Texas, 2024Flash Flood in Texas, August 30, 2024
August 30, 2024 · NWS EPZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Increased moisture and slow storm movement brought heavy rain and flash flooding to El Paso near Cotton Street.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Increased moisture and slow storm movement brought heavy rain and flash flooding to El Paso near Cotton Street.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 30, 4:21 PM MST, 3 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 30, 4:21 PM MST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
521 PM MDT Fri Aug 30 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 200 PM MDT Fri Aug 30 2024
Scattered storms can be expected the next couple of days with
temperatures remaining fairly warm. For Sunday into Monday, clouds
and precip will become more focused over far west Texas and along
the International border into New Mexico. High temperatures will
be below average for these days with some areas over the east not
getting above 80 degrees. Drier air starts to move back in for the
middle of next week with temperatures returning back to around 90
for the lowlands.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM MDT Fri Aug 30 2024
Currently an upper high sits around the Great Basin while to the
SE, the Borderland is on the southwest end of an elongated trough
extending up into northern Manitoba. This trough will be the
weather player through the weekend, the question is to what
extent.
Tonight looks to be the most active as far as potential for strong
storms with heavy rain potential. Storms will be moving slowly and
there is modest shear around of around 25KTS which will allow for
storms to drop locally heavy rain and possibly be sustained for
some time. The strongest storms will move more quickly to the
south. HRRR has backed off on coverage over the eastern half of
the area and focusing more from the RGV to Deming. Other CAMs are
more equal opportunity. With a weak surface boundary around and
the upper trough combining with storm outflows, think scattered
coverage for much of the area looks most likely.
Going into the weekend, models showing agreement that Saturday
will be a down day, likely due to coverage of storms later today
even though we continue to have the upper trough lingering around
the International Border. Should still see storms develop over
area mountains with easterly low level flow continuing and even
areas across the south with the trough could see isolated to
scattered storms. High temperatures will be a little cooler than
today with mid to upper 80s common over the lowlands. Sunday has
some of the biggest discrepancies between models. Seeing a trend
toward a weak low developing somewhere in northern Mexico. EC has
remained consistent being further south, but NAM and especially
the GFS are further north and bring fairly widespread precip to
the southern half of the area. Looking at GFS ensembles, the
operational seems to be on the wettest/coolest side. There will be
a fair amount of cloud cover, at least south which will keep
temperatures below normal. MAV guidance is going 72 for a high
temp while the MET is 78 and NBM 84 at ELP. General trend is down,
but looking at records for this time of the year, 72 would be near
a record low high. Thinking around 80 looks reasonable for ELP,
but out towards Dell City, it may struggle to reach much above the
lower 70s with a better chance for all day cloud cover and rain.
The upper low lingers into Monday before dissipating as upper high
builds into the NM/AZ border region. Precip Monday should then be
mainly far southeastern areas ahead of trough/low with drier air
moving in from the NW. Even the EC is showing nice area of precip
Sun night into Mon for far west Texas into extreme southern NM
which is not common in the summer with the EC, so this leads me to
have a higher confidence there will be some showers overnight
compared to most nights. Temperatures will remain below normal
with highs similar to Sunday.
Upper high starts to really get reestablished by Tue/Wed which
will keep much of the area dry, only area that may see some precip
would continue to be far east. Temperatures will be warming back
up toward normal which is mid 80s to around 90 for the lowlands.
