Massachusetts, 2024Flash Flooding and Hail in Massachusetts, August 15, 2024
August 15, 2024 · NWS BOX · 25 events in 7 counties and zones
A round of afternoon thunderstorms associated with a cold front moved from north to south during the afternoon and evening bringing wind damage and severe hail to eastern Massachusetts. There was also localized flash flooding in Fall River.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $16,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 25
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A round of afternoon thunderstorms associated with a cold front moved from north to south during the afternoon and evening bringing wind damage and severe hail to eastern Massachusetts. There was also localized flash flooding in Fall River.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 15, 2:01 PM EST, 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 2:01 PM EST, 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
301 PM EDT Thu Aug 15 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
Scattered showers thunderstorms will end this evening. Dry
weather returns Friday and will continue Saturday for all but
far western portions of southern New England. A slow moving
front will lead to unsettled weather Sunday through Tuesday. A
drying trend with seasonable temperatures are expected for the
middle of next week. Meanwhile, Hurricane Ernesto will track
well southeast of New England, but it will bring rough surf and
strong rip currents to south facing ocean beaches this weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
245 pm update...
Convection developing, so far along the sea breeze boundary
along the south coast and higher terrain in western MA and CT.
Also watching the cluster of t-storms just to the north that is
in association with the shortwave dropping south. Temperatures
aloft are fairly chilly (-14 to -16C at 500mb), so some small
hail is to be expected with the storms. Sub cloud layer is also
rather dry, so that will enhance the potential of seeing
localized downbursts/gusty winds with the strongest storms.
DCAPE values are running 800-1000 J/kg, which is fairly notable.
Otherwise, winds in the atmosphere aren't all that strong, so
shear is minimal, meaning we shouldn't see organization with the
thunderstorms. They'll tend to be more pulse variety.
Hi-res CAMs still not doing all that great with the convective
forecasts, so took a more broadbrush approach with the PoP
forecast through the evening. Expect the activity to quickly
weaken as we get closer to sunset, so the strongest activity
should be between now (as I type this, not necessarily as you
read it) and 6pm.
For the rest of the night, it should be quiet. We will likely
have some patchy fog develop given the light winds, especially
in any areas that receive rain through this evening.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
245 pm update...
Looks like a quiet day. Ridging will be building in aloft. Some
of the hi-res models suggest a shower or two could develop
across the higher terrain of the Berkshires. At this point, kept
the chances less than 10%. Surface winds will be light, so sea
breezes will develop by late morning along the coast. Thus
immediate coastal locations will remain cooler than inland.
850mb temperatures will be running around 15C, which would
support high temperatures in the mid 80s in most areas (except
cooler along the coast). Quiet weather into Friday night as
well. Could be some patchy fog in a few spots.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
300 pm update...
Key Points
* Generally dry first half of the weekend with a chance for some pop
up showers across interior SNE
* Unsettled late Sunday into early next workweek with slow moving
front swinging through the northeast
* Drying trend appears to develop mid next week with seasonable
temperatures
Saturday and Sunday...
Guidance continues to trend drier for Saturday with mid level
ridging parked over southern New England through late Saturday
evening; before the ridge moves seaward overnight and into Sunday.
Southerly flow will yield increasing moisture with PWATs climbing
back towards 1.5". Can't rule out a few diurnal showers across the
terrain of interior southern New England but it should be a dry day
for most. Temperatures will be seasonable, in the upper 70s to mid
80s, but climbing dewpoints, into the mid/upper 60s, will result in
some mugginess.
Ridge slowly moves east of the region on Sunday, though likely
influences a mainly dry day, ahead of approaching cold front/trough
moving east from the Great Lakes region. With the slowing departure
of the ridge and delayed arrival of the front, thinking the best
forcing arrives over SNE overnight, after instability wanes. Thus,
the Sunday afternoon thunderstorm threat looks to be best to our
southwest of our region. This is corroborated by the CSU Severe
Probabilities which also keeps the wind threat to our southwest.
This aforementioned trough comes in time to help steer Hurricane
Ernesto away from our region, though we expect coastal impacts, such
as high rip risks and high surf, to begin to impact the region the
second half of the weekend.
Monday into Tuesday...
With a later shift in guidance, the best chance for widespread rain
and thunderstorms will come on Monday. Prefrontal PWATs will climb
to as high as 1.8-2", which will result in numerous showers and
embedded downpours through the day; though, again the threat for
the most precipitation looks to be west of Worcester. Ensemble
probabilities don't hint at a tremendous amount of precipitation to
be associated with the front, with both the GEFS and ECMWF probs of
1" of QPF maxing out around 30% across the high terrain. CAPE looks
to rise to between 1500-2000J/kg on Monday which should provide
enough "juice" to initiated scattered thunderstorms. We will need to
keep an eye on the severe threat, with the CSU day 5 probs
highlighting a low wind threat for the region on Monday.
