An upper high continued to sit over Arizona while another elongated trough moved into the Great Lakes but extended all the way down into southern New Mexico. Modest moisture was located over the Borderland and slow moving storms produced flash flooding over the Salt Burn scar twice and also near Las Cruces.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
An upper high continued to sit over Arizona while another elongated trough moved into the Great Lakes but extended all the way down into southern New Mexico. Modest moisture was located over the Borderland and slow moving storms produced flash flooding over the Salt Burn scar twice and also near Las Cruces.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 19, 10:37 PM MST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1137 PM MDT Fri Jul 19 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 206 PM MDT Fri Jul 19 2024
A wet and active weather pattern will continue across southern New
Mexico and far west Texas through the weekend and into next week.
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will occur each day with
periods of heavy rain and a potential for flash flooding as the
main impact on the region. The wet weather pattern will result in
day time temperatures running from near seasonal normals to
several degrees below normal through next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 206 PM MDT Fri Jul 19 2024
The active wet weather pattern will continue across the region
this weekend into next week. Abundant atmospheric moisture remains
in the region with precipitable water values running above normal
with values of 1.1 to 1.4 inches. The increased moisture will
result in showers and thunderstorms that will be efficient rain
producers with periods of heavy rainfall possible, especially
tonight and this weekend. Impulses embedded in northerly flow
between a dome of high pressure over Nevada and a deepening trough
in the plains states will move south over New Mexico and enhance
thunderstorms development in the moist and unstable air mass that
exists in the region. A flash flood watch remains in effect for
the Sacramento Mountains of Otero county for this afternoon and
tonight. Recent burn scars remain sensitive to even modest amounts
of rain that could lead to flash flooding in the affected areas.
For Saturday and Sunday, scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop over the mountains by mid day and
spread into the lowlands by mid afternoon and will continue
overnight. Model probabilities indicate areas receiving between 1
and 2 inches as an average mean value with a maximum potential for
3 to 5 inch amounts possible. Mountain zones will see the higher
rain amounts with flash flooding possible. A Flash Flood watch
will be in effect for the Sacramento Mountains and the mountains
of the Gila Region for Saturday afternoon through Saturday night.
Heavy rains will cause flooding along drainages and small streams
with impacts to low water crossings expected. The lowlands may
also see some heavy rain events with localized flooding but it
will be less frequent than in the mountains.
The outlook for next week indicates a modest drop in atmospheric
moisture, closer to seasonal (monsoonal) averages. However, the
general synoptic pattern of impulses dropping south over New
Mexico and enhancing storm development will continue well into
next week with a chance of showers and thunderstorms possible each
afternoon and evening next week. The somewhat lower moisture
levels may reduce the heavy rain impact a little, but there will
also be other impacts from these storms including periods of small
hail and strong wind gusts with blowing dust for dust prone areas
of the lowland deserts.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1137 PM MDT Fri Jul 19 2024
VMC overnight, with skies FEW130 and SCT-BKN250. A few lingering
outflow tonight leading to more variable surface wind directions but
speeds remain AOB 12 knots. Clouds clearing during the late morning
hours. Active weather Saturday afternoon with scattered to
widespread TSRA. Much more likely to see direct impacts to TAF sites
between 21-02Z Saturday evening with gusts to 40 knots, brief
reductions in visibility due to rain or dust, and CIGs at FL050-060.
Skies likely remaining BKN-OVC100 overnight tomorrow night with
lingering showers.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 206 PM MDT Fri Jul 19 2024
Low fire weather concerns with a moist active weather pattern
bringing wetting rains and thunderstorms to the entire region
into next week. Mountain zones will see the highest rain amounts
with flooding possible along creeks and streams. Recent burn scars
will be particularly sensitive to any rainfall with flooding
likely, even with moderate amounts of rain. Min RH values will be
in the 20s across the lowlands with 30s to 50 percentiles in the
the mountains. Winds will remain light from the southeast except
near thunderstorms. Vent rates during the day will be good.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 77 99 76 92 / 20 50 80 60
Sierra Blanca 67 91 69 86 / 10 50 50 60
Las Cruces 72 99 71 91 / 30 60 100 60
Alamogordo 68 95 66 87 / 30 70 80 70
Cloudcroft 51 71 48 63 / 30 90 90 90
Truth or Consequences 70 95 68 86 / 40 80 90 80
Silver City 66 89 63 84 / 60 90 80 90
Deming 71 98 70 91 / 50 70 90 60
Lordsburg 72 97 70 93 / 60 90 90 80
West El Paso Metro 77 98 74 91 / 20 60 80 60
Dell City 70 95 71 88 / 10 60 40 60
Fort Hancock 72 99 73 94 / 20 40 50 60
Loma Linda 70 89 69 84 / 20 60 70 70
Fabens 74 98 74 92 / 20 50 60 60
Santa Teresa 73 97 71 89 / 30 60 80 60
White Sands HQ 74 97 71 88 / 30 70 90 70
Jornada Range 70 97 68 89 / 40 70 90 70
Hatch 70 99 69 91 / 40 80 90 70
Columbus 74 98 73 92 / 40 50 90 60
Orogrande 70 94 68 86 / 20 60 80 70
Mayhill 56 81 54 72 / 20 90 70 90
Mescalero 57 82 53 74 / 40 90 80 90
Timberon 54 79 53 73 / 20 80 70 80
Winston 58 86 57 79 / 60 100 90 90
Hillsboro 67 93 65 86 / 70 90 90 90
Spaceport 67 95 65 88 / 40 80 90 80
Lake Roberts 61 89 58 83 / 70 100 80 90
Hurley 66 92 64 86 / 50 100 80 90
Cliff 66 99 64 94 / 60 100 80 90
Mule Creek 67 93 66 89 / 60 90 80 90
Faywood 67 92 66 86 / 60 80 90 90
Animas 72 99 71 93 / 60 90 90 80
Hachita 70 97 69 92 / 50 80 90 70
Antelope Wells 70 96 69 91 / 50 70 90 80
Cloverdale 68 91 66 87 / 50 80 90 80
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...Flood Watch from Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night
for NMZ401-403-408-414>416-425-426.
Flood Watch until 3 AM MDT Saturday for NMZ414>416.
&&
FORECASTER...38-RogersThe Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 48 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:47 UTC.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Ruidoso Police Department reported fast moving water flowing along the sides of Highway 70.
Significant water flow was reported along US 70 near the Casino Apache Travel Center.
Social media video showed water running over Dripping Springs Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1202015, 1202016, 1202017.