256 9194
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
26Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
547 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
ARZ072-073-LAZ004-006-162330-
Columbia AR-Claiborne LA-Union AR-Union LA-
547 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN COLUMBIA
AND SOUTHWESTERN UNION COUNTIES AND NORTHWESTERN UNION AND
NORTHEASTERN CLAIBORNE PARISHES UNTIL 630 PM CDT...
At 547 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from 6 miles northeast of McNeil to 5 miles
southeast of Junction City, moving southwest at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Magnolia, Waldo, Junction City, McNeil, Haynesville, Bernice,
Emerson, Atlanta, Wesson, Village, Mount Holly, Cooley, Calhoun,
Spearsville, Lillie, Hew Hope, Three Creeks, Marysville and
Spotville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
&&
LAT...LON 3302 9317 3333 9338 3344 9312 3338 9312
3338 9297 3320 9284 3314 9277 3292 9242
3278 9268 3287 9297 3299 9315
TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 53DEG 20KT 3340 9313 3314 9294 3305 9285 3297
9266
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
20Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
607 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0541 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 3 E Monroe 32.51N 92.04W
09/16/2025 M68 MPH Ouachita LA ASOS
Measured at (KMLU) Monroe Regional Airport
ASOS.
&&
20Preliminary Local Storm Report...Corrected
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
609 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0538 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 3 E Monroe 32.51N 92.04W
09/16/2025 M68 MPH Ouachita LA ASOS
Corrects previous tstm wnd gst report from 3
E Monroe. Measured at (KMLU) Monroe Regional
Airport ASOS.
&&
20The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 107 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:56 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees were blown down on Gladys Street in Magnolia.
Trees were downed across the west side of Magnolia, including across West North Street, South Heights Street, and Pecan Street.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, September 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1290402, 1290403.