A surface trough existed near the Continental Divide while a broad upper trough was moving through the Great Basin. Deeper moisture existed west of the Divide and helped fuel storms over the Gila region where a wind gust to 60 mph was recorded in Silver City.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
A surface trough existed near the Continental Divide while a broad upper trough was moving through the Great Basin. Deeper moisture existed west of the Divide and helped fuel storms over the Gila region where a wind gust to 60 mph was recorded in Silver City.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 1, 1:05 PM MST, 1 hour earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 205 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024 ...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 200 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024 Daily storm chances will continue with Wednesday and Saturday anticipated to be the most active days while Thursday and Friday see a decrease in thunderstorm chances. Temperatures will run near or a few degrees above normal. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 200 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024 We are in a typical monsoonal pattern this afternoon. High pressure is centered east of Dallas, with an east-west oriented ridge axis extending from our CWA to AL. This has directed the richer portion of the moist plume west of the Divide with some drier air trying to move into Hudspeth and Otero Counties. Of note, there is a well defined swirl near Pecos, TX. It seems its only impact to the CWA is perhaps some subsidence to eastern areas. Either way, thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase throughout the afternoon with highest chances west of the Rio Grande. Beginning Tuesday, our portion of the ridge will begin to weaken, allowing better moisture to move into NM and Far W. TX. The HRRR shows an uptick in thunderstorm coverage, possibly picking up on the fact there will be height falls ahead of an approaching UL trough axis. By Wednesday the ridge will have completely opened up for our area with one center off the Pacific Coast and the other centered toward the Southeast. Wednesday is expected to be our most active day with a passing trough axis, rich moisture, and height falls. Flash flooding would be the main concern. For Thursday and Friday, drier air will move in from the north and northwest, greatly limiting thunderstorm chances. Temperatures will climb for Thursday, but a side door/ back door front will cut temperatures back down for Friday. This front will also allow moisture to return increasing thunderstorm chances for late Friday and especially Saturday. Drier air filters back in via NW flow aloft on Sunday, once again lowering storm chances. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1131 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024 Generally VFR conditions expected for the period with SKC-FEW080 becoming FEW-SCT080, possibly BKN. ISO to SCT SHRA/TSRA is expected again this afternoon. RA+ and gusty winds will be the main impacts with any storm that moves over a terminal, but outflows will likely impact sites as well. Thus, the wind forecast is low confidence. Even outside of thunderstorm influences, direction will be somewhat variable with speeds topping out around 10-15 knots with some higher gusts. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 200 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024 No significant fire concerns anticipated for the period. Monsoonal moisture continues in place with moisture anticipated to increase for Wednesday. This will lead to at least scattered thunderstorms with the best chances for precipitation in the mountains and west of the Rio Grande, spreading across the entire area by Wednesday. Min RH values will be in the 20s with recoveries into at least the 50s. Winds will be light outside of thunderstorm influences. Venting will range good to very good for Tuesday, decreasing to fair to good for Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 81 103 81 101 / 20 30 50 60 Sierra Blanca 72 96 72 95 / 10 20 50 60 Las Cruces 75 101 76 98 / 20 40 40 60 Alamogordo 69 97 71 95 / 20 30 40 50 Cloudcroft 54 75 56 73 / 30 60 50 80 Truth or Consequences 72 93 72 93 / 40 70 30 50 Silver City 66 88 67 87 / 40 70 50 70 Deming 71 98 73 97 / 30 40 50 60 Lordsburg 70 95 71 93 / 50 60 50 60 West El Paso Metro 78 101 79 98 / 20 30 60 60 Dell City 73 101 75 100 / 10 20 30 50 Fort Hancock 76 103 76 102 / 20 20 50 60 Loma Linda 72 94 73 93 / 20 30 50 70 Fabens 78 103 77 100 / 20 30 50 60 Santa Teresa 74 99 76 96 / 20 30 60 60 White Sands HQ 76 98 79 96 / 20 40 50 70 Jornada Range 71 98 71 95 / 20 50 40 60 Hatch 71 99 73 97 / 30 50 40 60 Columbus 73 98 75 95 / 30 30 60 60 Orogrande 72 98 74 95 / 20 30 50 60 Mayhill 59 85 61 84 / 20 60 40 80 Mescalero 58 85 60 84 / 30 60 40 70 Timberon 57 84 59 83 / 20 50 40 80 Winston 60 83 61 83 / 50 90 40 70 Hillsboro 68 92 70 90 / 40 70 50 80 Spaceport 67 95 69 93 / 30 60 40 60 Lake Roberts 62 88 62 86 / 40 80 50 70 Hurley 66 92 66 90 / 40 60 40 60 Cliff 66 97 67 95 / 40 60 30 50 Mule Creek 67 90 69 90 / 50 60 40 40 Faywood 68 91 69 90 / 40 60 50 70 Animas 68 95 71 91 / 50 60 50 60 Hachita 68 95 70 92 / 40 50 60 60 Antelope Wells 69 94 70 90 / 50 70 70 80 Cloverdale 67 90 67 85 / 40 60 60 70 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...Flash Flood Watch until midnight MDT tonight for NMZ414>416. && FORECASTER...34-Brown
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
1254 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
NMZ405-406-011930-
Uplands of the Bootheel NM-Lowlands of the Bootheel NM-
1254 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL HIDALGO COUNTY
THROUGH 130 PM MDT...
At 1254 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles west of Antelope Wells. This thunderstorm was nearly
stationary.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Playas Valley.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3151 10880 3145 10854 3133 10862 3133 10881
TIME...MOT...LOC 1854Z 204DEG 4KT 3137 10874
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
ZASpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
133 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
NMZ401-425-426-012000-
Upper Gila River Valley NM-
Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range NM-
Central Grant County/Silver City Area NM-
133 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL GRANT COUNTY
THROUGH 200 PM MDT...
At 133 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles northwest of Silver City, moving northeast at 5 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Silver City, Pinos Altos, Fort Bayard, Arenas Valley, Little Walnut
Village, and Cherry Creek Campground.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3276 10835 3285 10841 3299 10829 3279 10812
TIME...MOT...LOC 1933Z 233DEG 6KT 3283 10833
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
ZASpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
223 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
NMZ404-405-012100-
Lowlands of the Bootheel NM-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley NM-
223 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN GRANT AND CENTRAL
HIDALGO COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM MDT...
At 223 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Windmill, moving north at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Playas, Windmill, and Pyramid Mountains.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3188 10856 3190 10867 3212 10871 3206 10841
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 184DEG 15KT 3196 10861
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
ZAThe El Paso radar (KEPZ), 177 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:07 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A spotter reported a 60 mph wind gust along with a lot of pea size hail and a half inch of rain.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1201998.