Heavy rain led to river flooding along the Cache River at Patterson.
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The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rain led to river flooding along the Cache River at Patterson.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 3, 10:47 AM CST, 5 hours 13 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1047 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 255 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 -Frost is possible over a large part of Arkansas this morning. -Moderating temperature trend is expected early through late week. -Low end rain chances return towards the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 255 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Analyzing surface observations from around the state this morning and winds were nearly calm or calm and skies were clear. Temperatures ranged from the lower 30s to lower 40s. Given these readings already in the lower to middle 30s, a good coverage of frost is anticipated by daybreak. Winds will switch around to the SW today ranging from 5-15 mph. Skies will remain clear thanks to subsidence in place over the region. These two components will promote temperatures climbing into the upper 60s to lower 70s. Beyond Monday, an upper ridge will settle in across the Gulf coastal states with H500 flow becoming zonal over a good portion of the CONUS. At the surface, a departing high will sustain SWrly flow over the next several days. This will allow a warming trend with many locations climbing back into the 70s, even approaching 80 degrees in some areas. By late week a series of upper level shortwaves should dive SEwrd within background perturbed flow. A weak cold front is expected to reach the state by Friday, become stationary over Srn AR, then lift back to the N as a warm front. A few showers are possible with this front over E and NE AR, then points NEwrd into the Great Lakes region. Most locations around the state should remain dry. A secondary much strong front is forecast to move across the state Saturday night into Sunday bringing additional rain chances to Arkansas. Much like the last system, E and NE AR have the highest PoP chances. Even there, PoP chances are not great. Much colder and drier air will advect into the region on Sunday as an expansive area of high pressure moves into the Cntrl/Nrn Plains. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1046 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 VFR flight category is expected for the entire forecast period from Monday mid-day through Tuesday mid-day across all TAF sites. Surface winds will begin the forecast period established out of the southwest to west-southwest before becoming variable into Monday evening, then becoming re-established out of the south to south- southwest later Tuesday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 44 73 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 42 73 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 46 72 51 74 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 43 72 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 46 72 49 76 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 45 74 47 77 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 43 74 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 44 73 49 76 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 44 72 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 43 73 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 45 76 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 43 73 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 44 72 47 75 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...70 LONG TERM....70 AVIATION...74
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain led the Cache River at the Patterson gage to enter minor flood stage with the minor flood stage maxima taking place on November 4, 2025 at 1615 CST or LST at a height of 9.34 feet.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, November 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1298877.