Rhode Island, 2024

Flash Flood in Rhode Island, June 21, 2024

June 21, 2024 · NWS BOX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A round of thunderstorms brought isolated flash flooding to Rhode Island in the evening.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS BOX wrote it up.

A round of thunderstorms brought isolated flash flooding to Rhode Island in the evening.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 21, 6:50 PM EST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 6:50 PM EST, 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
750 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Showers and thunderstorms into early this evening may become
severe and also result in a localized flash flooding across
interior Massachusetts, Connecticut and western Rhode Island.
This activity should diminish not too long after sunset.
However...warm and muggy this weekend with more rounds of
showers and thunderstorms. Some of those may again become severe
and result in a localized flash flood threat. A cold front
bring a short window of reprieve early next week, though
increasing heat and shower chances by midweek.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
740PM Update...

The last of the thunderstorms are decaying into light to
moderate showers as instability continues to wane with the loss
of diurnal heating. Expecting the last of the showers to exit
offshore by 02-04z with drying conditions overnight. With weak
onshore flow, will likely see low clouds and fog form across
eastern MA and RI tonight.

420 PM Update...

* Severe T-Storm Watch through for interior MA/CT/W RI through 8 PM
* Localized flash flood threat into early this evening
* Activity diminishes after sunset with areas of fog possible late

Showers & t-storms continued to develop across interior MA/CT and RI
late this afternoon. This was along and west of a backdoor cold
front currently draped across central MA and into RI. SPC Meso-
Analysis indicates MLCapes on the order of 1500 to 2000 J/KG across
interior southern New England with effective shear of 20 to 30
knots. While instability is not quite as high as yesterday and mid
level lapse rates are poor...the effective shear is a bit better and
we have a backdoor cold front/sea breeze fronts as well. Many of the
high resolution models take an area of more organized convection in
eastern NY/Berks and move it across our region into early this
evening. This seems reasonable based on shortwave energy working
eastward and may interact with the low level boundaries across our
region. And given the better organization of this activity...a
severe t-storm watch has been issued through 8 pm this evening for
interior MA/CT and western RI. Main threat would be locally damaging
wind gusts with a secondary concern for hail. Further east...while
we can not rule out a strong storm or two working over the shallow
backdoor cold front...the overall severe weather threat is low across
eastern MA.

In addition...these backdoor cold fronts always need to be
watched for a localized flash threat. Pwats of 2+ inches will
support torrential rainfall with any storms and there is the
potential for some training along the backdoor front. The CSU
Machine learning probs do show the potential for excessive
rainfall across interior MA/CT and western RI. In fact...the
HREF indicates some low probs for the 6 hour QPF to exceed a 100
year rainfall event. That certainly does not mean that will
happen...but is at least a signal for potential localized flash
flooding. This is particularly true if the activity would train
over a particularly vulnerable urban center.

Given the mid level lapse rates are rather poor...expect the bulk of
the shower and thunderstorm activity to wind down by 9-10 pm.
Otherwise...main concern overnight will be for areas of low clouds
and fog developing given cooling boundary layer and remnant low
level moisture with light/calm winds. Overnight low temps mainly in
the 60s to around 70.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Key Points...

* Showers & T-Storms are expected to develop again Sat PM
* Severe Weather & Localized Flash Flood Risk Again
* Heat Advisories Continued for CT/SW MA

Details...

Saturday and Saturday night...

The backdoor front that washes out tonight...seems to want to setup
across northeast MA on Saturday. Therefore...a quite warm and humid
day is on tap with highs 85 to 90 in most locations with the hottest
readings around 90 in the Lower CT River Valley. Given Heat Indices
are expected to be in the mid to upper 90s...we have continued the
Heat Advisory across southwest MA/northern CT through the weekend.
It will be cooler though in northeast MA especially by Cape Ann
where highs will likely remain below 80.

The main concern Saturday afternoon and early evening will be for
another round of showers & t-storms. A shortwave working across the
region in west northwest flow will combined with diurnal heating and
a remnant boundary. We expect Capes on the order of 1500 to 2500
J/KG to develop and not much of a mid-level Cap. This should trigger
another round of showers & t-storms. While mid level lapse rates are
poor...effective shear will be stronger than the past few days on
the order of 30-40 knots. This should be enough for the potential of
scattered severe thunderstorms...which is supported by much of the
Machine Learning guidance as well as the HREF Updraft Helicity
Swaths.

