Northern areas of the forecast area saw improving drought conditions with a large area ending the month of July with no drought or Abnormally Dry(D0) drought conditions. Areas across the south generally remained unchanged.
Every event with a place to put it; 13 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Northern areas of the forecast area saw improving drought conditions with a large area ending the month of July with no drought or Abnormally Dry(D0) drought conditions. Areas across the south generally remained unchanged.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 10:32 PM MST, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1132 PM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 100 PM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Daily thunderstorm chances will continue with Wednesday expected to be the most active day. Temperatures will remain warm, generally a few degrees above average. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 100 PM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 A subtle disturbance is approaching the CWA from the southwest. WV satellite shows this ripple near the SW corner of Hudspeth Co. at this typing. Vis is showing an increasingly agitated Cu field with a few storms already noted on the radar. Current trajectory has these moving into El Paso within the next 30-45 minutes, so it's time to complete this discussion to focus on near term impacts. HRRR showing activity overspreading the entire CWA between 21 and 22z as this subtle disturbance continues to lift northward. Main threat today will be heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding, especially if storms can train. Current dewpoints are near 60 with PWAT values near 1.3" toward the International Border with less than 1" for the northern part of the CWA. 850mb moisture transport shows a northwestward transport, so I suspect these values will increase for our northern areas. Damaging winds will also be a concern this afternoon with DCAPE values over 1000 J/kg. HRRR showing activity decreasing after dark, but with lingering showers or storms continuing well into the evening. As we head into Monday and Tuesday, a little bit drier air pushes into the region from the south, forcing the main moisture plume toward AZ. Storm chances will be favored west but all locations have at least a slight chance for thunderstorms each day. Highs will warm with the drier air and re-alignment of the ridge axis overhead. On Wednesday, a digging trough from the north will split the ridge with a prominent center off the coast of CA and a larger center covering much of the Deep South. This will allow the subtropical plume to center over NM and Far W. TX. With the expected alignment of the trough axis and richer moisture (GFS showing 1.3-1.6" PWAT), Wednesday will be our best bet for storms of the period. Thursday onward, drier is set to push in from the northwest, shifting storm chances to the south. Models continue to struggle with how far south this moisture will be shoved. Additionally, this pattern opens us up to disturbances aloft and frontal intrusions. Both global models continue to show a frontal intrusion on Saturday, which will enhance our rain/storm chances. As it stands now though, there continues to be uncertainty with rain / storm chances Thursday onward, and it will depend on which factor wins out: dry air versus frontal boundaries and / or disturbances aloft. Regardless, temperatures to finish out the period look to be just above average, but NBM continues to show 5-7 degree spread between the 25th and 75th percentile for highs at El Paso Thursday onward. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1131 PM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Lingering showers and a few brief isolated thunderstorms will continue across region through around 10z and then dissipate. VFR conditions are expected at all TAF sites through 18Z. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop after 18Z, first over the higher mountains then in over the lowlands by 20Z to 21Z. TAF sites could be impacted by strong winds and periods of reduced visibility in moderate to heavy rainfall, Otherwise VFR conditions are expected to be the primary state at TAF sites. