Tennessee, 2024

Drought in Tennessee, August 27 to 31, 2024

August 27 to 31, 2024 · NWS MEG · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

A very small swath of Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Tennessee River in late August. Soil moisture and crop moisture remained below normal for August.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.

A very small swath of Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Tennessee River in late August. Soil moisture and crop moisture remained below normal for August. Extreme (D3) Conditions neared the Tennessee River Valley, but enough rainfall from Tropical Storm Francine across West Tennessee prohibited the worsening and spread of drought conditions.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 27, 5:30 AM CST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 5:30 AM CST, 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
630 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 242 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Hot and dry conditions will continue for the next several days.
The pattern shifts to a little wetter and cooler by Friday
throughout the weekend. A frontal passage on Labor Day will make
for a pleasant start to next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 242 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

Nighttime GOES satellite depicts all clear conditions coupled with
observation sites reporting calm winds across the Mid-South.
Despite this, low moisture content (5-10 degree dewpoint
depressions) has precluded fog development this morning. Expect
mostly a persistence forecast under the same midlevel 598 dam
ridge for the next few days, but ever so slightly hotter today
and tomorrow. NBM probabilistic guidance suggests about a 30-40%
chance of temperatures exceeding 100 degrees for the next 2 days,
especially east of the MS River under the most dominant part of
the ridge. For context, these forecast 500 mb heights through
midweek are about 10 dam above normal for this time of year.

Fortunately, very weak flow will actually aid in keeping humidity
at bay during the hottest part of the week. It'll certainly be hot
with temperatures pushing 100 degrees areawide, but MaxApT or
"feels like" temperatures are forecast to be within 1-2 degrees of
the actual temperature today and tomorrow. This should preclude
the need for heat headlines at least until Thursday when an
approaching frontal boundary may pool some warmer, moister air
across the Mid-South. Even then, the surface pattern may shift
such that heat indices remain below 105 degrees. Something to
watch.

The aforementioned frontal boundary marks the beginning of a late
week pattern shift to cooler and wetter. A more active period
begins Friday as two cold fronts come down from the Central
Plains. The main talking point with the first system is the
potential for more widespread, much needed rain beginning on
Friday afternoon. As of right now, kinematics look unimpressive
with a relatively shallow trough. Expect scattered showers and
thunderstorms as PoPs will remain generally in the 40-50% range
through the weekend. The second system early next week (Labor Day)
is more of a reinforcement, further knocking temperatures and
humidity down into quite pleasant territory just in time for
meteorological fall.

CAD

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

No significant changes were needed to the 12z TAFS. VFR conditions
will prevail over the next 24 to 36 hours. Sustained winds will
remain 6 knots or less through the period.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

PUBLIC FORECAST...CAD
AVIATION...TAB

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, McNairy

When
August 27, 6:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McNairy forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.175, -88.564 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Tennessee River and persisted for the remainder of the month.

Drought, Chester

When
August 27, 6:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Chester forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.422, -88.613 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Tennessee River and persisted for the remainder of the month.

Drought, Henderson

When
August 27, 6:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Henderson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.654, -88.388 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Tennessee River and persisted for the remainder of the month.

Drought, Decatur

When
August 27, 6:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Decatur forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.603, -88.109 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Tennessee River and persisted for the remainder of the month.

Drought, Hardin

When
August 27, 6:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hardin forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
35.199, -88.184 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe (D2) Drought Conditions returned near the Tennessee River and persisted for the remainder of the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Tennessee in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, August 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1208537, 1208538, 1208539, 1208540, 1208541.