Virginia, 2024

Flooding in Virginia, January 9 to 10, 2024

January 9 to 10, 2024 · NWS LWX · 50 events in 10 counties and zones

An area of low pressure tracked through the Ohio River Valley and up through the Great Lakes Region. A strong low level jet enhanced moisture flow into the low pressure system leading to an extended period of moderate rain that caused widespread minor flooding with isolated moderate flooding.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
50

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.

An area of low pressure tracked through the Ohio River Valley and up through the Great Lakes Region. A strong low level jet enhanced moisture flow into the low pressure system leading to an extended period of moderate rain that caused widespread minor flooding with isolated moderate flooding.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 9, 3:21 AM EST, 5 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 3:21 AM EST, 5 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
321 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A potent low pressure system will move over the region today
into Wednesday bringing numerous impacts to the area. Impacts
include heavy rain and flooding, wintry mix and snow in the
mountains, damaging winds, moderate tidal flooding, and
dangerous marine conditions. High pressure builds to our south
in the wake of the low pressure system Wednesday afternoon
through Thursday. Another strong low pressure system is set to
impact the area Friday into Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

Previous forecast remains largely on track. Have made a few
adjustments with the overnight forecast package:

1) Upgraded Garrett and Western Allegany to a Winter Storm
Warning. Concern is for heavy snow on the order of one to two
inches per hour for several hours, then a changeover to freezing
rain, and eventually rain. A general 4-8" is expected in the
bullseye from eastern Garrett into far western Allegany near
Savage Mountains. Travel may briefly be impossible along I-68
this morning given rates of 1-2" per hour.

2) Upgraded the entire Chesapeake Bay to a Storm Warning and
adjoining land zones to a High Wind Warning. BUFKIT profiles
show the potential for 50-55 kts to mix down right along the
shoreline with the highest winds expected this evening.

3) Added Grant County to the Flood Watch. While QPF is slightly
less in Grant, all water from Pendleton drains into Grant so
there could be impacts along streams, creeks, and rivers.

4) Converted all Coastal Flood Watches to Coastal Flood
Warnings. See the CFWLWX for the latest.

Updated forecast discussion follows...

A potent low pressure system is expected to bring numerous
high-impact hazards to the region today into Wednesday.

A powerful and highly amplified upper level trough over the Central
Plains pushes east toward the Eastern Seaboard today into
Wednesday. A rapidly deepening surface low over the Southern
Plains rapidly moves northeast toward the Great Lakes today, as
a secondary wave of low pressure develops over the northern
Gulf Coast and is swept up by a strong cold front rapidly
pushing east. Ahead of this complex, winds begin to increase
Tuesday morning as the pressure gradient across the region
tightens. A wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow is
likely along and west of the Blue Ridge, with snow focused west
of the Shenandoah Valley from US-48 up toward the Cumberland
area. Heavy rainfall overspread the area this afternoon into
tonight, likely leading to widespread flooding issues. River
flooding is also likely to occur given the heavy rain, and
addition of some snowmelt into the rivers upstream. Windy
conditions expected, with the strongest winds Tuesday evening.
Dangerous marine conditions expected Tuesday into Wednesday.

In terms of temperatures, very strong WAA in southerly flow is going
to rapidly bring temps to the 40s to low 50s by early
afternoon, eventually climbing to 50s and low 60s in the
evening. Now for the impacts:

Wintry Mix: Winter Storm Warnings have been issued for Garrett
and Allegany Counties. Winter Weather Advisories have been
issued for the majority of areas along and west of the Blue
Ridge. Model temperature profiles still vary, likely somewhat
owing to uncertainty in precipitation rate and how much the
column will cool. In general, 1 to 2 inches of snow and a glaze
to a tenth of an inch of ice is possible along the ridges/higher
elevations. Although a brief mix is possible, most valley
locations should have minimal impacts. To the north, there is
good model agreement in high snow rates resulting in heavy snow
across portions of eastern Garrett, western Allegany, western
Mineral, and western Grant Counties. Snow accumulations of 3-8"
are likely.. However, a transition to sleet or freezing rain
could limit these totals. On the other hand, any ridges which
stay below freezing could accumulate more ice, potentially
approaching one quarter inch. All Advisories were extended until
1 PM given uncertainty with how quickly warm air will take
over.

