The continuation of an active 2024 monsoon season resulted in further slight improvements in drought conditions across the state. However, localized areas of severe drought remained across north central New Mexico and the northern Albuquerque Metro along with severe to locally extreme drought in southern Lincoln and Chaves County.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
The continuation of an active 2024 monsoon season resulted in further slight improvements in drought conditions across the state. However, localized areas of severe drought remained across north central New Mexico and the northern Albuquerque Metro along with severe to locally extreme drought in southern Lincoln and Chaves County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 11:10 PM MST, 50 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1210 AM MDT Thu Aug 1 2024 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 908 PM MDT Wed Jul 31 2024 Showers and storms continue to develop along a boundary that is oriented from southwest to northeast from the South-Central mountains to the east-central plains so PoPs were increased for the overnight period. Despite the loss of daytime heating and the fact that hi-res models are not showing anything, storms will likely persist in this area for the next few hours due to surface convergence and elevated instability. In addition, the Flash Flood Watch for the Sacramento Complex of burn scars was extended through Midnight. A Flash Flood Warning remains in effect for the South Fork Burn Scar through 1145PM. && .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 218 PM MDT Wed Jul 31 2024 Another hot day has been on hand for most of northern and central New Mexico with many eastern plains locations reaching the upper 90's and 100's where Heat Advisories are in effect through the early evening. Showers and thunderstorms have been few and far between, but isolated storms will be possible over the southwestern and south central highlands into the east central plains through the evening. Temperatures will be hot again on Thursday, but a moist front will be arriving into the northeastern part of New Mexico, triggering strong thunderstorms through Thursday evening. These storms will eventually spread moisture farther west, leading to more widespread and numerous showers and thunderstorms on Friday and into the weekend while temperatures return to more seasonable readings. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 218 PM MDT Wed Jul 31 2024 Monsoonal moisture is streaming northward into southern and central NM this afternoon, squeezed b/w a 596dm H5 high centered over the Ark-LA-Tex region and a H5 low spinning over the northern Gulf of California. Afternoon convection has begun over the southern mountain ranges, raising the risk of flash flooding over the recent burn scars near Ruidoso. Drier westerly flow is rounding the northwestern periphery of the H5 high, bringing in much lower Td's to northern NM. Td's in the 20s to 30s stretch from Farmington to the Upper Rio Grande Valley. This is leading only to flat cumulus or a few stray showers. Convection is also underway along the northern edge of the Caprock. Afternoon convection steadily dies down overnight with calming conditions by Thursday morning. Coincident with this is highs reaching the 100F mark over east-central NM. Given the multi-day stretch of 100+ and the experimental Heat Risk product reaching the Major category, did go ahead and expand the Heat Advisory to Curry and Roosevelt Counties. This will expire by 8pm MDT. Thursday sees the H5 strengthen to 600dm and migrate over northeastern NM, spreading over the rest of the state. Meanwhile, the shortwave trough being replaced by the H5 ridge sends down a surface backdoor frontal boundary that undercuts the H5 high in northeastern NM. The easterly upslope flow into the east slopes of the Sangre de Cristo Mts and additional moisture behind the backdoor front will make this area a prime spot for convective initiation (CI) early Thursday afternoon. Storm motions will be slow and erratic allowing for moderate to heavy rainfall to fall over single areas for a long period of time. CI will steadily spread out over the northeastern plains along the convergent frontal boundary. This will include the Hermit's Peak/Calf Canyon burn scar, and a Flood Watch will be issued for Thursday covering the burn scar. Elsewhere, pop- up convection will still favor the southern mountain ranges south of I-40. Steering flow will tend to take these cells slowly toward the northwest. Late afternoon and evening convection spreads out over the northeastern and east-central plains, and along colliding outflow boundaries into central valley locations including the Rio Grande Valley and the ABQ metro. The backdoor frontal boundary will also act to suppress temperatures a few degrees over northeastern and east-central NM. It won't be by much as upper 90s to near 100F are still forecast for Thursday afternoon, stretching into the lower elevations of the Rio Grande Valley and to Farmington. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 218 PM MDT Wed Jul 31 2024 After moist cold pools/outflows send moisture westward Thursday night, there should be considerable fuel for a more widespread thunderstorm crop on Friday. Any gap wind that might have developed in vulnerable central valleys will have abated by late Friday morning with generally a southeasterly synoptic surface wind over the majority of the forecast area (Continental Divide eastward) by afternoon. This will provide some upslope to the Divide and on the central mountain chain and raise PWATs to 0.9 to 1.1 inch over many central to eastern areas (even higher in northeastern zones). Heavy rainfall will be possible Friday, especially over recent wildfire burn scars, as high pressure centers itself north of NM and keeps slow storm motions going. Into Saturday, the monsoon high relocates near the Four Corners with near to slightly above average PWATs (0.9 to 1.2 inches) remaining in place over most of the forecast area. Surface winds may veer a bit more southerly, limiting the upslope on the Sandia/Manzano/Sacramento mountains, and therefore the storm prospects near those ranges will also shrink. However, the northern and western mountain ranges should fare quite well with ample storm coverage. The upper high wobbles near or just northeast of the Four Corners on Sunday. This along with the recycled moisture will keep the northern and western mountains covered in storms. Into Monday, the upper high elongates on a west-east axis and will likely stay this way through Tuesday and Wednesday before weakening into Thursday of next week. Look for storm coverage to dwindle, but not disappear over these northern and western ranges as moisture recycles day-by-day. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1147 PM MDT Wed Jul 31 2024 Scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue to track northwestward and westward from south central to south west parts of the forecast area through the late night hours. Most of it will probably diminish toward sunrise, lingering longest over southwest areas. After a break in precipitation in the morning, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are forecast Thursday afternoon and evening, then scattered to isolated activity may linger from the south central mountains to the southwest mountains after midnight Thursday night. Cells south of I-40 will generally move toward the northwest and north around 5-15 KT, while cells over north central and northwest areas move slowly and erratically. A moist backdoor front will be a focus for thunderstorm development over northeast areas in the afternoon where large clusters of cells are expected drift eastward at speeds up to 10 KT. Some thunderstorms will be capable of producing wet microbursts with localized, brief, and erratic wind gusts up to 45 KT Thursday afternoon and evening. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 218 PM MDT Wed Jul 31 2024 No fire weather concerns through the forest period. Daily rounds of storms developing over the western and central high terrain then moving over surrounding lower elevations late day and evening will remain the trend each day. A backdoor frontal boundary stalling over northeastern to east-central NM Thursday will bring an expanded coverage of storms from the Sangre de Cristo's eastward to the OK/TX border. The high migrates north of the region this weekend, favoring slow and erratic storm motions north of I-40 and more SW/W storm motions south of I-40. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 63 99 68 97 / 0 0 5 20 Dulce........................... 50 95 53 91 / 0 20 20 60 Cuba............................ 60 92 59 89 / 0 30 40 70 Gallup.......................... 57 94 58 92 / 0 20 20 60 El Morro........................ 60 89 59 85 / 10 50 50 70 Grants.......................... 61 93 62 90 / 10 40 50 70 Quemado......................... 60 89 59 88 / 30 70 60 70 Magdalena....................... 66 91 64 88 / 10 40 50 50 Datil........................... 60 87 59 85 / 20 50 50 60 Reserve......................... 58 91 59 91 / 40 70 40 70 Glenwood........................ 68 95 69 96 / 40 70 40 70 Chama........................... 54 87 54 83 / 0 30 20 80 Los Alamos...................... 67 89 64 84 / 0 60 40 80 Pecos........................... 63 89 61 85 / 5 70 40 80 Cerro/Questa.................... 54 87 53 84 / 0 60 30 80 Red River....................... 51 77 49 74 / 0 70 30 80 Angel Fire...................... 41 81 45 78 / 0 80 30 80 Taos............................ 55 91 55 88 / 0 40 20 60 Mora............................ 56 85 54 81 / 5 80 40 80 Espanola........................ 62 96 62 93 / 0 30 40 60 Santa Fe........................ 67 91 64 88 / 5 50 50 70 Santa Fe Airport................ 65 95 62 92 / 5 40 40 60 Albuquerque Foothills........... 72 96 69 93 / 10 50 50 60 Albuquerque Heights............. 70 99 68 95 / 10 40 40 40 Albuquerque Valley.............. 69 101 67 97 / 10 30 40 30 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 71 99 69 96 / 5 30 40 40 Belen........................... 66 99 66 96 / 10 20 40 30 Bernalillo...................... 70 99 67 96 / 5 30 40 40 Bosque Farms.................... 66 100 65 96 / 10 30 40 30 Corrales........................ 70 100 68 96 / 5 30 40 40 Los Lunas....................... 68 99 67 96 / 10 20 40 30 Placitas........................ 69 96 67 93 / 5 40 40 50 Rio Rancho...................... 71 99 68 95 / 5 30 40 40 Socorro......................... 69 100 69 98 / 20 20 40 30 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 65 91 61 87 / 10 50 40 60 Tijeras......................... 67 93 63 89 / 10 50 40 60 Edgewood........................ 61 93 59 89 / 10 50 40 60 Moriarty/Estancia............... 59 95 57 90 / 10 40 40 50 Clines Corners.................. 61 89 58 85 / 10 50 40 60 Mountainair..................... 62 91 59 88 / 20 40 40 50 Gran Quivira.................... 61 91 60 89 / 40 40 40 50 Carrizozo....................... 67 95 66 91 / 40 30 40 40 Ruidoso......................... 61 87 59 84 / 40 50 30 40 Capulin......................... 58 86 57 85 / 10 70 40 60 Raton........................... 60 92 57 90 / 5 60 30 60 Springer........................ 60 93 57 90 / 5 60 30 60 Las Vegas....................... 59 88 57 85 / 5 70 40 70 Clayton......................... 66 95 64 93 / 5 40 40 30 Roy............................. 64 93 61 88 / 10 60 40 50 Conchas......................... 70 100 66 95 / 20 40 50 30 Santa Rosa...................... 68 96 64 92 / 30 40 40 30 Tucumcari....................... 71 100 66 96 / 20 40 40 20 Clovis.......................... 71 100 68 98 / 30 40 30 10 Portales........................ 71 101 67 98 / 30 30 20 10 Fort Sumner..................... 71 102 68 97 / 40 30 30 10 Roswell......................... 75 104 73 101 / 20 10 20 10 Picacho......................... 68 97 65 93 / 30 10 20 20 Elk............................. 63 94 61 89 / 40 30 30 20 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch from Thursday afternoon through Thursday evening for NMZ214-215-229. && SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....52 AVIATION...44
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
8 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought persisted across the southern portion of the zone.
Severe drought persisted across the far northwest portion of the zone.
Severe drought persisted across the northern half of the zone.
Severe drought persisted across the northern portion of the zone.
Severe drought persisted across the eastern portion of the zone.
Severe drought was reduced to the southern half of the zone with a localized area of extreme drought along the southern border of the zone.
Extreme drought was removed from the zone with severe drought persisting across the southern portion of the zone.
Extreme drought was trimmed back to the far southwest portion of the zone with the rest of the zone now under severe drought.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, August 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1200597, 1200598, 1200599, 1200601, 1200603, 1200606, 1200607, 1200608.