Texas, 2024Wildfire in Texas, May 2, 2024
May 2, 2024 · NWS BRO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A wildfire occurred on May 2, 2024 over Penescal, TX in coastal Kenedy County. The wildfire burned 419 acres before becoming 100% contained.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A wildfire occurred on May 2, 2024 over Penescal, TX in coastal Kenedy County. The wildfire burned 419 acres before becoming 100% contained. The cause of the wildfire was unknown.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 2, 11:46 AM CST, 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 2, 11:46 AM CST, 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1246 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024
A somewhat more calm weather pattern is expected during this
portion of the total forecast. After largely dry weather today, a
500 mb disturbance will approach the western portion of the BRO
CWFA late Friday. Showers/thunderstorms will develop at that time
over neighboring Mexico, and isolated convection may ease into
Zapata, Starr, and Jim Hogg counties for Friday afternoon and
evening. Indeed, for this time period, the Storm Prediction Center
indicates a general risk of thunderstorms, and additionally, no
severe weather is anticipated.
Additionally, slightly above normal to above normal daytime high and
overnight low temperatures will occur, thankfully tempered by mostly
cloudy skies. A moderate to breezy onshore flow is also probable.
Finally, elevated seas will result in a MODERATE RISK of rip
currents at the local beaches today through Friday.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 338 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024
A nearly zonal flow aloft with a series of mid-level shortwaves will
prevail through period. This pattern will continue to support warm,
humid, and generally rain-free conditions. Temperatures Friday night
through Sunday will be above normal with overnight lows in the mid
to upper 70s and highs generally in the upper 80s to the upper 90s,
except for the lower 80s near the coast.
Late in the weekend into the middle part of next week, the 500mb sub-
tropical ridge will build north into Deep South Texas leading to hot
and humid conditions across the region. Highs on Monday will range
from the lower 90s to around 100 degrees, except for the 80s at the
beaches, across the CWA. Heat indices of 100 to 107 degrees are
expected Monday afternoon. Temperatures will be hotter Tuesday and
Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 90s near the coast and in the
100s elsewhere. An expanding Major HeatRisk area by Tuesday and
Wednesday will prevail across the area, mainly west of I-69C. Heat
indices between 100 to 110 degrees will be possible Tuesday and
Wednesday afternoon. A Heat Advisory may be needed for portions of
the Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley by Wednesday.
The rip current risk will remain moderate to occasionally high
through the period.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024
MVFR conditions prevail currently at the TAF sites due to lower
ceilings. Abundant low clouds are moving up from the southeast on
moderate winds. A few higher clouds may also be present based on
satellite imagery. In general, high pressure over the Gulf will
support a seasonal wind regime. Though there could be some
afternoon breaks here and there, guidance locks in MVFR ceilings
at the TAF sites from this evening through Friday morning.
Moderate to breezy southeast winds today will be just slightly
weaker on Friday.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 338 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024
Today through Friday: An enhanced pressure gradient along the
Lower Texas Coast today will ease slightly on Friday, as the
typical high pressure and low pressure interaction weakens a bit.
Moderate seas and moderate to breezy winds are anticipated, and
while Small Craft Advisory is not likely to be needed, Small Craft
Exercise Caution is probable for portions or all of the lower
Texas coastal waters during the period.
Friday night through Wednesday...Moderate to occasionally strong
southeast winds will prevail along the Lower Texas Coast through the
period. Small craft caution conditions will be the dominant hazard.
However, marginal Small Craft Advisory conditions will be possible
at times, on the Laguna Madre and across the nearshore Gulf waters,
due to the enhanced pressure gradient early next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE 90 78 90 76 / 10 10 10 0
HARLINGEN 92 75 92 74 / 10 0 10 0
MCALLEN 94 78 94 77 / 10 0 20 10
RIO GRANDE CITY 96 76 94 75 / 10 0 20 10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 82 77 82 77 / 10 10 10 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 88 76 87 75 / 10 10 10 0
&&
.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...54-BHM
LONG TERM....23-Evbuoma
AVIATION...54-BHM
Wildfire, Coastal Kenedy
- When
- May 2, 12:00 PM CST to 5:00 PM CST
- Where
- Coastal Kenedy forecast zone
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 26.928, -97.636 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A wildfire started by unknown causes occurred in brush near Penascal Rincon, in northeast Kenedy County just south of Baffin Bay. The fire burned 419 acres before being contained by early evening on May 2nd.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flows in Puerto Rico, May 2 to 5, 2024$101,000 · 32 events
- Tornado in Missouri, May 2, 2024$30,000 · EF1 · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, May 2 to 3, 2024$35,000 · 1 in hail · 12 events
- Dense Fog in South Carolina, May 2, 20243 injured · 1 event
- Tornado in Louisiana, May 2, 2024EF1 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Texas, May 2 to 5, 2024$10,000 · 1.25 in hail · 18 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Illinois, May 2, 20241.75 in hail · 15 events
- Flood and Hail in Illinois, May 2, 20241 in hail · 8 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Illinois, May 2, 20241.5 in hail · 7 events
- Flash Flood and Flood in Iowa, May 2 to 3, 20246 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Oklahoma, May 2, 20241 in hail · 5 events
- Damaging Winds in Nebraska, May 2, 202454 kt wind · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1188816.