Heavy Rain: Very efficient warm-cloud processes are expected to
produce significant rainfall totals east of the Blue Ridge. This
system has all the ingredients - strong diffluence aloft, a deep
moist airmass originating from the Gulf of Mexico, record high
integrated water vapor transport (based on climatology) - to produce
widespread flooding, especially in urban areas. Widespread rainfall
amounts of 1-3" are expected, with higher amounts of 4"
possible along/east of the Blue Ridge. The foothills of the Blue
Ridge could see totals up to 5" given the strong convergent
flow into the ridge.

Flood Watches have been issued for most of the area from Tuesday
morning through early Wednesday morning. The upcoming heavy
rainfall is likely to produce widespread flooding, with
significant urban, small stream, and river flooding possible.
River Flood Watches have been issued for several tributary
forecast points. Should some of the modeled convective elements
come to fruition this evening over the metros, Flash Flooding
would also be a concern.

Strong Winds: An unprecedented LLJ is likely to develop over the
eastern half of the CWA this afternoon into tonight as the main
surface low moves through. Current soundings continue to
indicate 50-70KT at 925mb, and 70-90KT at 850mb. The evening
sounding tonight at IAD could break observed wind records at
925mb, 850mb, and 700mb.

The main issue is going to be whether all of this wind mixes down to
the surface. Southerly wind events struggle to do this as warm air
aloft moving over a cooler rainy surface airmass results in a
stable environment. However, given the strength and speed of
this system, strong pressure falls, and high precip rates, some
of this wind should mix down. The current thinking is winds gust
to 40-50mph along and east of I-95, with higher gusts possible
along the immediate Western Shore. A High Wind Warning has been
issued for southern Harford, southern Baltimore, Anne Arundel, Calvert
and St. Mary's County due to higher winds along the Chesapeake.
The current thinking is that winds gusts inland should peak in
the 45-55 mph range. Peak wind gusts occur between 4PM to 10PM
Tuesday.

A Wind Advisory has also been issued for the Allegheny Front
this morning and afternoon as winds ahead of the surface low
gust to 50mph.

Severe: While a convective line may move through the area, the
current thinking is that it will be elevated in nature, embedded
within the warm advection precipitation. It is uncommon for
strong winds to be brought down in this environment, but this
situation will be monitored. SPC has brought the MRGL risk of
SVR weather across the southern Chesapeake Bay with the general
TSTM southeast of I-95.

The cold front sweeps through the area tonight, though some
showers and light rain linger into Wednesday morning. On the
backside mountain snow showers are expected to pick up Wednesday
morning and continue through Wednesday night. Snow
accumulations could reach Advisory level for parts of the
Allegheny Front. Dry conditions return to all except the
Alleghenies by late Wednesday morning. While strong winds
decrease Tuesday night, then are expected to pick back up late
Wednesday morning and afternoon. Gusts of 35-45 mph are
possible, with up to 50mph in the higher elevations. Additional
Wind Advisories may be needed. The upper trough finally moves
east of the area Wednesday night, bringing the return of calmer
weather conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Sfc high pressure will reside south of the area Thursday
bringing dry conditions for most. The exception is the Allegheny
Front, where UL shortwave energy will spawn a few snow showers.
Thursday night will be cold with lows in the 20s for most. The
cooler mountain valley locales will fall into the teens.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The third in a series of impactful systems is set to move across the
local area Friday afternoon into the weekend. Presently, the feature
of interest is located near the Gulf of Alaska. Like the low
pressure system earlier in the week, it too will take a similar path
across the southwestern U.S. into the Southern Plains. With the
parent surface low expected to track near Indiana into Michigan, it
will be another warm frontal system. Ensemble surface low plots are
in fairly good agreement with the track, accompanied by pressures
falling into the 975-980 mb range. Given the overall strength of
this system, expect another round of wintry precipitation for the
mountains, increased flooding concerns, and the potential for strong
to damaging winds.

As the upper trough moves into the southwestern U.S., any notable
model differences should become better resolved given entry into a
greater wealth of observational datasets. As it currently stands,
the period of hazardous weather should span the second half of
Friday into portions of Saturday. What would last longer is any
residual river flooding as well as the upslope snow showers along
the Allegheny Front. Both may last through the entire weekend.

