Recent local rainfall along with the arrival of upstream elevated flows resulted in the Mississippi River temporarily rising into minor flood late in the month at Chester.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Recent local rainfall along with the arrival of upstream elevated flows resulted in the Mississippi River temporarily rising into minor flood late in the month at Chester.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 28, 1:05 AM CST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 205 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Next best rain chances come with the return of scattered showers/storms by week's end. - Mainly dry and seasonal temperatures ride until next weekend, when a more summer-like air mass takes hold. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 200 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Isolated showers/storms linger across central IL at this writing. An 18-22 unit H5 short wave vorticity maxima is helping it survive this time of night. The Hi-Res Convection Allowing Model ARW picks up on it best amongst the CAMs, and it maintains this isolated activity but keeps it just to the north of our CWA doorstep thru daybreak. The SWODY1 similarly draws their thunder line on our northern CWA border...so we'll keep a silent pop there at about 10% (not zero). That same ARW picks up on a trend of the GFS, which wants to develop convection into our Pennyrile counties as this sliver of energy slides southeastward during peak heating today. However, the ARW keeps these isolated returns just to the east of our CWA border. We'll mirror its modeling, while noting the GFS output with silent but non zero pops. The aforementioned nuances are more or less played out each day thru mid week with subtlety; we'll stay the course and keep pops silent with a non-zero allowance in the generally moisture starved environ underneath the periodic ripples of energy translations within the embedded northwesterlies aloft. The models depict the primary trof axis making Ohio Valley passage Thursday, with teleconnected ridging aloft working across our CWA in its wake. Thereafter what follows for the week's end is the beginning return of a more active, daily chance pops pattern as we head into the weekend. Seasonal temps for the bulk of the week will warm/moisten slightly as this metamorphosis occurs, with summer-like mid-upper 80s/mid-upper 60s anticipated by Days 6-7 of the forecast. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 200 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Visual Flight Rules will prevail this package. FEW-SCT bases around 5K FT AGL are possible with daytime heating, and northwesterlies may attain some gustiness during the peak diurnal hours. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 332 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-291000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 332 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 /432 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Thunderstorm chances return by Friday and last through the weekend, with Saturday offering the best chance. Heavy rain and lightning look to be the main hazards. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding of low-lying areas occurred in Perry County across from Chester, IL as water levels briefly exceeded flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1184247.