Also...Pwats remain on the order of 2+ inches. Therefore...these
storms will be capable of producing torrential rainfall and
localized flash flooding. The CSU Machine Learning probs as well as
the HREF indicated low probs of 3"+ of rain inside 3 hours highlight
this concern. It is tough to pinpoint the area of greatest risk
given the mesoscale nature of these potential events. That being
said...the guidance is tending to indicate a higher risk in areas
from northern CT into western/central northeast MA closer to the low
level convergent zone.

A few storms may linger a bit longer Sat night...but will have to
wait and see how things unfold. Otherwise...more low clouds and fog
are expected to develop Sat night with the cooling boundary layer.
Overnight lows should drop into the 60s to near 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Highlights:

* Hot, humid, and potential for strong to severe storms Sunday
  afternoon.

* Cold front moves across the region Monday, bringing brief relief
  from hot and humid conditions. But signal for a return of the
  summer heat and humidity by mid next week.

Sunday: Hot and humid conditions fuel storms during the afternoon,
which could become locally strong to severe. A broad mid-level
trough moves across the northeast with 850mb shortwave energy moving
across the region with an associated warm front. WAA at 850mb
continues to indicate temperatures 20C to 22C, thus expecting highs
in the middle and upper 80s, 90F for Connecticut River Valley. With
dew points expected to be in the low 70s the 'Heat Index' to reach
the middle and upper 90s at northern Connecticut and the southern
Pioneer Valley of Massachusetts. In collaboration with neighboring
WFOs we've extended the 'Heat Advisory' through Sunday, for those
areas mentioned. All this fuels the potential for convection during
the afternoon as there's sufficient CAPE, modest effective shear
between 30 and 40 knots, and helicity greater than 150 m2/s2. While
the greatest threat appears to be north, a few stronger to severe
thunderstorms remain possible, even a low risk of a brief tornado.
CSU machine learning show a chunk of southern New England between
15% and 30% probabilities for wind, and widespread 2% prob for a
tornado across most of New England, with a 5% to 10% across southern
Vermont to southern New Hampshire and along the northern
Massachusetts border. Don't get hung up on the placement, more of
less gives us greater confidence in severe weather occurring. Lastly,
in addition to any severe weather there is the threat for heavy
rainfall as well given PWATs are in the ballpark of two inches.

Next Week: Mid-level trough moves east with a cold front on Monday
with another round of showers and storms, could be lingering diurnal
showers on Tuesday with a mid-level low over the Gulf of Maine,
though guidance is still split. Maintained 'slight chance' POPs
across northern MA. Beyond, midweek it looks unsettled, forecast
confidence is low due to model uncertainty with the timing of any
showers and/or storms. Have greater confidence with temperatures, a
warmer than normal week is likely as ensemble situational awareness
tables indicate surface temperatures are between the 90th and 99th
percentile. Highs returning to the middle and upper 80s with near
90F in northern Connecticut and southwest Massachusetts. And nightly
lows in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

00z TAF Update...

Tonight...Moderate to Low Confidence.

Showers and lingering thunderstorms continue to wane and move
east this evening. Much of the activity will be offshore by
02z-04z. Light onshore flow will bring IFR ceilings and
possibly LIFR fog for much of the eastern terminals. Further
west, MVFR with periods of IFR possible.

Saturday & Saturday night...Moderate to Low Confidence.

IFR-LIFR conditions should improve to VFR across the interior
and mainly MVFR near the coastal plain by early afternoon.
Otherwise...the main concern will revolve around another round
of showers & t-storms impacting the region Sat afternoon and
early evening. A few of these will be capable of producing
locally strong wind gusts and torrential rainfall.

The shower & t-storm activity should dissipate again not too
long after sunset Saturday night. Low end MVFR-IFR conditions
should re-develop with the cooling boundary layer with some LIFR
thresholds being met as well.

KBOS TAF... Moderate to low Confidence in TAF.

Showers with embedded thunder will continue through about 02z.
After 02z, expecting CIGS to slowly drop to IFR/LIFR overnight.
Mainly IFR/MVFR tomorrow, but there may be pockets of clearing
and VFR in the afternoon. Low chance for a shower or
thunderstorm in the afternoon between 18z and 00z, but
confidence is low at this time.