Unlike previous systems, the air mass in the wake of this one should
be much colder. This becomes more noticeable by Sunday into Monday
as high temperatures fall into the 30s to low 40s, with 20s across
the mountains. At night, low temperatures should be in the 20s for
most, locally falling into the teens for those west of the Blue
Ridge. The biggest question mark is will additional precipitation
move into the region as cold air is in place. Numerous model
solutions show progressive shortwaves racing through the area.
Depending on access to moisture and degree of forcing aloft, some
wintry component by re-emerge into the new work week.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected to continue overnight with winds
remaining light. Ceilings may begin to drop just prior to
daybreak.

A potent low pressure system will impact the terminals today.
CIGs are likely to drop as precipitation moves into the area
after 12Z though uncertainty remains regarding the timing of
reduced CIGs with earlier timing possible. As heavy rain moves
through the terminals, reduced VIS is expected from late
this morning into late this evening. In addition to reduced
ceilings and visibilities at all terminals, a tight pressure
gradient will lead to strong wind gusts. Southeasterly winds
will gust 35-45 knots at DCA, IAD, BWI, and MTN with gusts up to
30 knots expected at CHO, and MRB. Despite the strong surface
winds, a low level jet of 60 kt may also result in low level
wind shear. Winds are forecast to decrease Tuesday night, but
gusts over 20KT are expected through the night.

VFR conditions return Wednesday with gusty winds continuing
through the afternoon. Westerly/southwesterly winds are
forecast to gust 25 to 35 knots at all terminals with winds
expected to decrease Wednesday evening. Strongest winds will be
from IAD to MRB.

Expect deteriorating conditions across the region as the third in a
series of impactful systems track through the Mid-Atlantic. While
VFR conditions may be in place to start off Friday, expect lengthy
restrictions through the remainder of the day. Any wintry
precipitation should be tied to the terrain. However, expect another
round of flooding rains and strong winds to sweep through the area
the second half of Friday into portions of Saturday. Southeasterly
winds quickly give way to southwesterlies late Friday into Saturday
morning. Wind gusts up to 30 to 40 knots are certainly possible
during this period.

A drying trend will ensue for much of Saturday, but accompanied by
continued gusty winds. Westerly winds may again gust up to 30 to 40
knots. However, do expect VFR conditions to return behind the shield
of rain.

&&

.MARINE...
Southeasterly winds remain light through daybreak, before
increasing substantially this morning. SCA conditions begin
this morning, and issued this separate advisory to
differentiate this period from much more hazardous conditions
this afternoon and night. Winds continue to increase throughout
the day on today with dangerous marine conditions expected
through tonight.

As an area of low pressure impacts the region this evening,
tight pressure gradients will lead to expected storm force winds
over the Chesapeake Bay and Southern Tidal Potomac. Gale force
winds are expected elsewhere. There is some uncertainty in wind
strength given stable low levels. Waves are forecast 3 to 6 feet
across the middle of the bay this evening.

As the area of low pressure moves over the area, winds are
expected to diminish late tonight. Winds increase again
Wednesday as the area of low pressure departs with additional
headlines likely needed. Winds shift to southwesterly early
Wednesday morning, and are forecast to increase to Gale-force
Wednesday morning.

Ahead of yet another strong weather maker, gale conditions become
increasingly likely Friday evening through Saturday. This could look
very similar to the system earlier in the week although any storm
force wind potential remains to be seen. Gale force winds could
linger into portions of Saturday night before slowly falling below
gale thresholds. During this period of gales, 35 to 45 knot wind
gusts are expected, with a wind shift from southeasterlies to
southwesterlies by very early Saturday morning. Then westerlies
ensue through the remainder of Saturday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Strong low pressure will move into the Great Lakes today into
tonight. The cold front associated with the low will approach
the waters during this time before passing through overnight.