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 100 PM MDT Sun Jun 30 2024 No significant fire concerns for the period. Monsoonal moisture will remain in place for the period. Monday will feature slightly drier conditions, which will limit thunderstorm coverage some as well as allow min RH values to drop into the lower and middle 20s. Tuesday will continue the drier trend as well as see an increase in temperatures. Wednesday looks to be the most active day in terms of thunderstorm coverage with an increase in moisture. Starting Thursday, the forecast becomes a bit uncertain in terms of moisture content and thunderstorm coverage. Winds, outside of thunderstorm influences, looks light for the period. Venting will generally range good to very good, decreasing to poor to good on Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 80 101 82 103 / 50 10 30 30 Sierra Blanca 69 94 72 96 / 30 10 20 30 Las Cruces 73 99 74 100 / 60 20 20 40 Alamogordo 70 96 71 97 / 40 20 20 30 Cloudcroft 52 74 54 75 / 50 40 30 60 Truth or Consequences 72 94 72 93 / 70 50 30 70 Silver City 65 88 66 89 / 80 70 40 80 Deming 72 98 72 98 / 80 40 30 60 Lordsburg 70 95 70 95 / 80 60 40 70 West El Paso Metro 77 99 79 100 / 60 20 30 30 Dell City 72 99 73 100 / 20 10 10 20 Fort Hancock 74 101 76 103 / 40 10 20 20 Loma Linda 70 93 72 94 / 50 20 20 30 Fabens 76 100 78 103 / 40 10 20 30 Santa Teresa 74 98 74 98 / 60 20 30 30 White Sands HQ 75 96 77 98 / 60 20 30 40 Jornada Range 70 96 70 97 / 70 30 30 40 Hatch 71 98 71 99 / 70 30 30 60 Columbus 73 98 74 98 / 70 30 40 40 Orogrande 72 96 73 97 / 50 20 20 40 Mayhill 58 85 59 86 / 40 40 20 60 Mescalero 57 85 59 86 / 40 40 30 60 Timberon 55 83 57 84 / 40 30 20 50 Winston 60 84 60 83 / 70 80 40 90 Hillsboro 68 92 69 91 / 80 60 40 80 Spaceport 67 95 67 95 / 60 40 30 60 Lake Roberts 62 87 62 87 / 80 70 40 90 Hurley 65 91 66 92 / 80 60 30 70 Cliff 65 97 66 97 / 80 60 30 70 Mule Creek 66 90 68 90 / 80 70 40 70 Faywood 67 90 68 91 / 80 50 40 70 Animas 69 95 69 95 / 70 60 30 60 Hachita 68 95 69 95 / 70 50 40 60 Antelope Wells 68 95 69 95 / 70 50 50 70 Cloverdale 66 90 67 90 / 60 60 40 70 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && FORECASTER...36-Texeira
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
13 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through July. The Redrock Cooperative Observer reported 1.79 inches of precipitation which was 0.82 inches below normal.
The eastern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the northwest remained in Severe(D2) drought. The Antelope Wells Cooperative Observer reported 2.32 inches of precipitation which was 0.82 inches below normal.
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought throughout the month.
July started with Extreme(D3) drought over the south and improving to Moderate(D1) drought over the north. By the end of the month, the southwest was still in Extreme(D3) drought which improved to Abnormally Dry(D0) drought over the north. The Deming Airport reported 2.45 inches of precipitation which was 0.54 inches above normal.
The entire zone remained in Severe(D2) drought during the month of July.
The entire zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought during the month. The Cooperative Observer at New Mexico State University received 1.09 inches of precipitation which was 0.68 inches below normal.
The month started with Extreme(D3) drought over the south improving to Moderate(D1) drought across the north. By the end of July, the south ended in Severe(D2) drought with the north in Abnormally Dry(D0) drought. The Mountain Park Cooperative Observer reported 3.88 inches of precipitation which was 0.29 inches above normal.
The entire zone started the month in Severe(D2) drought. By the end of the month, the south remained in Severe(D2) drought while the north improved to Abnormally Dry(D0) drought. The Cloudcroft Cooperative Observer reported 4.04 inches of precipitation which was 1.49 inches below normal.
Extreme(D3) drought continued across the south while Severe(D2) drought remained in place across the north during the month of July. The Elk Cooperative Observer reported 2.85 inches of precipitation which was 0.29 inches below normal.
The entire zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought through the month of July.
The month started with Extreme(D3) drought over the south and improving to Moderate(D1) drought across the north. By the end of the month, the far northern areas had improved to Abnormally Dry(D0) drought with little change to the south. The White Sands National Park Cooperative Observer reported 0.89 inches of precipitation which was 0.75 inches below normal.
The southern portion of the zone remained in Severe(D2) drought through the month while the north improved from Moderate(D1) drought to Abnormally Dry(D0) drought conditions.
The southern half of the zone remained in Extreme(D3) drought while the north continued to be in Severe(D2) drought conditions.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1200434, 1200436, 1200437, 1200439, 1200441, 1200442, 1200444, 1200447, 1200451, 1200452, 1200476, 1200477, 1200478.