D2 Drought persisted in northwestern Minnesota throughout the month of January.
Every event with a place to put it; 7 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGF wrote it up.
D2 Drought persisted in northwestern Minnesota throughout the month of January.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 11:24 PM CST, 36 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1124 PM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cloudy through the remainder of today for much of the area - Temperatures climb above average Monday and Tuesday, with cooler temps working into the area from Wednesday onward. - The signal for active weather still exists starting the second half of the week. Uncertainty remains regarding exact details; however, there is a low chance for winter impacts. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1123 PM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 There should still be some fog along the edge of the cloudy/clear line along a Hallock to Grand Forks to Gwinner line overnight. Some of the latest guidance shows more fog developing to the east of the Valley overnight as well, so have included that mention with this update. Still have very low confidence on when the clouds along and east of the Valley will break up or move east, so have stuck with sometime Monday morning. If it occurs sooner or later, will just have to update again. && .UPDATE... Issued at 903 PM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Adjusted the sky cover forecast a little more to keep clouds around all night (at least where they are at now). Fog has been forming along the clear/cloudy edge, essentially from Oakes to Valley City to Grand Forks to Hallock. Added the mention of fog to that area overnight and will keep an eye on it to see if it expands in size through the late evening. && .UPDATE... Issued at 547 PM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 The clouds that refuse to go away are the challenge again tonight. With weak surface flow, there is not much to help push them one way or another. Think as surface winds turn to the south and start to pick up Monday morning, that may help. Otherwise, other than some slight sways one way or another, the clouds will pretty much hold again tonight. The Devils Lake area into northeast North Dakota should stay clear and would be the coolest. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 318 PM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Persistent stratus remains across much of the CWA, with northwest Minnesota and much of the Red River Valley still seeing low ceilings and overcast skies. A few reports of brief flurries have been noted, mainly at points within the Valley. Temperatures today have held a bit lower where cloud cover persists, generally in the middle teens to near 20 degrees. Partly cloudy skies in the Devils Lake Basin have allowed temps to climb into the low to middle 20s. Heading into Monday, a shortwave H5 ridge traverses the region ahead of our next cold front that arrives Tuesday. Areas where cloud cover is able to clear, temperatures will climb into the upper 20s to middle 30s, with low to mid 20s elsewhere. Tuesday and Wednesday bring cooler temperatures as northwest flow aloft brings 850mb temps into the -14C to -12C range. Very light snow is possible along and following the frontal passage; however, accumulation potential is rather low as the chance for 1 inch or more snowfall is less than 10 percent. Temperatures will fall into the upper quartile of seasonal averages on Wednesday, with highs in the teens to low 20s. Thursday and Friday remain quiet with temperatures remaining slightly above average. H5 troughing in the western CONUS serves to keep warmer air to our south during this time, with much colder air situated just north of the Canadian Border. Next weekend looks quite uncertain as ensembles diverge significantly starting late next week. Deterministic models, as well as several GEFS ensemble members, indicate the potential for winter impacts across portions of the Central and Northern Plains and the Upper Midwest. At this time, there is little confidence in location or intensity; however, NBM probability shows a 15 to 25 percent chance of accumulating snow across much of the area late next weekend or perhaps into early next week. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1123 PM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 Think there might be some frost on the KFAR ASOS sensor, which is resulting in the persistent light snow mentioned there. Think flurries are possible, but not with every single observation since 1904z today. Right now the fog has lifted at KGFK, but remains at KFAR/KTVF, where it will likely linger into the overnight time frame. As mentioned in the update section above, have very low confidence on when the stratus layer will exit. Therefore have kept with the idea of it lifting sometime Monday morning. However wind speeds have been increasing a little faster than anticipated, so would not be surprised if it occurs a little sooner than that. Winds will get a little breezy Monday afternoon, before decreasing again. There is a wind shift to the northwest late in the TAF period, which should only impact KDVL prior to 06z Tuesday. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...None. && UPDATE...Godon DISCUSSION...Lynch AVIATION...Godon
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 244 PM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-012045- West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods- West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake- East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen- South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin- West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier- Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks- Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland- Western Walsh- 244 PM CST Sun Dec 31 2023 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
7 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
D2 Drought was in Kittson county for the entire month of January.
D2 Drought was in Roseau county for the entire month of January.
D2 Drought was in Lake of the Woods county for the entire month of January.
D2 Drought was in Beltrami county for the entire month of January.
D2 Drought was in Beltrami county for the entire month of January.
D2 Drought was in Hubbard county for the entire month of January.
D2 Drought was in Wadena county for the entire month of January.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Minnesota in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Minnesota, January 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1160274, 1160278, 1160281, 1160282, 1160283, 1160290, 1160291.