Strong onshore flow will strengthen and become quite strong later
today into tonight ahead of the cold front. Anomalies will most
likely sharply increase during this time and tidal flooding is
expected. Water levels may reach well into moderate flood stage
for several locations, causing significant tidal flooding (tidal
anomalies around 3 to 5 feet are possible). Some spots could
even come close to major flood stage if winds are as strong as
forecast along the Chesapeake Bay, so will have to monitor this
very closely. The tide cycle late today into tonight will be
when the highest water levels will occur. Elevated water levels
likely persist into Wednesday morning, but anomalies should
start to drop given a westerly wind. However, with anomalies so
high, and winds being more out of the WSW rather than the NW,
anomalies could remain somewhat elevated even into Wednesday
afternoon, though likely not as high as today. Preparation for
significant tidal flooding will likely be needed for this event.
Any remaining Coastal Flood Watches have been converted to Coastal
Flood Warnings and Advisories.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...Flood Watch from 1 PM EST this afternoon through Wednesday
     morning for DCZ001.
     Wind Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Wednesday
     for DCZ001.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST
     this evening for DCZ001.
     Coastal Flood Watch from this evening through Wednesday
     morning for DCZ001.
MD...Flood Watch from 1 PM EST this afternoon through Wednesday
     morning for MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-502>508.
     Wind Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Wednesday
     for MDZ004>006-008-013-016-503>507.
     Coastal Flood Watch from this evening through Wednesday
     morning for MDZ013.
     Winter Storm Warning until 2 PM EST this afternoon for MDZ001-
     501.
     Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 5 PM EST this
     afternoon for MDZ001.
     Coastal Flood Watch from this evening through Wednesday
     afternoon for MDZ008.
     High Wind Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST
     Wednesday for MDZ011-014-017-018-508.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST
     Wednesday for MDZ011-508.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST
     Wednesday for MDZ014.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 10 PM EST
     this evening for MDZ016.
     Coastal Flood Watch from this evening through Wednesday
     morning for MDZ016.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 AM EST
     Wednesday for MDZ017-018.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     MDZ502.
VA...Flood Watch from 1 PM EST this afternoon through Wednesday
     morning for VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-053>057-501>508-
     526-527.
     Wind Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Wednesday
     for VAZ053>057-501-502-505>508-526-527.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST
     this evening for VAZ054.
     Coastal Flood Watch from this evening through Wednesday
     morning for VAZ053-054.
     Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 5 PM EST this
     afternoon for VAZ503.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 10 PM EST
     this evening for VAZ057.
     Coastal Flood Watch from this evening through Wednesday
     morning for VAZ055-057-527.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     VAZ025>027-029-503-504-507-508.
WV...Flood Watch from 1 PM EST this afternoon through Wednesday
     morning for WVZ050>053-055-502-504>506.
     Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 5 PM EST this
     afternoon for WVZ501-505.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     WVZ050-055-501>506.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM this morning to noon EST today
     for ANZ530>543.
     Storm Warning from noon today to 4 AM EST Wednesday for
     ANZ530>534-537>543.
     Gale Warning from noon today to 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ535-
     536.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CPB
NEAR TERM...ADS/CPB
SHORT TERM...CPB
LONG TERM...BRO
AVIATION...BRO/CPB
MARINE...CPB
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...LWX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 8:06 AM EST, 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
806 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508-
VAZ053>057-527-101000-
Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-
Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-
Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-
Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-
Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-
Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-
Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-
Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-
Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-
Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth
Island-District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-
Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-
Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-
Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-
Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-
Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-
806 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the
Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and I-95 corridor through
central Maryland, northern Virginia, and District of Columbia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A strong area of low pressure will impact the region today into
tonight, bringing multiple hazards as follows.

A Flood Watch is in effect from 1 PM today through tonight. Heavy
rainfall may result in significant flooding of urban areas and
small streams.

A Storm Warning is in effect this afternoon into tonight for the
Chesapeake Bay and the Lower Tidal Potomac River. A Gale Warning
is in effect for the Northern Tidal Potomac during this time.

Coastal Flood Warnings are in effect from this morning through
late tonight for many tidal locations.

A High Wind Warning is in effect for southern Harford, southern
Baltimore, Anne Arundel, Calvert, St. Mary's County from 3 PM
today to 1 AM Wednesday. A Wind Advisory is in effect for all
other areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The Flood Watch continues until 7 AM Wednesday.

Coastal Flood Warnings continue Wednesday.

Low pressure will bring a soaking rain Friday afternoon into
early Saturday with instances of flooding possible along with the
potential for isolated instances of wind damage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should be prepared to report rain and wind measurements,
and any instances of wind damage and flooding from late tonight
through Wednesday.

MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508-
526-WVZ050>053-055-101000-
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta-
Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-
Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-
Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Northwest Prince William-Hampshire-
Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-
806 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern West
Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western
Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A strong area of low pressure will impact the region today into
Wednesday, bringing multiple hazards to the area.

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for some locations along
and west of the Blue Ridge until 1 PM.

A Wind Advisory is in effect for the Blue Ridge and areas along
and north of Interstate 66 from 3 PM today through 1 AM
Wednesday. Strong winds could result in instances of wind damage.

