S. and a stalled front over Central Texas combined to generated scattered showers and thunderstorms July 21 through July 23.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
An upper trough draped across the central and eastern U.S. and a stalled front over Central Texas combined to generated scattered showers and thunderstorms July 21 through July 23. Most of the storms remained sub-severe, but a few generated heavy rain and flash flooding in some locations, and one storm produced a damaging microburst in Hood County on the 21st.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 21, 6:36 PM CST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 736 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2024 ...New Aviation, Short Term... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ Update: Minor adjustments were made to the previous forecast to account for the latest radar and model trends. These trends include a drier forecast across North Texas tomorrow afternoon as most guidance suggest the bulk of the rain will remain across Central Texas. In addition, tomorrow's high temperatures were lowered a few degrees across Central Texas where thick clouds and precipitation will keep insolation to a minimum. Aside from those changes, the rest of the forecast remains widely unchanged. A few storms are ongoing across the region at this time, however, severe weather is not expected. Gusty winds and lightning will be the primary hazards. Precipitation should diminish in coverage closer to sunset, however, we'll keep a 20% chance of rain across parts of North Texas through the night as a weak front slowly moves into our region. Hernandez Previous Discussion: /Through Monday/ A shortwave trough will continue to spur additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms across the region through this evening. Given a lack of stronger forcing and deep layer shear, the severe weather threat will remain low with locally heavy rain and lightning still expected to be the primary hazards. However, gusty winds can't be ruled out with any of the stronger storms, especially those that develop across our western zones where instability is maximized. Convective activity should decrease some this evening, but a weak front will be approaching the region with the shortwave remaining overhead. Therefore, some broad brushed 20-30% PoPs were maintained overnight. The cold front will arrive late tonight into early Monday morning, bringing a weak north/northeast wind shift to much of the region. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop with the arrival of the front, but there is still some uncertainty in the northern extent of this development. Coverage will likely remain fairly scattered across North Texas (if storms develop this far north), with many locations missing out on rain entirely. The highest coverage will be across Central Texas where widespread showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop within a plume of rich Gulf moisture. With PW values in excess of 2" (well above 90th percentile climatological values), heavy rain will be the primary concern with this activity. Dense cloud cover will blanket much of the region throughout the day, keeping temperatures in the 80s. Areas that see persistent rain will likely remain in the 70s. Barnes && .LONG TERM... /Issued 216 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2024/ Update: The overall synoptic (large scale) pattern changes very little beyond the early week period with an upper ridge prevailing over the western U.S. while upper troughing persists over the central and eastern CONUS. Slow storm motions and precipitable water values exceeding 2 inches could lead to emerging or re-emerging flood concerns mid to late week, particularly across Central and East Texas. Overall, I did not stray far from the previously discussed forecast trends. See below for more details. 12 Previous Discussion: /Tuesday Through Saturday/ Mid-latitude troughing will dig into the Lone Star State on Tuesday, and the mid-level trough axis will remain anchored over us into the upcoming weekend. This will mean a protracted period of unsettled weather with below normal temperatures and daily rain chances. Despite minimal inhibition regionwide, the orientation of the trough will focus the highest and most persistent rain chances across Central and East Texas. These areas will benefit from the richest moisture flux and the more favorable forcing for ascent. The result will be a sharp gradient in rainfall amounts over the course of the week, from scant totals in our northwest to potential flooding in Central Texas. As the showers and storms will be largely diurnally driven, cloud cover during the daylight hours will likely keep Central and East Texas below 90F into the upcoming weekend. With considerable rainfall, some locations could experience a day with temperatures peaking in the 70s. But after an unseasonably cloudy day on Monday, the sun will return Tuesday to much of North Texas where sunshine will outpace cloud cover the remainder of the week. While still below normal, high temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s across much of North Texas from Wednesday into the upcoming weekend. 25 .CLIMATE... Our current forecast keeps Waco's temperatures below 90F for 5 consecutive days. During the latter half of July, this has only happened once before (July 21-25, 1938). Killeen had a rainy stretch of 6 consecutive days below 90F in late July 2007. Our current forecast, which has highs in the 80s Monday through Saturday, would match that streak. && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ Concerns...Storms this evening in the vicinity of North Texas airports. Reduced ceilings tomorrow morning. Additional storms across Central Texas tomorrow afternoon. A few storms have developed within the D10 airspace this evening, however, they remain outside of 10SM from all North Texas TAF sites. The expectation is for storms to remain fairly isolated across the DFW Metroplex, thus, VCTS will remain in the forecast through 03Z. Beyond 03Z, storm chances shift to the the UKW cornerpost, mainly outside of D10. Direct impacts to area airports are not expected. As we head into tomorrow morning, a cold front will lead to a wind direction change, ushering in light northerly winds at 10Z in North Texas and 11Z at KACT. Behind the weak front, MVFR will settle in for a few hours through the morning before ceiling heights return to VFR by the afternoon. The bulk of the precipitation tomorrow afternoon is expected across Central Texas. VCTS has been added to the KACT TAF beyond 21Z. The exact placement of the widespread showers and storms will depend on the location of the front, therefore, a period of TSRA may be added in subsequent forecasts should the front stall near KACT. Hernandez && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 73 89 72 89 73 / 30 20 20 30 10 Waco 72 85 71 86 71 / 20 60 50 60 30 Paris 70 86 69 86 69 / 40 40 20 30 10 Denton 70 89 68 90 70 / 40 20 20 30 10 McKinney 71 88 70 89 71 / 30 20 20 30 10 Dallas 74 89 73 89 73 / 30 20 20 30 10 Terrell 71 89 70 87 70 / 20 40 30 40 20 Corsicana 73 87 73 88 72 / 20 60 50 60 30 Temple 72 86 69 86 69 / 20 70 60 70 30 Mineral Wells 70 88 68 90 69 / 30 20 20 30 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 649 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2024 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221215- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 649 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight. A few thunderstorms will continue across North and Central Texas today and tonight. Gusty winds and lightning will be the main threats. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Daily thunderstorm chances will persist through the week. Heavy rainfall will be the primary concern, the cumulative effect of which could result in flooding, particularly across Central Texas. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 58 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:00 UTC.
3 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A microburst knocked down and split trees south and southwest of Tolar. A barn and storage container were also damaged.
Local news stations reported 2 to 3 cars stranded due to high water near a construction zone on Interstate 635 and Garland Road in northeast Dallas. Two lanes were completely flooded.
Sherman PD reported flooding on FM 1417 on the west side of Sherman.
Flooding was reported in Sherman on Ricketts Street and Washington Street near Post Oak Creek.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1206015, 1204425, 1204430, 1204440.