Front should pass by early Tuesday which will yield generally
improving conditions. Much drier air is expected to filter in behind
the front, falling to as low as 0.5" by late Tuesday evening.
Mid week and beyond...
Substantial ridging develops over the central CONUS mid week, though
we generally remain on the lee side of the ridge, which should help
us avoid the worst of the potential heat. It will also yield a
mainly dry mid week and beyond.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Forecast Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
18z TAF update -- moderate confidence through tonight. High
confidence Friday.
Will be scattered TSRA around through 00z that will produce
brief periods of MVFR/IFR. Did the best to try to time some
TEMPO groups along with use of VCTS. The activity will quickly
disipate this evening. Forecast guidance is indicating fog
developing in areas later tonight, and suspect the areas that
see fog is where it rains over the next few hours. Some of that
fog could result in IFR visibility and ceilings if it gets thick
enough. Winds will be light overnight.
For Friday, VFR. More light surface winds, so sea breezes will
develop by late morning. VFR continues Friday night, with
potential for local MVFR/IFR in any patchy fog.
KBOS TAF...Moderate Confidence. Potential for thunderstorms
looks to be through 22z. Late tonight there is the potential for
MVFR or IFR conditions to develop after 06z with fog and
stratus. If it does develop, it will be out by 12z. Sea breeze
should develop about 14z Friday.
KBDL TAF...Moderate Confidence. VFR conditions prevail, possible
SHRA/TSRA through 23z. Could be some MVFR in fog very late
tonight.
Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/...
Saturday: VFR.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA,
isolated TSRA.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA,
slight chance TSRA.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA,
slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
&&
.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
300 pm update...
Through Friday Night...High Confidence.
Light winds through Friday night. Only aspect of the forecast
that mariners need to be aware of is the expected increase in
swells starting Friday night and lasting into Monday. These
swells and associated increased wave heights will be from
Hurricane Ernesto. The swells will also be of very long period
(13 to 16 seconds), so this will also result in strong rip
currents and high surf developing along south facing coast
lines. This may also result in rough conditions at the entrances
to inlets and harbors.
Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/...
Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft.
Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.
Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas.
Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas.
Slight chance of rain showers.
Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of
rain showers, isolated thunderstorms.
Monday Night through Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to
5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...KS/Nash
NEAR TERM...Nash
SHORT TERM...Nash
LONG TERM...KS
AVIATION...KS/Nash
MARINE...KS/Nash
Event by event
18 thunderstorm wind, 5 hail, 2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 2:20 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 2.46 mi SW of Frederick Corner
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.630, -71.510
In Groton, a tree was down on Dunstable Rd.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 2:25 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 2.04 mi E of North Shirley
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.580, -71.590
In Ayer, a tree was down on wires on Douglas St.
Thunderstorm Wind, Essex
- When
- August 15, 2:27 PM EST
- Where
- Essex County, Methuen
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $500
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.720, -71.180
In Methuen, a large tree was down on power lines on Horne St.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 2:30 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 1.18 mi S of Groton Arpt
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 42.613, -71.654
In Townsend, a tree was down on Shirly Rd.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 2:35 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 2.06 mi NW of Carlisle Station
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.550, -71.430
In Westford, a tree was down on Kings Rd.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 2:35 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 1.53 mi E of Westford Station
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 42.600, -71.400
In Chelmsford, there were wires down on Hitchinpost Rd.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 2:40 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 1.47 mi SSE of West Chelmsford
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $2,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.600, -71.370
In Chelmsford, there were reports of trees and wires down all over town.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 2:45 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, Acton
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.480, -71.470
In Acton, a tree was reported down on Massachusetts Ave.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 2:55 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 0.69 mi N of Chelmsford Center
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $3,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.590, -71.330
In Chelmsford, a tree was down on a house on Gail St.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 3:03 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 0.31 mi SSW of Marlborough
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $500
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 42.346, -71.552
In Marlborough, a tree was down with a utility pole split in half on Farm Rd.
Thunderstorm Wind, Middlesex
- When
- August 15, 3:05 PM EST
- Where
- Middlesex County, 0.17 mi S of South Sudbury
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.367, -71.420
In Sudbury, wires were down on Union Ave.
Hail, Norfolk
- When
- August 15, 3:09 PM EST
- Where
- Norfolk County, 1.56 mi WSW of Winslows
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 42.195, -71.250
In Walpole 1 inch hail was reported.
