An isolated thunderstorm developed over the higher terrain of the Davis Mountains and tracked along Interstate 10, producing hail and wind damage.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
An isolated thunderstorm developed over the higher terrain of the Davis Mountains and tracked along Interstate 10, producing hail and wind damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 17, 5:19 PM CST, 56 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
619 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 208 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Visible satellite shows numerous patches of cumulus have
developed in the moist sector and along the dryline found along
the TX/NM state line. A few of these are anticipated to develop
into thunderstorms this afternoon, but will be very isolated in
nature given subsidence induced capping. Any storms that get going
today will have 1500-2000 J/kg of CAPE and modest shear (induced
by a strong LLJ) to work off of but CAMs indicate they won't be
very numerous or very long lived with an unsurprising local maxima
of PoP around the Davis Mountains and Stockton Plateau. However,
some storms could be severe with strong winds and hail being the
main concerns. Heat is the other main headline today, especially
along and southwest of the Pecos River with many spots well into
the triple digits. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for these
areas this afternoon. A very strong LLJ is contributing to
elevated, gusty winds this afternoon that are set to linger
through the overnight hours tonight.
Moving into Tuesday, the ridge axis that has been nosing out of
northern Mexico weakens and backs off a bit as a large tropical
disturbance approaches the western Gulf of Mexico. As this feature
noses westward tomorrow, the low level thermal ridge is nudged
westward as well, helping temperatures stay a few degrees cooler
than today. Even still, the Davis Mountains and Big Bend are still
Heat Advisory for tomorrow afternoon, but given the marginal
exceedance of criteria and the current advisory in effect for
today, will leave the issuance of any necessary headlines for the
next update this evening/tonight. Aside from the heat, a stray
afternoon storm or two is possible once again off the Davis
Mountains. No severe weather is expected with any storms.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 208 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Models are on track showing the ridge to the east flattening out
as a tropical system pushes west from the Gulf of Mexico. At this
time it is still unclear whether this system will be just a broad
area of low pressure or tighten and intensify into a rotating
tropical cyclone. Either way, increased moisture and rain chances
are on tap from Tuesday night into Friday night. The position and
strength of the ridge will determine just how much moisture is
able to advect into the area. Highest rainfall amounts still look
to be along and south of the I-10 corridor, but location and
extent of highest rainfall amounts is still uncertain at this
time. ECMWF and ENS ensemble show lower rainfall amounts with most
of the area not seeing above 1.00 inch, compared to the GFS and
GEFS ensembles which show amounts closer to 1.00 inch for western
and northwestern regions and between 1.00 and 2.00 inches for the
eastern Permian Basin into eastern parts of the Stockton Plateau,
with 2.00 to 2.50 inches over Terrell County. Given anomalously
high PWATs, especially to the east of our CWA, we cannot rule out
higher rainfall amounts than currently forecast. However, cooler
and drier air in mid-level capping aloft may limit amount of
convectively driven heavy rain, especially over the SE NM plains.
Increased clouds and rain chances will mean temperatures much
cooler than this past weekend and early this week. On Wednesday
highs will only reach the upper 80s over easternmost regions, with
90s replacing areas that have seen triple digits the last few
days, and triple digits confined to regions right along the Rio
Grande in southern Brewster County and southwestern Presidio
County. Coolest temperatures are likely on Thursday as the most
widespread rain chances and cloud cover will be present, with most
locations 10 to 15 degrees below normal for this time of year and
not reaching the 90s, including most places along the Rio Grande.
Rain chances and low cloud cover will begin to dissipate Friday
into Saturday as the tropical disturbance moves off to the west
and northwest of the area, with widespread highs in the 80s on
Friday, and highs in the mid 80s to 90s for the area on Saturday.
With increased sunshine, highs over most of the area will once
again reach into the 90s, 80s in the higher elevations, by Sunday
into next Monday. Lows throughout the period will be slightly
"cooler" than this past weekend after Tuesday night, but remain
warmer than average for mid June, with lows only falling into the
60s and 70s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Thunderstorms ongoing in the vicinity of FST at issuance may
impact the terminal for the first hour or two of the period,
resulting in erratic gusty winds, lightning, and brief MVFR
visibility in heavy rain. Elsewhere, aside from showers developing
near HOB, impacts from TS are not currently expected. VFR
conditions will prevail outside of storms, with the exception of
MAF, where MVFR ceilings look to develop around 10Z. These
ceilings should improve to VFR by around 16Z, with VFR conditions
continuing thereafter. Winds will remain elevated and at least
intermittently gusty out of the SE through the period, though may
be a bit more variable at CNM, especially tonight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 75 98 72 90 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad 72 103 72 94 / 0 0 10 10
Dryden 75 97 73 90 / 10 0 0 10
Fort Stockton 75 99 72 92 / 20 10 0 10
Guadalupe Pass 70 94 67 87 / 0 0 10 20
Hobbs 70 100 69 90 / 10 0 10 0
Marfa 64 98 62 92 / 10 10 10 20
Midland Intl Airport 74 96 72 90 / 10 0 0 0
Odessa 75 96 72 90 / 0 0 0 0
Wink 77 102 75 95 / 10 0 10 0
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for Central
Brewster County-Chinati Mountains-Chisos Basin-Davis
Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson
County-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains-Loving-Lower Brewster County-Marfa
Plateau-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn
and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.
NM...Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Eddy County Plains-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.
&&
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....94
AVIATION...84Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 223 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-181930- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 223 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 /123 PM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A Heat Advisory in effect this afternoon into this evening for areas along and west of the Pecos River Valley. Lightning-induced fire starts are possible in and around the Davis Mountains this afternoon. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Hazardous heat is possible in the Davis Mountains and Big Bend Tuesday afternoon. Heavy rain is possible Wednesday night into Friday, especially along and south of the I-10 corridor. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
440 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
TXZ075-274-172230-
Pecos TX-Reeves County Plains TX-
440 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PECOS AND
SOUTHEASTERN REEVES COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM CDT...
At 440 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles east of Saragosa, or 31 miles south of Pecos, moving east at 25
mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Firestone Test Track.
This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 222 and 254.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3082 10348 3106 10353 3121 10307 3082 10294
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 257DEG 22KT 3097 10341
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
84Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
539 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
TXZ067-068-075-172330-
Pecos TX-Crane TX-Ward TX-
539 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL PECOS...EASTERN
REEVES...EASTERN WARD AND WEST CENTRAL CRANE COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM
CDT...
At 538 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Grandfalls, or 15 miles southwest of Monahans, moving
northeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Monahans, Thorntonville, Grandfalls, Wickett, Royalty, and Roy Hurd
Memorial Airport.
This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 73 and 83.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3165 10292 3143 10264 3125 10295 3134 10304
3137 10301 3138 10306 3137 10307 3137 10306
3136 10307 3143 10314
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 223DEG 12KT 3139 10300
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
84Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
635 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
TXZ075-274-180015-
Pecos TX-Reeves County Plains TX-
635 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PECOS AND
SOUTHEASTERN REEVES COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM CDT...
At 634 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 18
miles east of Saragosa, or 25 miles south of Pecos, moving northeast
at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Coyanosa and B F Goodrich Testing Track.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3095 10332 3113 10345 3133 10313 3105 10294
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 244DEG 18KT 3107 10335
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
84The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 154 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:15 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Two 18-wheelers were reported to have flipped on I-10 between mile markers 235 and 238. The time is estimated from radar. Wind gust speed and property damage cost are estimations.
Golf ball size hail was reported at FM 2036 and Spur 194.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1196239, 1196238, 1196240.