A Flood Watch is in effect from through tonight. Heavy rainfall
may result in significant flooding of urban areas and small
streams. River Flood Watches are also in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A Flood Watch is in effect until 7 AM Wednesday. River Flood
Watches are also in effect, and river flooding may continue
through the end of the week.

Low pressure will bring a soaking rain Friday afternoon into early
Saturday with instances of flooding possible along with the
potential for isolated instances of wind damage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should be prepared to report snow, ice, rain, wind
measurements, and any instances of wind damage and flooding from
late tonight through Wednesday.

MDZ001-501-502-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-101000-
Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Western Grant-Eastern Grant-
Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-
Eastern Pendleton-
806 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Allegheny Front
counties in western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and Highland
County Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A strong area of low pressure will impact the region today into
Wednesday, bringing multiple hazards to the area.

A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Garrett and Western
Allegany Counties until 2PM. A Winter Weather Advisory is in
effect for the rest of the outlook area until 1 PM.

A Wind Advisory goes into effect for Garrett, western Grant,
western Pendleton, and western Highland counties until 5 PM
today. Strong winds could result in instances of wind damage.

A Flood Watch is in effect through tonight for eastern Allegany,
eastern Mineral, eastern Grant, Pendleton, and Highland Counties.
Heavy rainfall is expected to result in may result in flooding of
small streams and creeks.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The Flood Watch continues until 7 AM Wednesday.

Accumulating snow is expected late tonight through Wednesday
evening along and west of the Allegheny Front.

Accumulating snow is possible Friday before precipitation changes
to a soaking rain. Isolated instances of flooding are possible
along with isolated instances of wind damage Friday night.

The potential for accumulating snow exists Saturday along with
the possibility for isolated instances of wind damage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should be prepared to report snow, ice, rain, and wind
measurements, or instances of wind damage and flooding from late
tonight through Wednesday.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 9, 6:47 AM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
647 AM EST Tue Jan 09 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0646 AM     Snow             Mountain Lake Park      39.40N  79.38W
01/09/2024  M1.5 inch        Garrett            MD   Trained Spotter

&&

Event Number LWX2400291

CPB
Local storm report, Jan 9, 7:10 AM EST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
710 AM EST Tue Jan 09 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     Snow             4 E Accident            39.62N  79.25W
01/09/2024  M3.9 inch        Garrett            MD   Public

&&

Event Number LWX2400292

STRONG
Local storm report, Jan 9, 7:56 AM EST, 48 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
756 AM EST Tue Jan 09 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0754 AM     Snow             Franklin                38.65N  79.33W
01/09/2024  M1.8 inch        Pendleton          WV   County Emergy Mg

&&

Event Number LWX2400293

BJL
Local storm report, Jan 9, 7:57 AM EST, 47 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
757 AM EST Tue Jan 09 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 AM     Snow             3 WNW Frostburg         39.66N  78.98W
01/09/2024  M4.0 inch        Garrett            MD   Trained Spotter

&&

Event Number LWX2400294

BJL
Local storm report, Jan 9, 8:32 AM EST, 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
832 AM EST Tue Jan 09 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0829 AM     Snow             1 NW Ridgeley           39.65N  78.78W
01/09/2024  M3.0 inch        Allegany           MD   Trained Spotter

&&

Event Number LWX2400295

CAS
Local storm report, Jan 9, 8:33 AM EST, 11 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
833 AM EST Tue Jan 09 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 AM     Snow             2 NNE Wolfe Mill        39.71N  78.71W
01/09/2024  M2.0 inch        Allegany           MD   Trained Spotter

&&

Event Number LWX2400296

CAS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

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50 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Fauquier

When
January 9, 8:44 AM EST to 2:00 PM EST
Where
Fauquier County, 1.78 mi N of Calverton to 1.89 mi NNW of Calverton
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
38.655, -77.676

Bastable Mill Road closed due to flooding near the intersection with Brookfield Drive.

Flood, Prince William

When
January 9, 3:40 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Prince William County, 1.76 mi S of Catharpin to 1.82 mi S of Catharpin
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
38.825, -77.576

The stream gauge on Little Bull Run near Artemus Road reached minor flood stage. At minor flood stage, Artemus Road is flooded.

Flood, Albemarle

When
January 9, 4:01 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Albemarle County, 2.11 mi NNE of Lindsay to 2.66 mi NNW of Lindsay
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.106, -78.230

Numerous locations along Route 231 (Gordonsville Road) are closed due to flooding.