Hail, Norfolk
- When
- August 15, 3:15 PM EST
- Where
- Norfolk County, 0.51 mi E of Winslows
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 42.200, -71.210
In Norwood, 1 inch hail was reported.
Hail, Norfolk
- When
- August 15, 3:15 PM EST
- Where
- Norfolk County, 0.51 mi E of Winslows
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 42.200, -71.210
In Norwood, 1 inch hail was reported.
Thunderstorm Wind, Hampden
- When
- August 15, 3:19 PM EST
- Where
- Hampden County, 1.38 mi S of Springfield
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 42.100, -72.580
In Springfield, a tree fell down on a car on Dwight St. The person inside was freed and was ok.
Thunderstorm Wind, Norfolk
- When
- August 15, 3:22 PM EST
- Where
- Norfolk County, 0.86 mi NE of Wellesley Fells
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.310, -71.310
In Wellesley, a tree was down on Beverly Rd.
Thunderstorm Wind, Worcester
- When
- August 15, 3:34 PM EST
- Where
- Worcester County, 0.8 mi SW of Millbury
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $500
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 42.192, -71.761
In Millbury, a tree was down on powerlines on Gould St.
Hail, Bristol
- When
- August 15, 3:54 PM EST
- Where
- Bristol County, Raynham
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 41.950, -71.070
In Raynham, quarter sized hail was reported.
Thunderstorm Wind, Plymouth
- When
- August 15, 3:55 PM EST
- Where
- Plymouth County, 1.38 mi S of Scotland
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Fire Department/Rescue
- Coordinates
- 41.950, -71.000
In Bridgewater, a small tree was down on Vernon St.
Hail, Bristol
- When
- August 15, 4:00 PM EST
- Where
- Bristol County, 0.86 mi NE of Raynham Center
- Measured
- 1.25 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 41.930, -71.040
In Raynham, 1.25 inch hail was reported.
Thunderstorm Wind, Bristol
- When
- August 15, 4:06 PM EST
- Where
- Bristol County, 0.97 mi NE of Segreganset
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 41.840, -71.106
In Taunton, there were wired down on a car on Berkley St.
Thunderstorm Wind, Bristol
- When
- August 15, 4:19 PM EST
- Where
- Bristol County, 1.53 mi SSW of North Rehoboth
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $200
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 41.879, -71.230
In Rehoboth, there was a tree down on Bliss St.
Thunderstorm Wind, Bristol
- When
- August 15, 4:26 PM EST
- Where
- Bristol County, 0.57 mi WNW of Fall River
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 41.702, -71.161
In Fall River, there was a large tree blocking the road on Bush St. A tree also fell on a garage and two cars with a hole in the roof of the garage.
Flash Flood, Bristol
- When
- August 15, 5:10 PM EST
- Where
- Bristol County, 0.69 mi N of North Westport to 0.95 mi NNE of North Westport
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 41.680, -71.120
In Fall River, the on-ramp from 24 SB to 195 WB completely flooded over at the lowest part of the ramp. Traffic due to vehicle having to maneuver around flooded part.
Flash Flood, Bristol
- When
- August 15, 5:10 PM EST to 5:50 PM EST
- Where
- Bristol County, 1.24 mi NE of Watuppa to 1.26 mi ENE of Watuppa
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 41.710, -71.110
In Fall River, there were multiple flood reports of flooding on Brighton Ave, Plymouth Ave, N Main St, and Herman St.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Missouri, August 15, 2024$88,000 · 3.25 in hail · 16 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, August 15, 2024$65,000 · 2.25 in hail · 15 events
- Damaging Winds in Illinois, August 15, 2024$85,000 · 78 kt wind · 5 events
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Mississippi, August 15 to 16, 202443 events
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Tennessee, August 15 to 16, 202442 events
- Wildfire in Oklahoma, August 15 to 20, 2024$61,000 · 1 event
- Tornado and Hail in Illinois, August 15, 2024EF1 · 8 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, August 15, 2024$22,000 · 1.25 in hail · 11 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strikes in Idaho, August 15, 2024$15,000 · 58 kt wind · 14 events
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Arkansas, August 15 to 16, 202420 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in New York, August 15, 20241.75 in hail · 20 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in New Hampshire, August 15, 2024$10,000 · 1.75 in hail · 14 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1195853, 1195854, 1195855, 1195856, 1195857, 1195858, 1195860, 1195859, 1195861, 1195868, 1195869, 1195848, 1195849, 1195850, 1195862, 1195863, 1195870, 1195851, 1195864, 1195852, 1195871, 1195872, 1195873, 1195846, 1195847.