KBDL TAF...Moderate Confidence in TAF.

MVFR/IFR tonight improving back to MVFR/VFR tomorrow. Chance
for thunderstorms again tomorrow afternoon anytime between
18z-00z, but higher confidence between 20z-22z.

Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...

Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance
SHRA, chance TSRA.

Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy.
SHRA likely, slight chance TSRA.

Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy. Chance
SHRA, slight chance TSRA.

Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA, isolated TSRA.

Tuesday through Tuesday Night: VFR.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight
chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight through Saturday night...High Confidence.

The pressure gradient remains relatively weak as the backdoor cold
front of today...gradually washes out and lifts northeastward
through Sat night. Long continues southwest fetch may eventually
build seas to 4-5 feet toward daybreak Sun across our southern most
outer-waters...but otherwise winds/seas will remain below small
craft advisory thresholds. Otherwise...the main concern will be
areas of overnight and early morning fog. In addition...some
afternoon and evening t-storms may impact some of our mainly
nearshore waters at times.

Outlook /Sunday through Wednesday/...

Sunday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts
up to 30 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, isolated
thunderstorms.

Sunday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain showers likely,
slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of
rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance
of rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ002>004.
MA...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT Sunday for MAZ010-011.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Frank/Dooley
NEAR TERM...Frank/KP
SHORT TERM...Frank
LONG TERM...Dooley
AVIATION...Frank/Dooley/KP
MARINE...Frank/Dooley

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 21, 3:49 PM EST, 3 hours 31 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
449 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     Hail             Northfield              42.71N 72.44W
06/21/2024  M1.00 Inch       Franklin           MA   Public

&&

CH
Local storm report, Jun 21, 3:54 PM EST, 3 hours 26 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
454 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     Flood            1 WNW Hartford          41.77N 72.70W
06/21/2024                   Hartford           CT   Broadcast Media

            Video of street flooding seen on X/Twitter
            at intersection of Laurel St and Farmington
            Ave.

&&

CH
Local storm report, Jun 21, 5:18 PM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
618 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     Flood            Avon                    41.81N 72.85W
06/21/2024                   Hartford           CT   Trained Spotter

            parts of Rt 44 with minor flooding/water
            covered. traffic still able to get by.

0601 PM     Flood            Enfield                 41.99N 72.58W
06/21/2024                   Hartford           CT   Trained Spotter

            road flooding along Freshwater Blvd and
            Cranbrook Blvd that resulted in cars getting
            stuck.

0615 PM     Flood            West Springfield        42.13N 72.64W
06/21/2024                   Hampden            MA   Broadcast Media

            flooding on Piper Cross Rd.

&&

Nash
Local storm report, Jun 21, 5:54 PM EST, 1 hour 26 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
654 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Agawam                  42.07N 72.62W
06/21/2024                   Hampden            MA   Law Enforcement

            Police report tree down on road, blocking
            traffic along Pine Street. Trained spotter
            reports tree down along Suffield Street.
            Relayed by amateur radio.

0419 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Northfield              42.71N 72.44W
06/21/2024                   Franklin           MA   Law Enforcement

            Police report tree down along the 60 block
            of Hinsdale Road. Relayed by amateur radio.

0422 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ESE West Hartford     41.76N 72.72W
06/21/2024                   Hartford           CT   Law Enforcement

            Tree down on Overlook Road and on Beverly
            Road. Relayed by amateur radio.

0422 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE West Hartford      41.74N 72.73W
06/21/2024                   Hartford           CT   Law Enforcement

            Police report trees and wires down on South
            Highland Street and tree and wires down on
            Quaker Lane. Relayed by amateur radio.

0432 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     East Windsor            41.85N 72.60W
06/21/2024                   Hartford           CT   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Tree down near South Road and Phelps Road.
            Utility pole and wires down at intersection
            of Phelps Road and Route 5. Relayed by
            amateur radio.

&&

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 39 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:21 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Kent

When
June 21, 7:20 PM EST
Where
Kent County, 0.19 mi W of Warwick to 0.16 mi W of Warwick
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
41.700, -71.454

In Warwick Post Rd was flooded with up to 1 feet of standing water. In East Greenwich, several cars were stuck in flooding on Old Forge Rd.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Rhode Island in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Rhode Island, June 2024

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1179452.