Flood, Fairfax

When
January 9, 4:07 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Fairfax County, 0.85 mi WSW of Tremont to 0.94 mi WSW of Tremont
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.847, -77.235

The stream gauge on Accotink Creek at Strathmeade Springs reached minor flood stage. At minor flood stage, Woodburn Road is covered by approximately six inches of water at its lowest point.

Flood, Madison

When
January 9, 4:40 PM EST to 9:00 PM EST
Where
Madison County, 0.83 mi SSE of Twymans Mill to 0.55 mi SSE of Twymans Mill
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.309, -78.163

The intersection of Quarter Run Road and Tanners Road are closed due to flooding.

Flood, Albemarle

When
January 9, 4:45 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST
Where
Albemarle County, 2.87 mi SSE of Free Union to 2.93 mi SSE of Free Union
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.132, -78.549

The stream gauge on Mechums River near White Hall reached minor flood stage. At minor flood stage, flooding is occurring in backyards near homes along Free Union Road.

Flood, Madison

When
January 9, 6:10 PM EST to 10:00 PM EST
Where
Madison County, 1.84 mi NE of Locust Dale to 1.4 mi ENE of Locust Dale
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.345, -78.102

The stream gauge on Robinson River near Locust Dale reached minor flood stage. At minor flood stage, water covers portions of Route 721( Robinson River Road).

Flood, Prince William

When
January 9, 6:16 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Prince William County, 0.24 mi NNW of Aden to 0.29 mi E of Aden
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.653, -77.531

Aden road closed due to flooding between Misty Creek Court and Parkgate Drive.

Flood, Albemarle

When
January 9, 6:35 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Albemarle County, 0.79 mi ENE of Advance Mills to 0.54 mi ENE of Advance Mills
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.186, -78.438

The stream gauge on North Fork Rivanna River near Earlysville reached minor flood stage. At minor flood stage, flooding is impacting Advance Mills Road and Frays Mill Road.

Flood, Madison

When
January 9, 6:55 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Madison County, 2.35 mi NE of Madison to 2.08 mi NE of Madison
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.408, -78.245

The intersection of Blankenbaker Road and Hebron Church Road is closed due to flooding.

Flood, Prince William

When
January 9, 7:25 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Prince William County, 1.38 mi S of Bristow to 1.04 mi SSW of Bristow
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.700, -77.530

The stream gauge on Kettle Run Near Bristow Manor reached minor flood stage. At minor flood stage, Valley View Road is closed due to flooding.

Flood, Prince William

When
January 9, 7:36 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Prince William County, 0.22 mi SSE of Dumfries to 0.29 mi S of Dumfries
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.567, -77.329

Batestown Road closed due to flooding between Main Street and Fairfax Street.

Flood, Shenandoah

When
January 9, 7:42 PM EST to 11:00 PM EST
Where
Shenandoah County, 1.17 mi S of Olonzaville to 1.47 mi SSE of Olonzaville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.913, -78.547

Flooding was reported along Fravel Road.

Flood, Fairfax

When
January 9, 7:50 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Fairfax County, 0.9 mi WSW of Tremont to 0.96 mi WSW of Tremont
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.847, -77.236

The stream gauge on Accotink Creek near Annadale reached minor minor flood stage. At minor flood stage, Woodburn Road is closed due to flooding.

Flood, Prince William

When
January 9, 8:00 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Prince William County, 2.37 mi SSW of Aden to 2.99 mi SSW of Aden
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
38.620, -77.550

The stream gauge on Cedar Run near Aden reached minor flood stage. At minor flood stage, Fleetwood Road is flooded.

Flood, Nelson

When
January 9, 8:11 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Nelson County, 1.58 mi SE of Greenfield to 1.36 mi SSE of Greenfield
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.913, -78.831

Portions of River Road are flooded near Pilot Mountain.

Flood, Nelson

When
January 9, 8:12 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Nelson County, 0.88 mi SW of Colleen to 1.8 mi SSW of Colleen
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.690, -78.960

Old Rose Mill Road is closed due to flooding where it crosses the Tye River and along parts of Piney River.

Flood, Nelson

When
January 9, 8:14 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Nelson County, 1.11 mi E of Rockfish to 1.44 mi ESE of Rockfish
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.798, -78.750

Laurel Road is closed due to flooding near the intersection with Ravens Nest Drive.

