Severe (D2) drought conditions improved to Moderate (D1) drought conditions across Hardin County Tennessee by the middle of March. Several locally heavy rainfall events were able to enhance streamflow and improve conditions to Abnormally Dry (D0) by the end of March.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
Severe (D2) drought conditions improved to Moderate (D1) drought conditions across Hardin County Tennessee by the middle of March. Several locally heavy rainfall events were able to enhance streamflow and improve conditions to Abnormally Dry (D0) by the end of March.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 29, 11:06 PM CST, 54 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1106 PM CST Thu Feb 29 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 339 PM CST Thu Feb 29 2024 A weak trough of low pressure will bring a return of rain to the Mid-South tonight into Friday with rainfall amounts around a tenth of an inch or less. High pressure will bring a moderation of temperatures back into the 60s and 70s for the weekend. Shower and thunderstorm chances will return for next week as a cold front slowly moves through the region. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Wednesday) Issued at 339 PM CST Thu Feb 29 2024 GOES-16 Water Vapor satellite trends show an upper-level low over the Texas Panhandle. Regional WSR-88D radar trends indicate some light showers over portions of central and east central Arkansas. However, further north and east the atmosphere still remains significantly dry in the lower levels with surface dewpoints in the teens across the Mid-South. Short-term model trends including CAMs indicate the aforementioned low will become an open wave trough as it moves across the Lower Mississippi Valley tonight into Friday. Model soundings and isentropic analysis indicates it will take some time for the atmosphere to moisten sufficiently to result in some rain across the area. Thus, the best chance for rain occurring will be mainly later this evening into early Friday morning. Rainfall amounts will average around one tenth of an inch. Some light sleet may be possible at the onset of precipitation this evening due to wet- bulbing effects but no impacts are anticipated as the precipitation type should transition to all rain tonight with temperatures remaining well above freezing. Mid to long range models indicate shortwave ridging will build into the region over the weekend with temperatures moderating back into the middle to upper 70s by Sunday. A return of unsettled weather will arrive for early next week as southwest mid-level flow aloft becomes re-established across the area. A positively tilted longwave upper-level trough will help to push a cold front into the region by next Tuesday. Rain chances are expected to linger through much of the week as the front slowly moves through the Lower Mississippi Valley as it encounters nearly parallel flow aloft. Long range ensembles indicate the potential for surface- based CAPE values to approach or slightly exceed 500 J/kg. However, overall confidence in strong to severe thunderstorms is low as better forcing/kinematics is expected to be displaced towards the Upper Mississippi Valley. CJC && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1106 PM CST Thu Feb 29 2024 No major changes from 00z TAFs. VFR decks are continuing to lower. MVFR CIGs will prevail near 11z and 12z. IFR probabilities have increased a bit further west introducing a TEMPO for a brief period of IFR CIGS at MEM. MKL and TUP have much higher probabilities of IFR and LIFR. Showers will scatter out near sunrise but MVFR/IFR and potentially LIFR will remain through the remainder of the period. JBR looks to lift to VFR at this time tomorrow and the other terminals will slowly follow. DNM && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && PUBLIC FORECAST...CJC AVIATION...DNM
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe (D2) drought conditions improved to Moderate (D1) drought conditions by the middle of the month. Improvement continued to Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions by the end of March.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, March 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1168908.