Arizona, 2025

Hail in Arizona, August 10, 2025

August 10, 2025 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A strong thunderstorm formed over Portal, AZ on the east side of the Chiricahua Mountains. 75 inch hail) with no injury or damage to property.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

A strong thunderstorm formed over Portal, AZ on the east side of the Chiricahua Mountains. This storm produced penny sized (0.75 inch hail) with no injury or damage to property.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 10, 12:43 PM MST, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Daily thunderstorm chances each afternoon with daily variability in the location of impacts
  • Impacts possible with any strong thunderstorms include strong gusty winds, blowing dust, and localized heavy rain producing flash flooding
  • Warm temperatures will remain running 3-7 degrees above normal, resulting in widespread Moderate HeatRisk through at least Thursday
Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 12:43 PM MST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1243 PM MST Sun Aug 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Thunderstorm chances are forecast each afternoon and
evening through the coming week, though there will be day to day
variability in these chances. High temperatures will generally
remain above normal through the coming week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
 - Daily thunderstorm chances each afternoon with daily variability
   in the location of impacts
 - Impacts possible with any strong thunderstorms include strong
   gusty winds, blowing dust, and localized heavy rain producing
   flash flooding
 - Warm temperatures will remain running 3-7 degrees above normal,
   resulting in widespread Moderate HeatRisk through at least
   Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The 18Z sounding shows a fairly weak cap (-43 CIN), weak mean
winds (2-5 knots), decent PWAT 1.38", MUCAPE of 1488 J/kg, and
marginal at best DCAPE of 1015 J/kg. Latest satellite trends
indicate increasing mid-level cloud cover across eastern Pima
County and a weakening remnant MCV over northern Sonora. With
latest information, slightly less concerned for severe level winds
today, though the chances (10-30%) still exist for a strong
thunderstorm to produce near severe level (58+ mph) winds today
mainly in the Arivaca-Nogales area. There is still a concern for
flooding impacts with any storms that form and produce 1-2" precip
rates since they will be slow moving.

As the long-wave trough currently stretched across much of the
Central Plains continues to shift east, the ridge currently
centered across CA will broaden and shift back over to the
southwest. This will allow upper-level flow to shift from the
north-northwest to more of the northeast through the middle of the
week. During this upper-level change, decent moisture (PW
1.0-1.5") will remain, continuing to keep daily shower and
thunderstorm chances in the forecast through the next 7 days.
Typical with monsoon activity, daily variability in location of
the impacts are expected.

Temperatures will remain above seasonal normals by 3-6 degrees
through the work week resulting in widespread Moderate HeatRisk.
The NBM box & whisker plots indicate some signal for slightly
'cooler' temperatures by Friday into next weekend, with
temperatures dropping a 2-4 degrees, resulting in mostly Minor
HeatRisk.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 12/00Z.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions of
southeast AZ today, mainly south and east of Tucson. KOLS and KDUG
have the best chances of being impacted by thunderstorms this
afternoon between 21-03Z. With any thunderstorms expect variable
and gusty winds to around 30-40 knots. Otherwise, surface winds
should remain below 15 knots. SCT to BKN aoa 8-10 Kft.

Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...High temperatures will remain several degrees
above normal through the coming week. Daily chances for
thunderstorms and wetting rains through the week with daily
variability in coverage and intensity. Min RHs will generally be
around 15-25 percent in the lower elevations and 20-35+ percent
in the mountains. Winds will generally be less than 15 mph with
typical afternoon gusts up to 20 mph into the new week, though
stronger northwesterly winds possible in the Gila River Valley
through Monday with afternoon gusts up to 35 mph.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Discussion...Peters

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 145 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:10 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Cochise

When
August 10, 3:12 PM MST to 3:28 PM MST
Where
Cochise County, 7.43 mi SSE of Portal
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
CoCoRaHS
Coordinates
31.803, -109.096

A strong thunderstorm formed over Portal, AZ and produced penny sized with no injury or damage to property.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1291585.