A lee trough over the North Carolina mountains coupled to a mid-level circulation led to the development of showers and storms over the Piedmont and Sandhills into the Coastal Plain during the afternoon and evening hours. Most of the storms were sub-severe, but one did produced wind damage that led to a tree falling on a house in Vance County.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
A lee trough over the North Carolina mountains coupled to a mid-level circulation led to the development of showers and storms over the Piedmont and Sandhills into the Coastal Plain during the afternoon and evening hours. Most of the storms were sub-severe, but one did produced wind damage that led to a tree falling on a house in Vance County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 23, 1:33 PM EST, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 233 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024 .SYNOPSIS... A weak cold front and surface trough will settle over our region tonight and Friday. The surface trough will linger over the weekend keeping unsettled and warm conditions over central NC. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 233 PM Thursday... Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Satellite and radar data indicate several MCV's that may affect portions of the region late this afternoon and tonight. An initial MCV was producing scattered showers and thunderstorms over portions of NW North Carolina. Another was approaching the Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians. The CAMS continue to back off a bit on convection in central NC this afternoon, holding off until late day and tonight. Even those chances appear to be a bit less than in previous model models. We are not totally biting off on this scenario due to the forecast CAPE values of 1500 to 2000 j/kg, but we will continue to delay timing slightly and lower initial POP. It appears the best chance of thunderstorms will be in the NW associated with the initial wave in the afternoon. This will be followed by the addition waves and potential convection later in the afternoon and tonight. Highs in the mid to upper 80s NW and upper 80s to lower 90s elsewhere. Lows tonight generally 65-70. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 200 PM Thursday... Confidence for Friday continues to be low with inconsistency for timing and coverage. An upper level shortwave is expected to move across the region bringing plenty of moisture through out the atmosphere with PW values around 1.60 inches, which is slightly above the daily average. Marginal to moderate CAPE across much of the region especially in the southern half of the CWA mixed with temps in the mid/upper 80s and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s could result in a few isolated to scattered storms developing across the region in the afternoon and early evening. It is not expected to be a complete wash out across the region but some storms could become strong and slow moving. For now, keeping chance pops this afternoon and continuing overnight for showers and isolated storms, but again, confidence of this is low. Overall, some breaks in the clouds during the first half of the day, increased cloud coverage and chance of storms second half of the day and continuing into overnight. High will range from mid 80s in the north to upper 80s in the south. Lows will generally be in the mid to upper 60s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 215 PM Thursday... A wet pattern continues through much of the long term as daily chances for showers and storms are expected Saturday through Wednesday. Best chance for showers and storms will be Saturday as a trough slowly moves across the region. SPC has the entire FA in a Marginal threat (level 1/5) for severe storms to develop. As the tough moves east, most of Sunday is expected to be dry as the surface frontal boundary resides to the north over the OH valley. A few showers could begin to develop in the late afternoon Sunday (especially in the NW Piedmont) ahead of the frontal boundary moving across the MS valley. By Monday, expect an upward trend in PoPs through at least Tuesday as the front is expected to move across the state. Timing difference between the long range models vary from early Tuesday to late Tuesday. The timing is expected to affect strength and coverage of showers and storms as well as temperatures. As the front moves offshore, Wednesday and Thursday is expect to be dry as high pressure builds across the Mid-Atlantic region. Temperatures in the long term start off above average with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. As the front sweeps through the region temperatures will flip and become a few degrees below average with highs in the low to mid 80s mid week. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 206 PM Thursday... Generally VFR conditions are expected through tonight. There is chance of a shower or thunderstorm that could produce brief MVFR to IFR conditions, mainly this afternoon and evening. A brief shower can not be ruled out overnight. Late tonight, patchy fog and low stratus are possible near FAY tonight into Fri morning, but given inconsistencies in prior convection this threat also includes low predictability. Looking ahead: Primarily diurnally driven showers/storms will be possible at all terminals Fri through Mon, with the highest chances on Saturday and Monday afternoon and evenings. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...Badgett NEAR TERM...Badgett SHORT TERM...CA LONG TERM...CA AVIATION...Badgett/Swiggett
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 637 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-240945- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance- Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake- Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson- Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson- 637 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. There is a marginal risk, level 1 out of 5, of severe storms today through this evening across central North Carolina. Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat, mainly from mid afternoon through the evening hours. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. We have another marginal risk of severe storms on Saturday, with a primary threat of damaging winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed later today.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
432 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
NCZ022-023-232130-
Guilford NC-Alamance NC-
432 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN ALAMANCE AND
GUILFORD COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...
At 429 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Greensboro, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, Burlington, Graham, Elon, McLeansville, Summerfield,
Gibsonville, Stokesdale, Haw River and Alamance.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3624 7957 3624 7953 3625 7953 3625 7934
3613 7935 3599 7944 3603 7998 3626 7998
TIME...MOT...LOC 2029Z 263DEG 22KT 3614 7990
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
22Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
457 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
NCZ007-008-024-025-232200-
Durham NC-Person NC-Granville NC-Orange NC-
457 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PERSON...NORTHERN ORANGE...
GRANVILLE AND NORTHWESTERN DURHAM COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM EDT...
At 456 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Leasburg, or 9 miles east of Yanceyville, moving east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Oxford, Roxboro, Butner, Rougemont, Concord, Stem, Stovall, Carr,
Lake Michie and Mayo Reservoir.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3639 7852 3614 7856 3615 7926 3624 7926
3624 7915 3653 7914 3654 7891 3654 7865
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 272DEG 26KT 3643 7917
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
22Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
547 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
NCZ008-009-025-026-041-232245-
Franklin NC-Vance NC-Durham NC-Wake NC-Granville NC-
547 PM EDT Thu May 23 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN VANCE...SOUTHERN
GRANVILLE...NORTHEASTERN WAKE...EAST CENTRAL DURHAM AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES THROUGH 645 PM EDT...
At 545 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Creedmoor, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Creedmoor, Louisburg, Wake Forest, Butner, Franklinton, Kittrell,
Bunn, Rolesville, Youngsville and Stem.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3603 7883 3625 7875 3624 7824 3596 7817
3585 7841
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 283DEG 23KT 3609 7873
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
22The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 72 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:06 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
One tree was blown down onto a house along Pine View Rd in Henderson.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, May 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1173315.