Flood, Nelson

When
January 9, 8:17 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Nelson County, 0.95 mi W of Caskie to 0.96 mi SW of Caskie
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.549, -78.847

Gladstone Road is closed due to flooding along the James River.

Flood, Albemarle

When
January 9, 8:25 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Albemarle County, 2.45 mi S of Rio to 1.83 mi S of Rio
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.035, -78.462

Several road closures in and around the city of Charlottesville due to flooding.

Flood, Albemarle

When
January 9, 8:26 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Albemarle County, 1.02 mi E of Scottsville to 0.95 mi S of Scottsville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.803, -78.482

Several reports of road closures due to flooding near Scottsville.

Flood, Albemarle

When
January 9, 8:26 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Albemarle County, 0.9 mi ENE of Esmont to 0.67 mi E of Esmont
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
37.835, -78.605

Several road closures were reported near Esmont due to flooding.

Flood, Culpeper

When
January 9, 8:39 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Culpeper County, 0.39 mi ENE of Elkwood to 0.37 mi ESE of Elkwood
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.522, -77.843

Several road closures were reported due to flooding near Elkwood, VA.

Flood, Culpeper

When
January 9, 8:40 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Culpeper County, 0.97 mi NW of Stevensburg to 1.63 mi SSW of Stevensburg
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.461, -77.890

Several road closures were reported due to flooding near Stevensburg.

Flood, Fauquier

When
January 9, 8:41 PM EST to January 10, 12:00 AM EST
Where
Fauquier County, 2.09 mi W of Alwington to 2 mi NE of Turnbull
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.701, -77.819

Road closure due to flooding on Springs Road near Black Snake Lane.

Flood, Fauquier

When
January 9, 8:44 PM EST to January 10, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Fauquier County, 2.09 mi NNW of Remington to 1.99 mi NNW of Remington
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
38.559, -77.810

Kings Hill Road closed due to flooding between Cemetery Road and US-29.

Flood, Fauquier

When
January 9, 8:44 PM EST to January 10, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Fauquier County, 0.83 mi SW of Oak Shade to 1.29 mi SSW of Oak Shade
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
38.572, -77.791

The 7000 block of Catlett road is closed due flooding.

Flood, Fauquier

When
January 9, 8:44 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Fauquier County, 0.88 mi SW of Broad Run to 0.93 mi SSW of Broad Run
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
38.820, -77.730

Georgetown Road is closed due to flooding near the intersection with Brookland Drive.

Flood, Fauquier

When
January 9, 8:44 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Fauquier County, 3.14 mi NE of Auburn to 3.06 mi ENE of Auburn
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
38.729, -77.656

Parts of Greenwich Road are closed due to flooding.

Flood, Fauquier

When
January 9, 8:44 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Fauquier County, 2.16 mi ESE of New Baltimore to 1.99 mi SE of New Baltimore
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
38.753, -77.686

Shepherdstown Road closed due to flooding between Butler Grant Lane and Aiken Drive.

Flood, Greene

When
January 9, 8:49 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Greene County, 3.26 mi E of Standardsville to 3.01 mi NNE of Quinque
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.293, -78.371

A bridge along the 700 block of Dundee Road is closed due to flooding.

Flood, Greene

When
January 9, 8:49 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Greene County, 1.29 mi ENE of Standardsville to 0.97 mi ENE of Standardsville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.310, -78.410

South River Road is closed due to flooding at the intersection of Robin Lane.

Flood, Greene

When
January 9, 8:49 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Greene County, Lydia to 0.51 mi SSW of Lydia
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.330, -78.500

Mutton Hollow Road closed due to flooding near the intersection with Spotswood Trail Road.

Flood, Greene

When
January 9, 8:49 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Greene County, 2.34 mi NNW of Standardsville to 2.56 mi NNW of Standardsville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.330, -78.450

Octonia Road is closed due to flooding at the intersection with South River Road.

Flood, Greene

When
January 9, 8:49 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Greene County, 1.6 mi SSE of Ruckersville to 1.44 mi SSE of Ruckersville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.209, -78.357

Carpenter Mill Road is closed due to flooding at the intersection with Matthew Mill Road.

Flood, Greene

When
January 9, 8:49 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Greene County, 0.64 mi NNW of Dyke to 0.94 mi WNW of Dyke
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.258, -78.536

The 8800 block of Dyke Road is closed due to flooding near Roach River.

