Texas, 2024Excessive Heat and Heat in Texas, August 7 to 11, 2024
August 7 to 11, 2024 · NWS CRP · 4 events in 3 counties and zones
Typical South Texas heat in the summer under a ridge.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Typical South Texas heat in the summer under a ridge.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 7, 5:22 AM CST, 5 hours 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 7, 5:22 AM CST, 5 hours 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
622 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Key Messages:
- Moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts today and
Thursday.
Now that I'm on short term, vs the long term of the last few nights,
I can still say that the overall pattern hasn't changed much with
the 500 mb ridge parked over the Intermountain West and monsoonal
moisture moving into the Desert Southwest. Satellite is showing a
plume of 1.75" PWAT air over the Gulf and the Coastal Bend. However,
as has been the case over the last few days, with the ridge over the
region, the chances of showers and thunderstorms are low (10-20%),
and mainly in the afternoon with the sea breeze pushing inland today
and Thursday.
That just leaves the heat. High temperatures are slowly rising Today
and Thursday with Thursday's high expected to be a few degrees
higher than today. Most of the heat is expected to be out in the
western Brush Country and the Rio Grande Plains where temperatures
will approach 110°F, but of course, it'll be a dry heat with the
Minimum RH around 25% both days. However, we are expected to have
some areas achieve 110° heat index values out there, and that is
where the major heat impacts are expected. Temperatures to the east
will be a little lower, with the 100° isotherm roughly running along
the Coastal Plains, and then dropping to around 90° at the Gulf
shore. Of course the humidity will be higher, but on a whole the
heat index may briefly reach 110°, but most locations remaining
below that for today. Thursday, the humidity rises a bit, as does
the temperatures, so there may be more areas along the Coastal Bend
and the Victoria Crossroads where 110° heat indices are maintained
for a few hours, just like out in the Brush Country.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 214 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Key Messages:
- Moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts through early next
week
- Low (10%) chance of tropical development over the next 7 days
Very little change with this long term forecast update. Mid to upper
level ridging will remain in place aloft for much of the period.
This will help keep us hot and dry for the next several days. High
temps look to settle into the low 90s along the coast to around 105
out west daily. As we head into the weekend, a plume of slightly
higher moisture will spread across the region. This will promote
heat indices in the 110-114 range, generally along the coast and
across the Brush Country. These warm temps and high heat indices
will result in a moderate to major heat risk through early next
week.
As we head through the weekend, the upper level ridge will shift to
the west, allowing for the aforementioned plume of moisture to spread
inland. Have kept PoPs generally less than 20% but this increased
moisture will open the door for some daily activity along the sea
breeze. Overall, not too confident in coverage due to the lack of
support aloft.
Now for a quick look at the tropics. The National Hurricane Center
continues to monitor a tropical wave moving across the Caribbean.
Conditions are favorable for some development as this wave moves
west over the next several days. There is a 10% chance of
development over the next 7 days.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
Looks like persistence will continue to be the best forecast for
the TAF sites again. With the weak to moderate southerly flow
(southwest to southeast) through the 24 hours, and the clear
skies, CRP/LRD/COT will continue with VFR CIGs and VSBYs. ALI and
VCT will again be the exception as moisture in the VCNTY of the
TAF sites will produce temporary MVFR restrictions this morning
through about 13z and at the end of the time period (10z-12z/Thu).
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 214 AM CDT Wed Aug 7 2024
A weak to moderate south-southeasterly flow can be expected through
early next week. Generally dry conditions are in store through the
weekend. Moisture begins to increase early next weekend, leading a
10-20% chance of showers and storms.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 99 77 98 77 / 10 0 0 0
Victoria 100 75 100 76 / 10 0 0 0
Laredo 106 78 106 78 / 0 0 0 0
Alice 103 74 103 76 / 0 0 0 0
Rockport 93 80 95 81 / 0 0 0 0
Cotulla 106 79 108 77 / 0 0 0 0
Kingsville 102 76 100 77 / 10 0 0 0
Navy Corpus 93 80 92 81 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
SHORT TERM...JSL
LONG TERM....TC
AVIATION...JSL/86
Excessive Heat, Coastal Aransas County
- When
- August 7, 10:53 AM CST to 3:53 PM CST
- Where
- Coastal Aransas County forecast zone
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 28.015, -97.074 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heat index values ranged from 110 to 116 degrees.
Heat, Inland Kleberg County
- When
- August 7, 11:56 AM CST to 4:56 PM CST
- Where
- Inland Kleberg County forecast zone
- Reported by
- AWOS
- Coordinates
- 27.427, -97.668 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heat index values of 110-113 were observed at KNQI.
Heat, Inland Nueces County
- When
- August 9, 10:51 AM CST to 2:51 PM CST
- Where
- Inland Nueces County forecast zone
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 27.735, -97.516 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heat index values ranged from 110 to 112 degrees.
Heat, Inland Nueces County
- When
- August 11, 11:51 AM CST to 2:51 PM CST
- Where
- Inland Nueces County forecast zone
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 27.735, -97.516 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heat index values up to 110.
- Excessive Heat
- Heat at or above the local excessive heat warning criteria, or heat that caused deaths.
- Heat
- Heat below excessive heat criteria that still caused deaths, injuries or significant impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in North Carolina, August 7 to 8, 20241 death · $2.8 million · EF3 · 43 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in North Carolina, August 7 to 12, 20241 death · $21,000 · 11 events
- Rip Current in Illinois, August 7, 20241 death · 1 injured · 1 event
- Heat in Arizona, August 7, 20241 death · 1 event
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Texas, August 7 to 9, 20249 injured · 46 events
- Tornado and Tropical Storm in North Carolina, August 7 to 9, 2024EF2 · 19 events
- Wildfire in Colorado, August 7 to 9, 2024$150,000 · 1 event
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Colorado, August 7 to 10, 2024EF1 · 5 events
- Heat in Texas, August 7 to 8, 202421 events
- Heat in Louisiana, August 7 to 8, 202417 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Colorado, August 7, 20241.75 in hail · 15 events
- Heat in Arkansas, August 7 to 8, 20249 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1207021, 1207005, 1206996, 1206998.