Tennessee, 2024

Drought in Tennessee, August 27 to 31, 2024

August 27 to 31, 2024 · NWS OHX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

An abnormally dry August led to worsening drought conditions, especially across southwest Middle Tennessee. 50 inches to nearly 3 inches for the month.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.

An abnormally dry August led to worsening drought conditions, especially across southwest Middle Tennessee. Precipitation totals were below average across the area with Middle Tennessee's climate stations reporting rainfall deficits of around 1.50 inches to nearly 3 inches for the month. For the Nashville area, August 2024 was the 11th driest August on record, and the summer of 2024 was the 17th driest summer on record. By the end of the month, about 40 percent of Middle Tennessee was in at least moderate drought conditions. Of this, about 18 percent was in at least severe drought status with about 8 percent in extreme drought.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 26, 11:21 PM CST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 26, 11:21 PM CST, 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1221 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 751 PM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

The forecast remains on track as temperatures cool for the night
back into the 60s. Tuesday is still on track to be a hot one as
temperatures approach 100 degrees, especially W of the Upper
Cumberland. On the plus side, RHs will be below 40% making it a
little more bearable.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

The hot pattern continues with very little change from our
previous forecast. A very strong ridge centered over the Mid Ms
Valley will move eastward through the next couple of days pushing
temps upward a little each day. Widespread upper 90s will be
reached west of the Plateau this afternoon. Many areas will reach
100+ Tuesday, and especially Wednesday which looks like the
hottest day of the week.

Strong subsidence under the ridge will keep the area rain-free
and mostly cloud-free. Unfortunately, the hot and dry conditions
will worsen drought levels across the area. Some good news is
sinking air and diurnal mixing will keep dew points in check, so
afternoon heat index values will not climb much above actual
temps. At this time, we are not planning to issue any heat
headlines for the next couple of days with heat index values
staying below 105 degrees. If humidity trends increase or
surrounding areas reach criteria, we could end up with an advisory
for parts of our by midweek.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1130 AM CDT Mon Aug 26 2024

The big ridge will start to break down after Wednesday, but at
the same time, humidity levels will climb. This could give us
some of the highest heat index values on Thursday with borderline
heat advisory values. A stray shower or storm could bubble up
Thursday afternoon, but better chances for scattered thunderstorms
will come Friday as moisture begins to pool ahead of an
approaching front. Scattered storm chances will continue into the
weekend as the weakening surface oozes across the area. Sadly,
only meager rainfall amounts are expected. Temperatures this
weekend will not be as hot with highs dropping back into the mid
80s to lower 90s. The longer range outlook for next week shows
temps settling to normal August levels with better rain chances
than this week, but no "drought busters".

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024

VFR conditions prevail with clear skies and light and variable
winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville     100  72 101  73 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    98  70  99  70 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     92  65  94  66 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia      100  69 102  71 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     92  69  94  70 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      91  67  93  68 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   98  69  99  71 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro  100  70 101  72 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        99  71 101  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

UPDATE.......Cravens
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....Baggett

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Humphreys

When
August 27, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Humphreys forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.041, -87.776 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought conditions deteriorated across Humphreys County throughout August 2024. By August 27th, severe drought conditions developed across far southern Humphreys County.

Drought, Dickson

When
August 27, 12:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Dickson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.149, -87.357 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought conditions deteriorated across Dickson County throughout August 2024. By August 27th, severe drought conditions developed across far southern Dickson County.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Tennessee in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, August 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1199262, 1199263.