Texas, 2024

Heat in Texas, July 14 to 19, 2024

July 14 to 19, 2024 · NWS CRP · 5 events in 3 counties and zones

Typical South Texas heat under a ridge in the summer.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.

Typical South Texas heat under a ridge in the summer.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 14, 11:42 AM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 11:42 AM CST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1242 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Deep moisture is on the decline through the area with PWAT values
on the Saturday evening of 2.04 and expected to be lower this
morning. This, along with building high pressure will result in a
mainly dry and quiet short term period. We do have a slight
chance for showers in the Victoria Crossroads today though as one
last bit of vorticity shifts through north of the building ridge.

Temperatures return to seasonal levels with lows in 90s across
South Texas. Continued high dewpoints will result in heat indices
generally between 105 and 109. A few locations could top 110, but
should be brief and isolated and will not issue a heat advy at
this time.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Key Messages:

- Generally a minor to moderate risk of heat related impacts for the
upcoming week.

- Increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms by the end of the
week and into next weekend.

The forecast for the upcoming week still looks fairly dry Tuesday
and Wednesday with increasing rain chances the latter part of the
week and into the weekend.

Mid/upper level high pressure is progged to remain situated across
the northern Gulf of Mexico with another high pressure over the
Desert Southwest with a weakness in between the two that stretches
across Mexico into W and S TX. Despite the weakness aloft, moisture
will be somewhat limited, thus the low (<10%) chance of convection
on Tuesday. A little deeper moisture is progged across the Victoria
Crossroads by Wednesday with PWATs around 2 inches, leading to a low
to medium (20-30%) chance of convection.

Models indicate a deepening low pressure system across the northern
plains that will stretch southward and merge with the low over
Mexico through Thursday and Friday providing better upper support
and bringing higher rain chances to S TX. This upper level system is
forecast to bring a cold front into east TX by Thursday. This would
provide stronger low level moisture convergence across the
northeastern CWA by Friday. Deeper moisture is also forecast to be
in place across S TX with PWATs of 2.0-2.2 inches. These features
combined with an unstable airmass leads to a medium (30-50%) across
the Victoria Crossroads and a low chance (20%) across the remainder
of S TX on Friday.

The cold front is not expected to make it through S TX, but could
stall just north of the CWA. There is the potential that any
convection that develops across Central and East TX along the
stalled front, could produce an outflow boundary that could make it
through S TX with convection firing along the outflow boundary, thus
mimicking the actual cold front. Regardless, it would likely washout
quickly with winds returning to an onshore flow. Rain chances are
expected to continue into the weekend.

As for temperatures, overall are expected to be near normal through
the extended. Highs are forecast to be in the lower 90s along the
inland coastal areas to around 100 across the Rio Grande Plains
Tuesday through Thursday, then a couple of degrees cooler through
the weekend. Humid conditions combined with these higher
temperatures will lead to heat indices of 105 to 109. A few
locations across the Coastal Bend and Brush Country could briefly
see heat indices of 110-113.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

The expectation over the next 24 hours is for mainly VFR CIGS at
CRP, COT, and LRD, and by mainly, I mean there is a small period
between 10z and 13z Monday for MVFR (2000 feet) CIGs at LRD.
Otherwise, ALI and VCT will be VFR until about 09z, when Fog
chances increase, with VCT expected to have medium chance (50%)
for VSBYs below 5SM, and ALI with 25% during the same time. Then
VFR conditions through 18z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

A weak to moderate onshore flow can be expected for the upcoming
week along with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms the
latter half of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    78  93  77  93 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          75  93  75  94 /   0  10   0  10
Laredo            76  97  77  98 /  10   0   0   0
Alice             75  97  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          79  92  81  93 /   0   0   0  10
Cotulla           76  99  76 100 /  10   0   0   0
Kingsville        76  94  76  95 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       79  90  82  90 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...PH
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...JSL/86

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 heat. Local standard time, as filed.

Heat, Inland Kleberg County

When
July 14, 12:56 PM CST to 3:56 PM CST
Where
Inland Kleberg County forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
27.427, -97.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heat index values of 110-112 were observed at KNQI.

Heat, Inland Kleberg County

When
July 16, 12:56 PM CST to 3:56 PM CST
Where
Inland Kleberg County forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
27.427, -97.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heat index values of 110-112 were observed at KNQI.

Heat, Inland Kleberg County

When
July 17, 3:56 PM CST to 5:56 PM CST
Where
Inland Kleberg County forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
27.427, -97.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heat index values of 110 were observed at KNQI.

Heat, Inland Nueces County

When
July 19, 12:50 PM CST to 3:50 PM CST
Where
Inland Nueces County forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
27.735, -97.516 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heat index values of 110-113 were observed at KCRP.

Heat, Coastal Aransas County

When
July 19, 12:50 PM CST to 3:50 PM CST
Where
Coastal Aransas County forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
28.015, -97.074 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heat index values of 110-111 were observed at KRKP.

What these are

Heat
Heat below excessive heat criteria that still caused deaths, injuries or significant impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1206429, 1206430, 1206431, 1206423, 1206437.