Drought, Archer
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Archer forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 33.615, -98.688 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A very dry month of September, with monthly rainfall deficits of 2-3+ inches across central and southern portions of the forecast area, led to the expansion of severe (or worse) drought conditions.
Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.
A very dry month of September, with monthly rainfall deficits of 2-3+ inches across central and southern portions of the forecast area, led to the expansion of severe (or worse) drought conditions.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 9:52 PM CST, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1052 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2024
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1049 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2024
- Shower/storm chances increase across western north Texas on
Sunday and possibly into Monday, with heavy rainfall possible
- Below average temperatures continue through end of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2024
Medium-high rain/storm chances (up to 70%) remain over
southern/southeastern Oklahoma and including western north Texas
tomorrow with decreasing chances extending up to near I-40. Low
clouds are expected to linger over the southeastern quadrant of
our FA through early to mid-afternoon, and this will keep high
temperatures in the low to mid-80's. Elsewhere, temperatures will
be warmer as cloud-cover diminishes. High clouds will begin
spreading northeastward throughout the day in advance of an
approaching upper-level wave.
Thompson
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2024
A 1025mb high pressure system slides over the northern plains and
pushes a backdoor cool front into our area Sunday night into
Monday. Mid- to high-level clouds increase across the area on
Monday as the aforementioned upper-level trough reaches New
Mexico. At the surface, the front pushes the humid air mass
southward. Weak CAA, along with reduced diabatic heating and
increasing rain chances, will result in cooler high temperatures
than Sunday.
From here models diverge on the speed of the upper wave and
placement of rainfall. Forecast high temperatures (NBM) have
dropped considerably for Tuesday (~5 degrees) for western,
southern Oklahoma and western north Texas but would not be
surprised if this swings warmer again given the large model spread
evident in statistical bloxplots. There is a signal of heavy
rainfall occurring on Monday over west Texas, but still enough
models that suggest this could occur mostly south of our FA.
Below-average temperatures and low rain chances continue on
Wednesday and Thursday. Another cold front arrives end of the
week.
Thompson
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1049 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2024
Some isolated shower/storms possible overnight, but chances
currently are too low to mention. Otherwise, expect abundant mid
clouds to redevelop with some MVFR ceilings possible at DUA.
Higher probability of TSRA Sunday afternoon across southern
Oklahoma into north Texas and have a mention at LAW/SPS and DUA.
Winds will remain from the northeast to east at 12kts or less
across all but western Oklahoma.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 69 86 65 83 / 30 20 10 10
Hobart OK 67 89 65 86 / 30 30 20 20
Wichita Falls TX 71 89 69 87 / 40 50 30 40
Gage OK 59 89 60 86 / 0 0 10 0
Ponca City OK 66 90 63 84 / 10 0 0 0
Durant OK 71 87 69 88 / 20 60 20 40
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...30Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Norman OK 949 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2024 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-020300- Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield- Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne- Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain- Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson- Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton- Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman- Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay- 949 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2024 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern... western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight... .Thunderstorms... Isolated thunderstorms are possible overnight across portions of central and southern Oklahoma and western north Texas. Severe weather is not anticipated. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday... .Thunderstorms... Storm chances continue into the middle of next week for areas south of I-40, with highest chances for southern portions of the area. Locally heavy rainfall is possible for portions of western north Texas on Monday. Low storm chances return to northern and east-central Oklahoma late Thursday into Friday. Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
6 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1216158, 1216159, 1216160, 1216161, 1216162, 1216163.