Flood, Greene

When
January 9, 8:49 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Greene County, 2.88 mi NNE of Quinque to 2.77 mi NNE of Quinque
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.286, -78.373

Fredericksburg Road is closed due to flooding at the intersection with Dundee Road.

Flood, Greene

When
January 9, 8:49 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Greene County, 1 mi NNE of Standardsville to 1.16 mi N of Standardsville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.314, -78.425

South River Road is closed due to flooding near the intersection with Madison Road.

Flood, Orange

When
January 9, 8:59 PM EST to January 10, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 1.32 mi SE of Barboursville to 1.44 mi SE of Barboursville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
38.156, -78.264

Mallory Lane closed due to flooding.

Flood, Orange

When
January 9, 9:01 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 0.55 mi ESE of Barboursville to 0.26 mi SE of Barboursville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
38.166, -78.271

Portions of Governor Barbour Street closed due to flooding.

Flood, Orange

When
January 9, 9:03 PM EST to January 10, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 1.51 mi NE of Madison Run to 1.46 mi NE of Madison Run
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.214, -78.108

Road closed due to flooding at the intersection of Little Zion Road and Tomahawak Creek Road.

Flood, Orange

When
January 9, 9:05 PM EST to January 10, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 0.82 mi SSE of Thornhill to 0.89 mi SSE of Thornhill
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.139, -77.976

The intersection of Briarwood Lane and Ellisville Road is closed due to high water.

Flood, Orange

When
January 9, 9:12 PM EST to January 10, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Orange County, Indiantown to 0.14 mi ESE of Indiantown
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.370, -77.800

Indiantown Road closed due to flooding near Russel Run.

Flood, Madison

When
January 9, 9:15 PM EST to January 10, 1:00 AM EST
Where
Madison County, 1.28 mi ENE of Madison to 1.03 mi ENE of Madison
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.389, -78.249

The intersection of North Blue Ridge Turnpike and North Main Street is closed due to flooding.

Flood, Culpeper

When
January 9, 9:15 PM EST to January 10, 7:30 AM EST
Where
Culpeper County, 2.23 mi W of Lakota to 2.65 mi W of Lakota
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.582, -77.911

The stream gauge located on the Hazel River near Rixeyville reached minor flood stage with a peak crest of 19.08 feet. At 18 feet, Ryland Chapel Road begins to flood and low lying agricultural land near the river is flooded.

Flood, Orange

When
January 9, 9:17 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 3.5 mi NW of Nasons to 3.73 mi NW of Nasons
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.307, -78.074

Road closed due to flooding at the intersection of Rose Hill Drive and Old Rapidan Road.

Flood, Orange

When
January 9, 9:19 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 1.9 mi NNE of Nasons to 1.87 mi NNE of Nasons
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.295, -78.015

Clark Mountain Road closed due to high water.

Flood, Orange

When
January 9, 9:22 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 AM EST
Where
Orange County, 0.1 mi E of Lahore to 0.69 mi SE of Lahore
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
State Official
Coordinates
38.200, -77.968

The intersection of Marquis Road and Lahore Road is closed due to flooding.

Flood, Culpeper

When
January 9, 9:45 PM EST to January 10, 2:00 PM EST
Where
Culpeper County, 2.69 mi WSW of Raccoon Ford to 1.18 mi SW of Raccoon Ford
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.353, -77.974

The stream gauge on Rapidan River near Culpeper reached minor flood stage with a crest value of 15.12 feet. At 14 feet, River Road is flooded in few spots on the Orange County side and numerous low lying roads near the river begin to flood.

Flood, Prince William

When
January 10, 2:52 AM EST to 8:00 AM EST
Where
Prince William County, 0.54 mi W of Brentsville to 0.36 mi WSW of Brentsville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.680, -77.510

Old Church Road is closed due to flooding near Slate Run Lane.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, January 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1148534, 1148535, 1148536, 1148537, 1148539, 1148542, 1148546, 1148547, 1148548, 1149131, 1149133, 1149135, 1148665, 1149136, 1149137, 1148666, 1148668, 1148669, 1148670, 1148671, 1148672, 1148673, 1148674, 1148675, 1149138, 1152921, 1152922, 1153009, 1153010, 1153011, 1153012, 1153014, 1153015, 1153021, 1153022, 1153024, 1153025, 1153027, 1152923, 1152924, and more.