Another upper trough of which we are on the far SW side of will
move in Fri/Sat and bring an increased chance for showers out
east and some slightly cooler temperatures.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 501 PM MDT Fri Aug 30 2024
VRF conditions expected to persist through the forecast period. Showers
and thunderstorm activity is expected to become isolated around
the 03z to 04z time frame. Put in VCSH as any one TAF site may see
a brief shower before 04z. SCT060 to SCT100 to SCT250 to BKN250
expected to persist through the remaining evening hours, then
becoming SCT100 to SCT250 the rest of the period. Winds expected
to be N to E at 5-15 mph.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 200 PM MDT Fri Aug 30 2024
A period of cooler and wetter weather, especially south and east,
is in store for the weekend. Temperatures on Sunday into Monday
may not get above the lower to mid 80s anywhere with some areas
out east remaining in the 70s. RH's will be in the 30s and 40s
through Tuesday before dropping back into the 20s by midweek. Best
chances for rainfall will be tonight areawide, then Sunday and
Monday mainly south and east of a line from Alamogordo to Las
Cruces. Vent rates will be good through the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 69 88 70 81 / 40 30 30 50
Sierra Blanca 62 80 63 73 / 40 40 40 70
Las Cruces 64 87 65 81 / 40 30 40 40
Alamogordo 61 84 62 81 / 40 30 20 40
Cloudcroft 46 63 46 58 / 50 30 30 50
Truth or Consequences 62 87 62 84 / 30 20 30 30
Silver City 56 79 57 80 / 30 40 40 50
Deming 64 87 65 81 / 40 40 40 40
Lordsburg 62 87 63 85 / 30 50 50 40
West El Paso Metro 69 86 70 80 / 40 30 30 50
Dell City 65 84 66 79 / 50 40 30 60
Fort Hancock 67 87 68 80 / 40 40 40 70
Loma Linda 62 78 63 73 / 40 30 30 50
Fabens 67 86 68 80 / 40 40 40 50
Santa Teresa 66 85 67 79 / 50 30 40 50
White Sands HQ 67 84 68 81 / 40 30 30 50
Jornada Range 62 85 62 81 / 40 30 30 40
Hatch 62 88 63 80 / 40 30 30 40
Columbus 66 87 67 81 / 30 40 40 40
Orogrande 62 82 63 79 / 40 30 20 40
Mayhill 52 71 53 67 / 40 40 30 50
Mescalero 50 72 51 69 / 50 40 30 50
Timberon 49 70 50 66 / 40 30 30 40
Winston 52 79 53 77 / 30 30 30 30
Hillsboro 58 85 59 83 / 30 30 40 40
Spaceport 59 86 60 82 / 30 30 30 40
Lake Roberts 51 81 50 79 / 40 40 40 50
Hurley 57 82 58 81 / 30 40 40 40
Cliff 56 87 55 84 / 30 40 40 40
Mule Creek 55 82 54 82 / 30 40 30 40
Faywood 59 83 60 80 / 40 40 40 40
Animas 64 88 65 85 / 40 40 40 50
Hachita 62 85 63 82 / 40 40 40 40
Antelope Wells 62 84 63 82 / 30 40 40 50
Cloverdale 60 83 61 80 / 40 40 40 60
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...Flood Watch until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ415-416.
&&
FORECASTER...41-Kelly
Flash Flood, El Paso
- When
- August 30, 7:30 PM MST to 9:00 PM MST
- Where
- El Paso County, 2.6 mi ESE of Smeltertown to 2.37 mi WSW of El Paso
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 31.772, -106.477
Flash flooding was reported by TXDOT along Interstate 10 West near Cotton. Gateway West was also impassable and both roads were closed.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in North Carolina, August 30, 2024$160,000 · 50 kt wind · 24 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, August 30, 2024$60,000 · 1 in hail · 12 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in North Carolina, August 30, 2024$73,000 · 65 kt wind · 8 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in South Carolina, August 30, 2024$62,000 · 50 kt wind · 5 events
- Flash Flooding in Texas, August 30, 2024$60,000 · 3 events
- Damaging Winds in Mississippi, August 30, 2024$47,000 · 50 kt wind · 5 events
- Damaging Winds in Ohio, August 30, 20241 injured · $25,000 · 50 kt wind · 5 events
- Damaging Winds in Tennessee, August 30, 2024$25,000 · 50 kt wind · 2 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Georgia, August 30, 2024$15,000 · 1 in hail · 10 events
- Damaging Wind and Lightning Strike in Tennessee, August 30, 20241 injured · $5,000 · 2 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in North Carolina, August 30, 202455 kt wind · 7 events
- Damaging Winds in Ohio, August 30, 202460 kt wind · 7 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1211606.