A 338 acre wildfire occurred in the Mark Twain National Forest on March 21. US Forest Service officials were able to contain it.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
A 338 acre wildfire occurred in the Mark Twain National Forest on March 21. US Forest Service officials were able to contain it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 21, 5:14 AM CST, 4 hours 46 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 614 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - 20-30% chance for rain this afternoon and evening west of Springfield. Most areas will remain dry. - Elevated fire weather conditions today east of Springfield. - Higher chances (80-90%) of rain continues to be at the start of the next work week along a cold front. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 245 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024 Current conditions and synoptic pattern: Water vapor and upper air analysis shows a split flow pattern with a fairly zonal southern stream jet across the US/Mexico border into the Gulf of Mexico. The northern stream/polar jet was located across the US/Canada border with some very cold, below zero air across Canada. A few pieces of energy were caught in a shortwave trough across Arizona and New Mexico with weaker vorts across the Texas panhandle. This was causing some weak showers and storms well west of the area. High pressure across Minnesota and Wisconsin continues to allow for northeast winds and dry air to advect across Missouri with the exception of the Missouri/Arkansas border where a stationary boundary resides. This has created a rather large dewpoint spread across the area with a 16 dewpoint at Rolla/Vichy compared to a 50 dewpoint at Branson. Today through Tonight: The energy across the southwest US will slowly spread east into Texas today and surface low pressure will begin to deepen across the lee of the Rockies. This will allow for that stationary boundary to begin pivoting back west and north as a warm front but mainly across far southeast Kansas and far southwest Missouri. While winds will begin to switch to the southeast, low level moisture will not increase much. We have actually gone with slightly lower/drier dewpoints for today given the typical high model dewpoint bias in return flow regimes. With temps reaching the 60s across the area today, this will create afternoon RH values in the 25 to 30 percent range, especially east of Springfield. Wind speeds look to remain in the 10-15 mph range which will keep the fire weather threat in the elevated category. HREF data suggests that we will see scattered mid and high clouds at times however by late afternoon there appears to be enough moisture and lift along the front west of Springfield to produce some isolated showers and thunderstorms. Only about 100-200j/kg of mean MU cape is forecast by the HREF therefore thunderstorms will be limited. Most areas look to remain dry with just a 20-30 percent chance of measurable precip across far southeast Kansas and the Joplin area. Friday: The passing shortwave energy to the south begins to phase with the northern stream energy as its passing through the area during the day. A cold front will enter the area from the northwest during the early to middle afternoon hours. Before the front arrives, high temps looks to reach the upper 60s to lower 70s, with the highest readings east/southeast of Springfield. With the front passing through the area during peak heating, several high res and short term models show isolated showers and thunderstorms developing as the front moves through. The HREF does show about 250-500j/kg of mean MU CAPE therefore a few thunderstorms should develop however no severe weather is expected given the weak instability. Rainfall amounts look to remain less than 0.10in given the progressive nature of the system and limited moisture. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 245 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024 Friday Night: Gusty north winds up to 30mph will occur behind the front as low pressure deepens southeast of the area. Depending on how fast clouds clear and when the winds decrease will factor into how cold we get. Currently NBM guidance has a 30-50% chance of lows reaching 34 degrees or less for areas along and north of Highway 60. Saturday: Ensembles suggest a zonal pattern aloft with east/northeast winds. NBM data suggests high temperatures closer to average (upper 50s to around 60). Given the lingering dry air, could see additional elevated fire weather conditions east of Springfield. Sunday through Monday: A large upper level trough with several embedded shortwaves will move through the western and eventually the central US in this timeframe. As to be expected, there is some variance with respect to the timing and location of these waves. However there remains decent agreement that once piece of energy will move into Kansas late Sunday afternoon/evening with a strong surface low. This would begin pulling up gulf moisture which could be more modified early on given the northern trajectories into the Gulf all the way through late Sat night. Therefore most of the daytime hours Sunday could end up being dry with rain moving in by the evening and overnight hours. If the dry air remains stubborn Sunday afternoon then fire conditions could worsen east of Springfield as winds will be increasing. Depending on the speed of the system, rain chances will linger through Monday with the latest NBM showing 80-90% chances of rainfall during this timeframe. Any severe weather threat remains uncertain, mainly due to the lack of instability. Latest NBM has less than a 10% chance of surface CAPE over 500j/kg. However CIPS analogs and the CSU machine learning probs do show some potential for severe weather Monday if instability increases. Confidence is greater that we will see more widespread rain than we have seen lately with the NBM showing about a 50-70% chance of at least a 0.50 inch of rainfall with this system. Given the strong surface low, wind gusts up to 30 mph will occur which should keep temps fairly mild (highs in the lower/middle 60s). Tuesday through Wednesday: Ensembles suggest a period of northwest flow aloft with cooler and drier weather. Mean 850mb temps look to drop into the 0-2C range which could promote low temps close to freezing, especially Wednesday morning as high pressure moves in. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 610 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024 Confidence is high that VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Skies will remain partly cloudy. Winds will gradually turn more southeasterly through the day. There is a 20-30 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm at JLN this afternoon or evening however confidence is too low to include at this time. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None. && SHORT TERM...Burchfield LONG TERM...Burchfield AVIATION...Burchfield
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 454 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-221000- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 454 AM CDT Thu Mar 21 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Limited lightning risk. Elevated fire weather risk. DISCUSSION... Low afternoon humidity will create elevated fire conditions east of Springfield. There is a 20 to 30 percent chance of a thunderstorm across southeast Kansas and the Joplin area this afternoon and evening. Most locations will remain dry. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. There is a 30 to 50 percent chance for thunderstorms Friday afternoon. Gusty north winds up to 30 mph will occur Friday night. Widespread showers and thunderstorms arrives late Sunday through Monday along with gusty south winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf Burchfield
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
A 338 acre wild fire occurred in the Mark Twain National Forecast in northeast Dent County. The US Forest Service was able to contain it.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, March 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1159405.